Menendez Haunted by Party Ghosts (New Jersey Senate race)

New York Observer ^ | 9/20/06 | Steve Kornacki

[DontBelieveAugPolls]

Menendez will win this walking away. 5 points or more.

NJ polls actually under poll DEM strength. Since 2000, not a single GOP candidate running for statewide office has won more than 46% of the popular vote. From RINO Forrester to conservative Schundler, the GOP is maxed out at 46%.

NJ polls seem to measure the GOP candidate strength quite well. Last year Corzine v Forrester was polling as a close race. 45-48 etc etc. On election day it was 45-55 for Corzine. At no time did Corzine consistently poll over 50% and he certainly never had a 10 point lead.

Bush Kerry was polling closely at 44-46 for Bush to 47-48 for Kerry. Bush even began campaigning and spending money there. On election day it was 47-53 for Kerry.

My guess: NJ voters will support Menendez and if he is indicted, no biggie, Corzine just appoint his replacement

[DontBelieveAugPolls]

""Even the RAT Attorney General has not endorsed him in the current race.""

That's cuz she wants to win in 2010

[kevinm13]

Remember that there are probably more dead people voting in NJ than in most places -- even more than Cook County, IL. There isn't enough media pressure for Menendez to withdraw even though he may be indicted and convicted. And Corslime will just appoint another corrupt Dim in his place. Expect to hear Senator Codey after November.

[moose2004]

"In any event, if nothing else Kean needs to be supported to punish the decades of corruption by the evil New Jersey Democratic machine."

Well said, I totally agree.

[zendari]

That depends on whether they can make a Torricelli swap or not.

[Jimnorwellwarren]

I assume Kean supports the Flag Ammendment. Where does he stand on illegal immigration? I don't even have to look up his political biography to that, just like his father, he was too good to serve in the uniform of his country.