Posted on 11/03/2008 12:15:49 PM PST by justlurking
Exactly: Dick Morris said that Obama had to get to 49% on the IBD/TIPP poll. He claims that most of the undecideds will be going to McCain. Check out today’s Rasmussen state polls that verify McCain’s momentum-especially in Florida where McCain gained 5 points in a week to take the lead by 1 point.
I think it is very encouraging to see all the undecideds and Obama at only 47.5%. I have been praying that the scales from people’s eyes will be scaled back and they will see through “truth” and not through the manipulation of the media. The 9.5% of of undecideds are the prayer that God will answer. These people will vote for McCain/Palin.
“My crazy fear is that 9.5% undecideds just dont bother to vote.”
Scary isn’t it. Wants wrong with people.
Something like 90% of the television viewing audience in the US watched the first moon landing. That means 10% said “look Honey someone is landing on the moon. Let’s watch Gidget.”
Check the spreadsheet I cited above.
Undecideds in a 2-man race were 8.8 percent on this day in 2004.
McCain will barely win in Electoral College. Obama will get 51% of actual vote. We won’t have results for weeks.
Three day average
Obama 47.36
McCain 43.66
Undecd 8.96
MOE: 3.10
Mar: 3.70
THAT’s the 64k question... Folks keep saying that most will break McCain’s way... What if they just stay home?
McCain will overcome. keep the faith.
Well, O’s well under 50, McCain’s been see-sawing a bit in this poll of late, today was a see, so tomorrow should be a saw and a win, as long as we VOTE!!!
Don’t forget Wisconsin and maybe even Michigan!
For many, "Undecided" is more than likely code for "I hate pollsters and it's none of your d@mn business who I'm voting for" which is code for "I'm voting McCain"
1) There are still huge doubts about the One;
2) There are still a lot of people who won't tell a pollster they're voting for McCain because they don't want to be tagged as racists.
I don't know if all these undecideds will show up to vote, but if only half of them do, it's gonna be McCain in a squeaker.
I’ve been saying for a while...it’s all in how VA goes. I live in VA and honestly I don’t feel very good. Not a bad feeling of dred, but I definitley don’t have a warm fuzzy on the situation.
I dunno, LS...I’m not feelin’ too good about this.
Is that 1 point lead reliable? I respect your stuff, so I’d like to know... Are you trying to motivate everyone, or do you really think McCain has a good shot at winning?
Some of the breakdowns look pretty wierd (for example, Obama gets only 49%in the West, which must include a huge lead in CA), but the Midwest breakdown looks pretty good to me if it is accurate. The poll has the candidates dead even with 11% undecided. I don’t know what states the pollster puts in his “Midwest” category, but Illinois with a huge Obama majority must be in there. If so, The Midwest so-called “battleground” states may be looking very good for McCain.
I just hope and pray (literally) that the Catholic and Jewish Democrats, as well as the rank-and-file union Democrats, cannot stomach a Marxist abortionist as their President.
About these undecided voters. Here is how I feel.
I feel like I did back in school. I was getting in trouble a lot after my moms second divorce. They called a parent-teacher confrence. So I am sitting in the hallway. while my mother, my grandfather, my teacher and the principal. I am sitting there. I cant kind of hear them talking, but I cant tell. JUST WAITING MY FATE. WAITING MY FATE. it doesnt look good. nervous as hell..
my mom decided to homeschool me instead of having them place me in a school for bad kids.
Then, I'd guess, we'll be in a bit of a pickle.
However, remember that these are supposed to be "likely voters", meaning the pollster thinks they will actually go to the polls. I feel, based on what we saw in the primaries, that this pool of undecideds will vote and does not want the pollster to know for whom they will vote.
They are not “Independents”.
Call them what they are: Reeds in the wind.
They’ll vote for whoever was the last candidate they thought they heard promise them something.
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