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Democrats Jump Into Six-Point Lead on Generic Ballot
Gallup ^ | July 20, 2010

Posted on 07/20/2010 11:41:47 AM PDT by Steelfish

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To: Steelfish

So Gallup has been reduced to one intern living in San Fransisco who doesn’t have long distance on his Go Phone.


21 posted on 07/20/2010 11:54:34 AM PDT by Pan_Yan
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To: TheClintons-STILLAnti-American
"Actually, though, there probably would be a greater chance of ditching the Whiner In Chief if he doesn't have a Republican Congress to blame his failures on the next to years."

that's "the next two years", obviously.

My brain can't do multi-tasking anymore.

22 posted on 07/20/2010 11:54:37 AM PDT by TheClintons-STILLAnti-American
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To: Steelfish
These polling firms are still using the formula: Square root of (n) and then dividing 1 by (n) for a margin of error. With (n) being the sample size. That is why you'll rarely see a sample size above the 1000ish mark.

It's a crappy way to do polls since there is no verification that the info received is valid. i.e. exit polls suck since people lie to pollsters A LOT! and if you "really want" to be a part of a poll, you're usually not an independent or undecided.

Polls and for getting onto a 24 hr news cycle, nothing more. The real poll info that is beneficial is the internal breakdown and usually on samples larger than a quick poll like this one.

Ever hear of "internal polls?" these are the ones the politicians dont share with anyone outside their campaign and are a better marker of where that politician is. This "everyday a new poll with 2-9 pt movement" is just trash.

23 posted on 07/20/2010 11:56:03 AM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (3(0|\|0/\/\1($ 101: (4P174L1$/\/\ R3QU1r3$ (4P174L. Could it be any more simple?)
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To: Steelfish
Don't believe any polls right now, even the ones that tell us what we like to hear.

Everyone's model for this year is still formative right now, and three months is a long time in politics. The Republicans are clearly poised to pick up some seats—it's just a question of how many. So this election is something to anticipate. But don't go in already counting some huge tidal wave in the bank; if you do and that doesn't happen, you will wind up with a needless sense of disappointment over actual gains.

24 posted on 07/20/2010 11:56:43 AM PDT by tired_old_conservative
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To: Steelfish

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 45%, Democrats 36%
Monday, July 19, 2010

Republican candidates now hold a nine-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, July 18, the widest gap between the two parties in several weeks.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely Voters would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 36% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent. Support for Republicans inched up a point from last week, while support for the Democrat fell two points.


25 posted on 07/20/2010 11:58:31 AM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Steelfish

Was Gallup a Journolist member?

So the lying, colluding, conspiring media is at it again ... And exactly what changed except the poll numbers.


26 posted on 07/20/2010 11:58:43 AM PDT by Tarpon (Obama-Speak ... the fusion of sophistry and Newspeak. It's not a gift, it's just lies.)
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To: Steelfish
...55% of Americans were in favor of legislation expanding government regulation of financial institutions...

...and zero percent who understand the impact it will have on long run employment and economic growth. A 2300 page bill! I doubt there's one politician--including those on the committee--who have read the entire bill, let alone understand it. Yet, those bozos about to pass it anyway because 55% of the public is totally clueless...

27 posted on 07/20/2010 12:02:26 PM PDT by econjack (Some people are as dumb as soup.)
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To: Steelfish

This is what happens when you pass a ballot out at a Hemp Festival.


28 posted on 07/20/2010 12:04:10 PM PDT by NavyCanDo
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To: HerrBlucher

Where is John Boehner. The guy is invisible!

In 1994, Gingrich was raising hell at the top of his lungs so he could be heard.

He cast blame on those in power!


29 posted on 07/20/2010 12:05:25 PM PDT by Finalapproach29er (Obama will sink as fast as he rose. (False) Idolatry will not succeed. Be patient, folks...)
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To: HerrBlucher

You are wrong. Rasmussen has the Rep by 9 points, not 6 in the latest poll taken only a few days ago.

Gallup numbers are absurd and the poll is an outlier.


30 posted on 07/20/2010 12:05:39 PM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: Steelfish

Attention democrat voters! Your party is so far ahead that you don’t even need to go to the polls in November!


31 posted on 07/20/2010 12:07:12 PM PDT by Blado (Oilbama's dream: ''Spill Baby, Spill.'' Legal disclaimer- all criticism of white male half only)
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To: 1035rep

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

With a month-and-a-half of summer left before the fall campaign season begins in earnest, Rasmussen Reports polling shows that Republicans are poised to pick up Democratic-held Senate seats in three states— Arkansas, Indiana and North Dakota. Three others are leaning that way—Delaware, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Arkansas’ Blanche Lincoln is the only incumbent senator currently projected to lose a seat. The others are open-seat races following retirements by Democratic incumbents.

At the moment, outside of the Toss-Up states, no Republican-held seats appear headed for the Democratic column.

Currently, there are just seven states in the Toss-Up category. Outside of the Toss-Ups, current projections indicate that Democrats can probably count on having 49 Senate seats after Election Day, while Republicans will hold 44.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/election_2010_senate_balance_of_power


32 posted on 07/20/2010 12:07:29 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: 1035rep

In early September 1980, The Washington Post printed an article entitled “A Day of Bad Omens” about the screwups in the Reagan campaign and how their polls showed Carter beating him (wishful thinking). ‘Nuff said.


33 posted on 07/20/2010 12:09:44 PM PDT by laconic
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To: Steelfish

Unbelievable even if true!


34 posted on 07/20/2010 12:10:24 PM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop Barry now. He can't help himself.)
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To: laconic

The Democrats are in BIG trouble and they know it. Gallup is trying to give them hope with this BS poll.


35 posted on 07/20/2010 12:15:36 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Steelfish

BS story.

Expect a LOT more of this while the media tries to prop up their party before November.


36 posted on 07/20/2010 12:16:59 PM PDT by Texas resident (Outlaw fisherman)
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To: Red Steel

Was just looking for that.....mighty hilarious that the polling data can swap in .... less than 24-48 hours.... =.=


37 posted on 07/20/2010 12:21:11 PM PDT by cranked
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To: Steelfish

If that is true, we truly live in a country abounding in MORONS!


38 posted on 07/20/2010 12:27:15 PM PDT by bitsyspider321
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To: bitsyspider321

Here are all of the major generic ballot polls for the past several months, in order.

Ras is off the mark and you can see the actual trending by looking at ALL of the polls versus one or two. :)

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/generic_congressional_vote-901.html


39 posted on 07/20/2010 12:31:16 PM PDT by Noamie
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To: 1035rep

Agree. The only “poll” thats going to matter will be tabulated on November 2, 2010. If history is any guide the rats are in for a beating of a lifetime!


40 posted on 07/20/2010 12:31:53 PM PDT by RU88 (Bow to no man)
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