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TS/Hurricane/TS (now TD) Ernesto 29 Aug 2006
NWS/NHC ^ | 29 August 2006 | NHC

Posted on 08/29/2006 4:10:44 AM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: brothers4thID
Brother,

You all be safe down there, it would my personal opinion that the models tonight might just reflect a bit more than that.

Either way, we will have to watch for the red-zone if the storm does track to our west.

-t
921 posted on 08/30/2006 4:57:07 PM PDT by onthedancefloort (And We said thereafter to the Children of Israel, "Dwell securely in the land (of promise)": 17-104)
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To: brothers4thID

man if it floods again I will just scream! How bad did you get it? I am still trying to recover.


922 posted on 08/30/2006 5:04:18 PM PDT by RDTF ("We love death. The US loves life. That is the big difference between us two.” Osama Bin laden)
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To: onthedancefloort

I see it. Now I'm wondering, if that is supposed to be the mechanism to wring all the water out of Ernesto, then how do the remnants get to Ontario?


923 posted on 08/30/2006 5:06:33 PM PDT by dirtboy (This tagline has been photoshopped)
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To: dirtboy

Looks like I'm about to catch the southern side of this beast. So far we've only had 2" of rain but a lot more is coming. Duck and cover.


924 posted on 08/30/2006 5:13:55 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (Tom Gallagher - the anti-Crist [FL Governor, 2006 primary])
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To: dirtboy
If you look at the models, you would think that the system splits, like what happened down in Baltimore's. Was that last year?

I don't know, you have the tropical models forecasting the left turn and speeding the circulation up now, so it just don't seem logical. Systems do split at these latitudes so we shall see if that is indeed the case.

-t
925 posted on 08/30/2006 5:16:47 PM PDT by onthedancefloort (And We said thereafter to the Children of Israel, "Dwell securely in the land (of promise)": 17-104)
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To: brothers4thID

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/14586956/

WRC-TV
7:22 p.m. EDT August 30, 2006
WASHINGTON - Ernesto could bring some heavy rain to end the Washington area's dry spell, according to News4 meteorologist Bob Ryan. The National Weather Service has issued a flash flood watch from Thursday afternoon until Friday night for the following counties:


Frederick
Spotsylvania
Howard
Fauquier
Stafford
St. Mary's
King George
Fairfax
Loudoun
Calvert
Montgomery
Prince George's

Tropical Depression Ernesto is expected to make landfall on the South Carolina coast Thursday, according to the NWS.

The remnants of the storm are expected to move north and reach the mid-Atlantic Friday. Extensive tropical moisture and heavy rains will spread north ahead of the storm.

The heaviest rains will reach central Virginia Friday morning and northern Maryland by midday Friday.

At that time total rainfall of 4 to 5 inches is possible in the watch area. The highest totals will likely be along east facing ridges of the higher terrain.

This amount of rainfall will have the potential to cause flash flooding of small streams and creeks and urban areas. D.C. area officials are preparing for rescues in the event of flooding.

In addition, longer duration river flooding could develop over the weekend on main stem rivers such as the Shenandoah, Potomac And Rappahannock.

A flash flood watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

Ryan said the Washington area will have a cloudy day on Thursday with the high clouds from Ernesto keeping temperatures in the low 70s. Friday is when the area will start to feel the effects of Ernesto, Ryan said.

Heading into the holiday weekend, there will be a chance of more rain, Ryan said.


926 posted on 08/30/2006 5:48:02 PM PDT by RDTF ("We love death. The US loves life. That is the big difference between us two.” Osama Bin laden)
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To: All
New Thread
927 posted on 08/30/2006 6:32:27 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: dirtboy

Greeeeeat. That "X" where they've got an estimate of 8.7" of rain is about 30 miles northwest of me. Once this word gets out, it's gonna be end-of-the-world snowstorm-incoming crazy at Ukrops today. *sigh*

After two fairly damaging tropical systems (Isabel in 2003, Gaston in 2004), people here in central Virginia are twitchier than most inland folks about hurricanes. Plus the older residents remember Camille in 1969 and Agnes in 1972. The low-lying parts of Richmond tend to flood fairly easily (even with a very impressive Corps of Engineers floodwall along the north bank of the James) so people pay attention to stuff like this.

We had plans to drive to Charlotte for a family visit tomorrow evening after work, now we're going to hold those off until Saturday morning, assuming we don't get anything more than some rain and that nothing really horrible comes out of it.

}:-)4


928 posted on 08/31/2006 4:05:43 AM PDT by Moose4 (Dirka dirka Mohammed jihad.)
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To: Moose4

That forecast is from 12Z yesterday (8 AM), so it includes the estimated rainfall for that event you had yesterday. So hopefully it won't be as bad as it might seem at first glance.


929 posted on 08/31/2006 4:16:24 AM PDT by dirtboy (This tagline has been photoshopped)
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To: dirtboy

Hurricane warnings now up along the SC and NC coasts. Looks like it may hit hurricane strength after all. I heard Joe Bastardi predict this yesterday and thought he was nuts. Oh well...


930 posted on 08/31/2006 10:04:28 AM PDT by pgkdan
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To: pgkdan

The NHC doesn't think it will reach hurricane strength by landfall, but the forecast strength of 55-60 knots is close enough to merit a watch. I recall Bastardi was forecasting a Cat 2, so he's still nuts.


931 posted on 08/31/2006 10:09:50 AM PDT by dirtboy (This tagline has been photoshopped)
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To: dirtboy
I recall Bastardi was forecasting a Cat 2, so he's still nuts.

LOL...I'll give you that! A drama queen at the very least.

932 posted on 08/31/2006 11:50:51 AM PDT by pgkdan
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To: All

Well Fox just reported it is up to 70 mph. Uhhh is this thread dead?


933 posted on 08/31/2006 5:14:12 PM PDT by epaul
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