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Posted on 10/15/2006 10:17:28 PM PDT by RWR8189
The Civil War was not much of a realignment event. The nation had already realigned prior to the Civil War during the decade preceding the war. The most dramatic realignment in U.S. history was actually in the 1894 midterm election, when the Democrats were demolished for a loss of 116 seats.
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There. Fixed it.
Others have said that if the Dems take control of Congress this year, their majority will be short-lived, much like the GOP congressional victories in 1952.
Hear, hear.
Plus the fact that along with the lying reports from the drive-by media .. the dem pollsters were using 11-14% over-weighting of dems in order to get the numbers they wanted - Bush at 39%. However, something amazing has happened lately .. the dems are now using 16% more dems than repubs - so what does that tell you ..?? It tells you that our numbers have gone up to the point that the dems have had to use even more dems in order to get the skewed polls that they want.
Remember too .. Bush's personal rating is 61% - that's pretty high for a 39% job disapproval. That's why I don't believe their stinking polls.
They are dinosaurs based in the past; and demographically ALL of their strongholds are under attack.
Northeast Liberals: people are leaving and all the population growth is in red-state South and West. This will cause a shift in 2012 and later elections. Also some eyes have been opened in NYC and NJ due to 9/11 .
Blacks and Latinos (that are here legally) are entering the middle class (becoming Republican) and are concerned about moral values (becoming Republican).
The hippies and Me-generation of yesteryear aborted their kids or never had any t o begin with - while the more conservative and Republican folks got pregnant and were far less likely to have abortions. In case no-one told Nancy Pelosi: gays and lesbians can only recruit, not reproduce/
In a dangerous world, with NK exploding nukes, the nation will turn to those who are more responsible with national security. This means Republicans.
My prediction: the Republicans hold onto majorities.
Do you believe that?
PING
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." -Manuel II Palelogus
Bush can and should veto any nonsense passed by congress, should the dems get a majority.
And the dems would have nothing approaching veto override numbers.
Gridlock; which often is a good thing, since so much of what comes before congress winds up costing taxpayers money.
Exactly! Not only they overweight national average, but they apply the same overweight in local / regional races where polls wouldn't even be close if they used local / regional Dems/Repubs ratios and "likely" voters...
So what if in San Francisco or New York or Los Angeles or New Jersey Dems have 40% advantage - they are already in Dems hands, so why should it affect other less dense local / state races where Dems have a deficit, yet they still overweight those polls with national averages.
Even Rasmussen uses about 5% overweighting, and I don't think he adjusts the numbers by localities.
Much more depends on turnout, and that's why I believe that "polls" are just one part in the overall strategy to suppress GOP turnout, along with steady stream of negative "news" and books and interviews. Another dishonest use of "polls" is so "journalists" instead of reporting and focusing on facts or ideas can make statements or ask questions like:
"... but the polls show..."
"... but American people say..."
"... but the opinion of majority of Americans is..."
As an aside: how can we revert the party colors back to normal as they were pre-2000 election? This cruel joke of GOP=red, Dems=blue still gives me a cognitive dissonance. Can we start with asking Fox and some other reasonable organisations to go back to traditional colors?
Rush has been complaining for years that the drive-by uses polls to create a story .. instead of reporting the news.
I don't care about the colors .. except that "true Blue" is better than "dead Red". Is that the problem ..??
CA - in their state map for 2000 (I think) did use the reverse colors and gave Bush-Blue. It was a shock at first until I realized they had reversed the colors.
When Barone says it's "likely" that Dems will take the House, that makes me worry for the first time. I think he is the smartest, best-informed political analyst on the scene.
Translation: This election will be all about turnout.
I think we win in a civil war with the left, unless they can marshal the gangbangers because that is the only faction among their ranks who have any firepower.
We got the guns..........and the ammo.
Yep. But if I had to pick, I'd rather have the senate for the long haul. I want the judges.
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