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Obi Wan's late thoughts (Geraghty at NRO! HOT!)
National Review Online ^ | 11/7/06 | Jim Geraghty and Obe wan

Posted on 11/07/2006 7:36:43 AM PST by LS

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To: LS

I agree. They get no closer than six. The look on Schumer's face yesterday was telling. It was not a "Well, we won't get the Senate, but Pelosi will be Speaker" face, it was a "Oh man, those internals are death on a bun" face.

My prediction: The GOP holds the House, the Dems learn nothing from their defeat, and John Kerry continues to suck like a jet-powered Shop Vac until the day he dies.


41 posted on 11/07/2006 8:51:02 AM PST by Mr. Silverback (People who say there are jobs Americans won't do haven't seen "Dirty Jobs.")
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To: Dems_R_Losers

I remember that as well, but Nixon caused us to lose. Iraq is NOT like Watergate. We will win this election because our MILITARY and the rest of the free world demands it!

GOD please be with us today. Amen!

LLS


42 posted on 11/07/2006 8:54:58 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (Preserve America... kill terrorists... destroy dims!)
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To: Soul Seeker

Morris is no dummie, but I still remember how he predicted a GOP gain of seats in the double digits in 1998. We all know how that worked out...


43 posted on 11/07/2006 8:55:07 AM PST by Mr. Silverback (People who say there are jobs Americans won't do haven't seen "Dirty Jobs.")
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To: LS
Um...no.

:-)

44 posted on 11/07/2006 8:57:41 AM PST by Mr. Silverback (People who say there are jobs Americans won't do haven't seen "Dirty Jobs.")
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To: Mr. Silverback

Morris is very good at taking polls. I've said that in past and give him due credit.

He's just not very good at analysing the data he obtains and making predictive analysis on that data. He lets his own prejudices and media filter into it.


45 posted on 11/07/2006 8:59:02 AM PST by Soul Seeker (Kobach: Amnesty is going from an illegal to a legal position, without imposing the original penalty.)
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To: meg88

Strange . . .

Went to vote the ticket for the GOP in beautiful Bucks County, PA and there was very little foot trafic at the polls. An easy three-hour wait on e-day in 2004.

Today I was in and out in less than five minutes.

Bucks County went blue in 2004, so where is all the anger and the angst from the "Hair on Fire" left that the media promised us at the polls today?


46 posted on 11/07/2006 9:01:21 AM PST by Maddymay (Maddy's Dad)
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To: LS

bttt


47 posted on 11/07/2006 9:02:39 AM PST by 1035rep
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To: LS
As the New Republic editors noted, the poll showed a particularly surprising drop in the Democratic generic ballot advantage in the Northeast, from a 26 point margin to a 9 point one. Where are the House seats the Democrats want to pick up? ...quite a few are in Connecticut, New York, and Pennsylvania (and, apparently at one point, New Hampshire).
[Jim’s observation/question: If the bottom fell out for Democrats in blue states like these, how likely is it that their candidates are holding their ground in red states like Indiana and Kentucky?]

I'd read alot about the move to the right in the PEW and Gallup polls but didn't realize that so much of it was concentrated in the NE. That's pretty significant IMHO. If democrat support is weak in NJ and NY anything's possible.

48 posted on 11/07/2006 9:03:40 AM PST by pgkdan
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To: Maddymay

Thanks for the report.

Now...Where are all the Northern VA Freepers!!


49 posted on 11/07/2006 9:03:59 AM PST by snarkytart
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To: LS

Looking at the current weather map, it looks like the Jedi-climatrol is working in most of the metro areas. Rain in Toledo, Dayton, Cleveland, Akron, Cincinnati, Youngstown.... Now, we need a climactic disturbance in points east.....


50 posted on 11/07/2006 9:05:48 AM PST by Lando Lincoln (For what cause would a liberal go to war? ...besides revolutions...)
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To: LS

I'm not up one what this is all about. Who is Obi Wan at NRO?


51 posted on 11/07/2006 9:06:07 AM PST by Zack Nguyen
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To: pgkdan

Consider if those translations were directly proportional to the House races: Shays, Simmons, Johnson, even Sweeny would not be in trouble but ahead.


52 posted on 11/07/2006 9:09:46 AM PST by LS
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To: Zack Nguyen
NRO=National Review Online. In 2004, Jim Geraghty, a writer there, had an "inside" source at the GOP, a wise, powerful "behind-the-scenes" guy whose judgment Jim trusts intimately.

He calls him Obi wan. Obi wan was dead on in his analysis in 2004. I sense here that Obi wan is even more optimistic than Jim.

53 posted on 11/07/2006 9:12:55 AM PST by LS
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To: LS

I am still sticking to my prediction of little change, even though I am a little nervous.


54 posted on 11/07/2006 10:51:41 AM PST by Perdogg (Democratic Party - The political wing of Al Qaida)
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To: Dems_R_Losers

Interesting analogy with 1976. Of course, that was a presidential race result, but the GOP has had great success nationalizing these House races under Dubya....unfortunately this could cut against us just as it cut for us in 2002....its going to be an interesting evening.....I'm with you, I sure hope we don't lose a bunch of seats by 2% or less...that would really stink...


55 posted on 11/07/2006 11:39:06 AM PST by Al Simmons (Always look on the bright side of life!!!)
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To: LS

Ya mean Pelosi got her newest facelift for nothing?


56 posted on 11/07/2006 11:40:51 AM PST by Palladin (Vote for Rick Santorum, a true prolife conservative!)
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To: Maddymay
Bucks County went blue in 2004, so where is all the anger and the angst from the "Hair on Fire" left that the media promised us at the polls today?

Same here at my mostly democrat precinct here in Cuyahoga County Ohio, that's Cleveland for those who don't know. It seems to be a steady trickle not the massive crush all day that was 2004.

57 posted on 11/07/2006 12:12:19 PM PST by CzarNicky (The problem with bad ideas is that they seemed like good ideas at the time.)
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To: LS

I sense a great disturbance in the Force; as though millions of moonbats cried out in terror, and were suddenly silenced.


58 posted on 11/07/2006 12:21:49 PM PST by Redcloak (Speak softly and wear a loud shirt.)
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To: LS

There's nothing odd going on in MI - we are kicking some Dem a$$. Go DeVos! Go Bouchard!


59 posted on 11/07/2006 12:49:04 PM PST by kcbc2001
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To: Redcloak

LOL.


60 posted on 11/07/2006 12:49:42 PM PST by LS
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