Posted on 09/15/2008 4:39:55 PM PDT by RobFromGa
There might be mistakes, I have checked it over and might have missed something..
I plan to put up a revised thread on October 1 with the updates and information on the various Senate races. And then again on November 1.
When it comes to Michigan [Canada’s newest provence], those of us in the out laying state dislike Levin so much, that we spit teeth when we hear his name. But like all of the state all he has to do is carry Detroit,Lansing,Flint, & Grand Rapids [or any of the other large cities in the state] that he is in for life. So therefore pretty much write off this state as far as the large gov’t races go.
“senate predictions 50 days out”
don’t forget to take into account voting machines owned by democrat thugs.
(but you wouldn’t be able to get close enough to find out.)
IMHO
ALL EIGHT of these in-play Senate Races are currently GOP seats, so the GOP is completely on DEFENSE trying to hold their ground... VA appears to be a lost cause...
Thanks for doing this! Hopefully freepers from each of these states can update whats going on.
Not sure why you have Landrieu as safe. It is the GOP’s best pick up chance.
Virginia, unfortunately, is a no contest win for Warner. Not only does he share the same name as the popular and retiring chairman of the Armed Services Committee but he has the fortune of running against a George Bush clone in Gilmore.
Sadly, that's what elections have become.....the big cities dictate the outcome. Between ACORN and the multi-vote crowd for the Dem's, coupled with the big cities entitlements crowds and illegal immigrants, it's hard for Conservatives to win in too many places....
Ohio is similar to Michigan in that respect, where Cleveland, Toledo, Cincinnati, Columbus, Dayton, and the major metro areas are packed with entitlements crowds and hard for the rest of the State to survive a vote against their sheer numbers of straight-Democrat (aka, socialism) support.
For what it is worth:
my initial review of your data appears to match my data.
What the hell is wrong with the GOP? They can’t put up a viable candidate against landrou in Louisiana or any other red state.
I think you’re being a little pessimistic on putting Louisiana in the safe Democratic column. I think the seat can be considered somewhat in play. If the GOP picks up a seat it’ll be there.
I would love to have Landrieu appear vulnerable, but I don’t see any indications anywhere at this late date...
Unless something has changed that I am unaware of, Landrieu has a big lead. She was up +17 in August over Kennedy. I could have put it as a 10% like Virginia, but I fear both are lost causes...
If you have other data that shows that there is even a race in LA, I’d love to see it and change my estimate...
I agree that it is the GOPs best chance at a pickup...
Sununu is shaping up badly. I think 25% is too optimistic. I’d say 15-20%.
Landrieu is NOT safe. We have at least a 40% chance of pickup.
The RINO leadership has failed to put up candidates in competitive and RED states in the Senate AND many Congressional districts. The RINOS conceded the House and Senate to the formidable and brilliant Pelosi and Reid and their stellar 9% approval rating. You don’t want to but heads with popularity like THAT.
The one time they nationalized the elections in 1994 they won a TSUNAMI. We have been given quotes from the DEMOCRATS that can win us back the House of Representatives THIS NOVEMBER. I can take those quotes and use Imovie to make commercials in an hour and win back the house....
No use crying over spilt RINO milk. Job 1, crush Øbama.
After he’s finished, it’s RINO hunting time and take back the Congress in 2010. We’ll all have to get involved to make it happen.
Fair enough...
I’ll change Landrieu to a CONTEST in the next predictions...post any polls here if you see them please...
Still a shot the guy in CO can close the gap.
You are aware that the Minnesota race is a three way contest? With the independent Barkley regularly polling in double digits? That could throw a wrinkle into the race.
If you and I are in agreement, that might not be a great thing! (after 2006)... We were in good company though and a lot of the races were razor-thin...
SENATE 2006 PREDICTIONS- November 2006 Update
Hope you are well.
FRegards, Rob
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