Posted on 10/23/2006 2:36:12 PM PDT by charbookguy
But in the Blue States, there will be people who've never strongly identified with the party who will be pulling the Democrat lever, so what the Democrats lose in some states will be made up for in others. In some states, people who lost interest a long time ago in what the Democrats had to offer will be voting against Bush and the Republican Congressional leadership.
I don't have answers for 2, 3, and 5, but I'm going to write a bit about 1 and 4.
From what I hear, at the plants, Dems are allowed to put out their material because the union says that it's UAW sponsored. And usually, they get the day off, "to vote".
However, a lot of R supporters are in the unions, but they have to keep quiet about it because they don't want to mess up their union status. I've had different people come up to me and say that their whole department is voting R. And because Labor is a huge in MI, we've learned how to get our message out more effectively.
As for the districts here in MI, there isn't a close race for the House that we have to worry about. And the big focus is on the Senate and knocking out Stabenow, so that would be a gain for the R's. There are Congressional races that the lefties are trying to target, but I don't think that they are going to pull off an upset.
I really don't think the Dems on my state are as motivated as the Republicans. When it comes right down to it, it's very anti-incumbent out there - and our current governor and Senators are Dems - so I think that their victory dance is really premature here.
The 64,000 question is will the pubbie base turn out after 18 months of bashing Bush or will they sit home to "teach 'em a lesson." If it's the latter, we lose.
i made the same mistake. never again.
of course, in liberal SF, my vote is wasted as pelosi will have no trouble. but i still need to show up to vote against all of the ridiculous liberal initiatives, most of which are for spending money we don't have.
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