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Gold Going to Parabolic Top of $10,000 by 2012 For Good Reasons
The Market Oracle ^ | 6-13-2010 | Lorimer Wilson

Posted on 06/13/2010 2:00:01 PM PDT by blam

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1 posted on 06/13/2010 2:00:02 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam
" The next time round most governments will not be in a position to do so – again. Even more troubling, the IMF (International Monetary Fund) will not be capable of rescuing the increasing number of insolvent governments and their financial institutions. "

Goldman: A Slowdown Now Would Be Deadly, Given That Governments Are Out Of Ammo

2 posted on 06/13/2010 2:02:06 PM PDT by blam
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To: betty boop

The gold bugs are a-bitin’?


3 posted on 06/13/2010 2:03:51 PM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (We bury Democrats face down so that when they scratch, they get closer to home.)
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To: blam

Wonder if any of that black gold washing up on the Gulf Coast can be harvested/mined?


4 posted on 06/13/2010 2:09:20 PM PDT by Redhd2
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To: blam

...and you think they’re not going to take steps to prevent this from happening? Soaring gold prices are an impeachment of the credibility of a currancy. Soaring gold says loudly the paper money is an unbacked hoax.

This administration, above all others, has the gall and hypersensitive reactions to re-confiscate gold.

Watch it happen.


5 posted on 06/13/2010 2:12:36 PM PDT by William of Barsoom (In Omnia, Paratus)
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To: Redhd2
"Wonder if any of that black gold washing up on the Gulf Coast can be harvested/mined?"

Let me know what you figure out...I smelled the oil fumes at my house this morning.

6 posted on 06/13/2010 2:12:48 PM PDT by blam
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

Very much so... If they were serious, they’d realize that gold is a fiat currency - it has no real-world value other than what we attach to it. In all ways silver is a more valuable, useful commodity: higher conductivity (thermally and electrically), hardness, brightness, antibacterial, molecular weight, and current price.

Try to barter with a ounce - or even tenth ounce of gold; it’s like trying to buy groceries for two days with a $1000 or $100 bill. A lot easier to use silver, available in small denominations.

For metals freaks, the upside in silver is much bigger, and it has actual high-volume industrial uses as compared to gold. Gold is literally like diamonds - small real-world application, valued high simply because it’s a fiat value - deemed to be high because we want it to be high.

Silver, copper, lead - those are the metals that have big upsides.


7 posted on 06/13/2010 2:12:59 PM PDT by PugetSoundSoldier (Indignation over the Sting of Truth is the defense of the indefensible)
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To: PugetSoundSoldier

Gold strikes me as a metal you want when you plan on long-term investing as its value goes up over time, but it’s not something you’ll want to use for day to day activities. Problem is, if TEOTWAWKI takes place, the whole system that puts value on gold also goes away. In such a case, I can see a case of whiskey and a jerrycan of .45 ACP getting you a lot further than the equivalent amount of gold by pre-collapse value.


8 posted on 06/13/2010 2:16:19 PM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (We bury Democrats face down so that when they scratch, they get closer to home.)
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To: blam

If gold hits 10k/oz. by 2013 I’ll eat my shorts. My Email address is: _____________________ LOL.


9 posted on 06/13/2010 2:20:15 PM PDT by historyrepeatz
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To: blam

$10,000? Talk about picking a number out of thin air.


10 posted on 06/13/2010 2:20:54 PM PDT by Kirkwood
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To: William of Barsoom
This administration, above all others, has the gall and hypersensitive reactions to re-confiscate gold

Confiscating it will be very difficult.

Preventing gold holders physically within the 50 states from realizing any spendable money from it will be very easy.

11 posted on 06/13/2010 2:22:37 PM PDT by Jim Noble (If the answer is "Republican", it must be a stupid question.)
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To: blam
"1. History is No Guide"

Or, "This time it's different, baby."

That's the line of every scoundrel. And he uses it at the top.

12 posted on 06/13/2010 2:24:09 PM PDT by TopQuark
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To: blam

When I read this kind of stuff, I ask “How much gold does the author own?”

The author is trying to talk up the price of gold. There has been a lot of talk lately, and the price is now at roughly $1200. Hard to see how they can improve on the fear that we have now. In the US, we obviously don’t have the inflation which would justify the high prices that are prevailing. The only things that might lead to a higher price in my mind are 1) US inflation, and 2) foreign inflation. There is little evidence of US inflation at this point, but the gold market is a world market, and inflation certainly is possible in some of the other countries of the world. Even so, at this point, there is not much evidence of it.

I don’t imagine there is much risk in owning a small portion of your portfolio in gold, but I would certainly not want to bet the farm, as some have done or advised others to do.

I am also suspicious that at some point, it will become apparent that some of the gold suppliers are just as fraudulent as Madoff. It is easy for the criminal element to sell fake gold, as demonstrated by the discovery of gold plated tungsten bars of late. Some of these outlets don’t actually deliver the gold. They claim they are holding it for you, but who knows? Some of them are simply selling you paper that represents gold. Maybe they own gold to back their obligations, maybe they don’t. If not, then how do you know they will make good on their paper obligations? And if you do take delivery, then you have the risk not only of fake gold, but also the storage and theft risks. Another factor not often appreciated is that the fees for selling gold can be substantial—much more than the fees for purchasing it.


13 posted on 06/13/2010 2:24:30 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: blam

Why not..... $20,000 ?


14 posted on 06/13/2010 2:24:37 PM PDT by traumer
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To: blam
I don't know what to think about this. Anything is only worth what someone will pay. Who would buy at such a high? Then he goes on to explain that the gold paper (As many have suspected) is just a scam or bubble backed up by empty vaults.

What's his position? How much did he get stuck with today at $1,227? Well, somebody has to ask....

15 posted on 06/13/2010 2:29:54 PM PDT by Gorzaloon (CNN:AP:etc:Today, President Obama's stool was firm and well-formed. One end was slightly pointed. ")
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To: blam
My thinking is if they had started skimming early on and sold the recovered
crude they would have been in a better position than spraying this
dispersant and causing these underwater plumes of unknown toxicidity
to marine life and the food chain. But that didn’t happen so now we
have this mess rolling up on shore and we need an entrapenuer to
come up with a use for these dispersant/tar balls that will put people to work
gathering them up and selling them to the ideaman.
16 posted on 06/13/2010 2:33:55 PM PDT by Redhd2
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To: PugetSoundSoldier

Industrial metal prices have industrial factors tied into their price/value which can be bad for an investor in an industrial slow down.


17 posted on 06/13/2010 2:39:19 PM PDT by RC one (WHAT!!!!)
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To: historyrepeatz
I"ve gotten to the point that seeing the word "parabolic" in some apocalyptic prognostication, from someone panting over the future prospects for their own biases, leaves me wondering when they got banned from Karl Denninger's Ticker Forum.

The only way this would even remotely be likely is if the S really HTF, and even then, much more humble, useful subsistence items would be far more desirable.

That's not to say that those who have held gold for, say, the past ten years haven't profited handsomely. But this sort of thing has been a pretty reliable indication of a top in the past.

18 posted on 06/13/2010 2:39:52 PM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: blam

I predict it will be at $20 trillion by next year. Go get ya some now!


19 posted on 06/13/2010 2:40:49 PM PDT by Larry Lucido
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To: blam
These arguments against gold were the same arguments given when gold was $35/oz.

10 Yr Gold

20 posted on 06/13/2010 2:42:40 PM PDT by preacher (A government which robs from Peter to pay Paul will always have the support of Paul.)
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