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Stop Worrying About the Trade Deficit
TCS Daily ^ | February 10, 2006 | Donald Boudreaux

Posted on 02/10/2006 5:08:24 AM PST by LowCountryJoe

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To: Toddsterpatriot; Carry_Okie

Our indebtedness is quite large when you factor in foreign ownership of land.

When we ran a "surplus" I don't recall that the trade deficit "disappeared.


41 posted on 02/10/2006 8:49:02 AM PST by sauropod ("Here Lies Joe Biden, Buried Under His Own Words.")
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To: On the Road to Serfdom
"Paradigm shifting"? You seem to be just throwing words around without a coherent point.

What don't you understand?
My economic perspective is unabashedly pro-American.
Globalists OTOH, view economic data from a "neutral" perspective, interpreting it to their own advantage regardless of national consequences.

"Merchants have no country. The mere spot they stand on does not constitute so strong an attachment as that from which they draw their gains."

--Thomas Jefferson to Horatio G. Spafford, 1814. ME 14:119

The Bush Administration represents the vested interests of transnational corporations.
Under current economic conditions, these interests do not coincide with the best interests of America or the American Middle Class.
42 posted on 02/10/2006 8:51:41 AM PST by Willie Green (Go Pat Go!!!)
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To: sauropod
Our indebtedness is quite large when you factor in foreign ownership of land.

How much land do foreigners own? And how does their ownership of assets translate into our indebtedness?

When we ran a "surplus" I don't recall that the trade deficit "disappeared.

That's correct, so how does their accumulation of dollars and dollar assets translate into our indebtedness again?

43 posted on 02/10/2006 8:53:43 AM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Why is Paul Craig Roberts such an assclown?)
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To: Toddsterpatriot; Carry_Okie
How much land do foreigners own? And how does their ownership of assets translate into our indebtedness?

Mark, can you help out here?

Todd, when someone owns a note or a signed obligation, does it not mean the signatory to the note owned by someone else is in debt to that other person?

There is also a sovereignty and national security aspect to this. If foreign countries own certain things in this country, it puts Americans at risk. Think the Chinese and the Panama Canal. You can thank Mr. Peanut for that.

44 posted on 02/10/2006 8:57:17 AM PST by sauropod ("Here Lies Joe Biden, Buried Under His Own Words.")
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To: LowCountryJoe

Isn't it great. Foreigners send us cars, electronics, oil, etc. and all we have to do is send them little green pieces of paper. Best scam ever.


45 posted on 02/10/2006 9:03:55 AM PST by opinionator
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To: sauropod
Todd, when someone owns a note or a signed obligation, does it not mean the signatory to the note owned by someone else is in debt to that other person?

If you're talking about Treasury debt then just say so.

There is also a sovereignty and national security aspect to this. If foreign countries own certain things in this country, it puts Americans at risk.

Why don't you be more specific?

Think the Chinese and the Panama Canal. You can thank Mr. Peanut for that.

Yes, handing over the Canal was stupid. The last time I checked though, the Canal was not in this country.

46 posted on 02/10/2006 9:04:57 AM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Why is Paul Craig Roberts such an assclown?)
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To: Toddsterpatriot
Yes, handing over the Canal was stupid. The last time I checked though, the Canal was not in this country.

We built the canal and had operational control over it. Last time I checked, the definition of property rights was to have acquisition, ownership, and use of an asset. We certainly had "use."

47 posted on 02/10/2006 9:07:05 AM PST by sauropod ("Here Lies Joe Biden, Buried Under His Own Words.")
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To: sauropod
We built the canal and had operational control over it.

Yes we did. And it was stupid to give that up.

Last time I checked, the definition of property rights was to have acquisition, ownership, and use of an asset. We certainly had "use."

Yes. Are you saying we no longer have use?

48 posted on 02/10/2006 9:11:45 AM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Why is Paul Craig Roberts such an assclown?)
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To: Carry_Okie
They're buying our debt floated to fund entitlements and military protection of American investors abroad (a massive subsidy). Holding vast amounts of our debt gives those investors political leverage over our government. Not a good thing.

