Obama is not alone in facing a challenging second year in office -- Bill Clinton (43%), Ronald Reagan (42%), and Jimmy Carter (40%) all were below the majority approval level in July of their second year. Of course, each of those presidents saw his party lose a substantial number of seats in that year's midterm congressional elections, though both Reagan and Clinton recovered in time to win a second term as president.
I think I’ve read that he has to get the independents below 30% for this to be a political crisis.
Even lower, if he can bring in more illegal vote through the ground work of motor voter and the like.
For his own election of course. For the mid-terms, the dems will lose some seats, but I’m not totally convinced as some are here about taking either of the houses.
The dems have too many tricks, too many dead voters, and now they’ve given the green light on voter intimidation. FOX playing that video over and over infuriates those who would normally vote against the dems, but it EMBOLDENS more folks to get out and thug the poling places, when they know there will be no prosecution of any sort, and no consequences for their actions.
Of course lawsuits will follow, but by then the votes will be counted, and the elections settled.
Repubs will play gentleman, extend a hand in bipartisan cross isle good faith, and get burned once again for doing so.
We need candidates willing to bring a bazooka to this gunfight, not candidates who wield butter knives and care-bear hugs.