Posted on 01/07/2007 11:46:24 AM PST by wagglebee
And turning the general election into a second Democrat primary...
An NH poll is useless before Iowa. NH polls are notorious for going towards the leader and then against him after Iowa.
I am surprised at how much support Mitt is getting at this stage given the lack of name recognition compared to Rudy and McCain.
The story I read said Rudy thought this was his third cousin and was shocked to find out she was his second cousin.
Right now McCain is leading Rudy in NH 29/25%.
Sometimes Iowa has NH as its boy toy, and sometimes not. It depends on the tone of the campaign, and what is emphasized, and what is not, and what the polls are showing as to who seems most likely to beat the Dem. But among the big three, winning Iowa probably would be a substantial plus, if it was reasonably decisive.
Thanks.
Romney's wife, Ann, has MS.
I can't remember where Romney fell in the latest poll, but it was substantially lower than the two front runners. They explained this morning, on Fox, that the way the primaries are laid out this time, it's the candidate with a lot of money who can literally run from state to state and venue to venue who is going to win, they are laid out to benefit money and go against the smaller, underfunded candidates.
Arnold wants the California primary moved up to February. :) California is the best fit for Rudy after New York itself. I would love to see a California GOP primary poll of the contenders.
Its not. Never said it was either. While I think the illegal immigration issue is more of a social issue, then a fiscal issue, it has far reaching ramifications across the board.
I think Rudy would put California into play for the GOP this time around. That's a lot of points.
FDR was her 5th cousin. Not exactly close.
To be a second cousin, you must share a great-grandparent. Not exactly close either.
We agree...
I was pointing out the fallacies of the "no social issues" crowd...
There is no way I would vote for Julie-Annie, even if he won both the Democrat and Republican primaries...
It's a huge fiscal issue. Just more hidden so people don't see what it is really costing them in increase health insurance costs, auto insurance costs, school taxes, etc.
My husband and I just watched a TV movie about Rudy while on a Jet Blue flight. It starred James Woods and my husband felt it was a real hit piece. It was about his handling of 9-11 but had a lot of coverage of his marriage to Donna. With respect to his marriage, he looked just awful. She came out the heroine.
For the Pubbies, there's no Vilsack to make Iowa irrelevant. Iowa usually produces 3 viable candidates, I think it will produce only 2 in the GOP.
Usually there will be a big gap between NH and the rest. Not so this year, especially for the Dems. That plays to Hillary's advantage. She makes the Iowa caucuses irrelevant, downplays the cranky NH voters and then goes to the bigger states running nothing but TV ads. She needs to avoid retail campaigning at all costs.
For the Republicans, this works in favor of McCain, he has a lot of big donor money. He could be defeated by a (1976) Reagan, someone supported uniformly by the grassroots of the party, but if Romney cannot stake out that ground alone, he won't be able to overcome that natural advantage.
When you seek the Presidency, your life becomes an open book. For all her faults, Rudy hardly handled it well.
The length of this thread (and all Rudy threads) indicate how deeply divided Republicans are on Rudy.
I like him. I can get past some of his liberal leanings because I think he would be a tough S.O.B on terrorism and right now that's my major concern.
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