Posted on 10/31/2008 11:40:32 PM PDT by Chet 99
Thanks for the good news.
It doesn’t mean a damn thing. Polls are useless.
Don’t forget to FReep this Digg to the top!!!
http://digg.com/2008_us_elections/So_What_Does_It_Mean_That_McCain_Outpolled_Obama_on_Friday
I agree, totally useless.
Zogby is just hedging his bets, that he was “scientific” and “fair” in his polls. Just 2 days before, it’s + 6 for O, now M is 1 pt ahead. Now anyone knows how weathermen work...THEY GUESS! When weathermen say its a mixed bag? That means THEY HAVE NO FREAKIN CLUE. Same thing with Zogby et al polls. Just take it with a grain of salt.
Exactly, this means nothing more than when "O" was leading by 11% or whatever. For all we know they could be saying this just to have him be the comeback kid over the weekend. I don't trust these polls one bit, whether McCain is up or down. I don't know who they poll, for all I know they might not poll anyone and just post whatever they want until the last day.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
it means that for whatever reason we won one day’s polling from a non sympathetic pollster....I’ll take it
Going to be a very close finish
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
In 1980 Reagan won by 8.3%....odd considering CBS has Obama up by 15 points eh?
lol
yes, Reagan’s landslide did not show up in the polls till Sunday before the election though he did have a lead after the last debate...a small one in a week marred by resignation issues from both campaigns
Reagan’s 10% margin was not predicted even then
back then there were only a handful of polls and some cut it off on Friday before election
inaccuracy of the polls is something in common but this year is not really 1980 either
if we win, it’s 1948.....only comparable I can find to tell you the truth
Truman won by 4 points and the pre-election polls had Dewey at 5-15 points up
though polling then was much less scientific but maybe today’s bias is even worse then primitive polling techniques
1996 was a really bad year for polling, but no one remembers or cares because the correct winner was picked by the polls... but the last CBS poll was off by 10.
http://davidjeffers.thevanguard.org/...real-polls.mp3
I just hope this doesnt end up like 1976 where Ford’s rally falls just short by a couple pts and everyone says he would have won if the election was a week later.
We should know early though. If VA and NC fall early, it will be a bad night. If they hold and then it’s on to OH and FL and if they hold then CO and NV will decide things.
Of course, if PA flips and goes for us, things will be looking very good. And NH could be an upset possibility as McCain always seems to do well there and it was NH that turned on Obama back in Jan.
Even if we win PA we could still lose if VA or NC falls, but if we win PA i have to think that means VA and NC are in the bag. To lose the election because of a VA or NC would be very tough to swallow.
lets just hope for the best
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
I was as nervous then as I am now, no one really had a clue what was going to happen, just that Carter had sunk the country into misery. I was cooking liver and onions and we were watching the returns and cheering wildly as the returns started to come in and were beyond our wildest dreams for Reagan...
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
exactly, they had Clinton winning by 15-23 for all of October. The poll on 10/31/96 had Clinton +18. He ended up winning by 8 and Dole added 7 pts to his total of what they had for him. Clinton dropped 3.
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