And as the article points out, that is the fault of the government. We should be lobbying the government to stop deficit spending. That will not, however, stop the trade deficit.

They're two different things.

49 posted on 02/10/2006 9:12:17 AM PST by BfloGuy (It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we can expect . . .)
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To: sauropod; Toddsterpatriot
And how does their ownership of assets translate into our indebtedness?

They hold collateral on the note. As I understand it, this includes the entire mineral estate of the United States and (more recently) water resources. The way control of these is transferred from Americans to foreigners is via environmental regulations empowered by (IMO unconstitutional) treaties held at the UN.

Given that interest rates on bonds don't pay very much, there has to be a way to sweeten the deal given inflationary pressures on the principal, else the lenders aren't very enthusiastic at bond auctions and interest rates would otherwise rise rather sharply. Needless to say, once regulatory power has been consolidated in administrative government, a selective permitting and enforcement process is a very easy way to deliver a politically opaque return.

I can confirm that there are virtually no American hard rock mining operations left in the Western US. Those permits are held by European and Asian concerns (no, I don't have a lot of hard data on this, but I know some folks in the mining business who might; I've been avoiding doing that research because I've been busy elsewhere). We have effectively sold our assets to secure borrowing to fund a military machine that defends the creditors' interests abroad, something against which toddsterpatriot has inurred his comprehension, the siren song of comparative advantage being what it is.

Unfortunately for the economists, there's no such thing as an even playing field; the intangibles of relative risk skew any transaction, whether environmental (exotic species in imported goods), military (obligations to defend extended supply lines when domestic production is subject to regulatory constraint), or political (illegal aliens). It is the role of government to see that those risks are justly apportioned. Unfortunately, it is all too easy for a craven welfare state to socialize the risks while privatizing the benefits instead.

50 posted on 02/10/2006 9:24:01 AM PST by Carry_Okie (There are people in power who are truly evil.)
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To: bordergal
"And there are plenty of working people (including college professors, teachers, policeman, fireman) who can't afford these prices."

And as they vacate elsewhere, the market will adjust. Supply and demand.

51 posted on 02/10/2006 9:32:24 AM PST by Sam's Army
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To: Willie Green
"The Bush Administration represents the vested interests of transnational corporations."

Spoken like a true DU'er

52 posted on 02/10/2006 9:33:42 AM PST by Sam's Army
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To: Carry_Okie
They hold collateral on the note. As I understand it, this includes the entire mineral estate of the United States and (more recently) water resources. The way control of these is transferred from Americans to foreigners is via environmental regulations empowered by (IMO unconstitutional) treaties held at the UN.

Oh man, that's funny. The last time I bought a Treasury I didn't see anything about collateral. Maybe you have a link that goes into more detail? Maybe on the Alcoa website? LOL!

53 posted on 02/10/2006 9:40:36 AM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Why is Paul Craig Roberts such an assclown?)
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To: LowCountryJoe

bttt


54 posted on 02/10/2006 9:41:08 AM PST by petercooper (Win the war. Confirm the judges. Cut the taxes. Control the spending. Seal the borders.)
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To: Carry_Okie
They hold collateral on the note. As I understand it, this includes the entire mineral estate of the United States and (more recently) water resources.

So if the US defaults then we may wake up one morning an every drop of water in the US will be carted off by some Chinese repo man?

55 posted on 02/10/2006 10:16:36 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama
So if the US defaults then we may wake up one morning an every drop of water in the US will be carted off by some Chinese repo man?

Not exactly. It's much more effective from their prospective locking them up so that foreign production has a "comparative advantage." It's easy to do using environmental law.

There are ranchers being driven away from deeded and developed water rights at gunpoint by Federal agents all across the West. The claim is that ranching MIGHT be harmful to endangered species, turtles, grouse, flycatchers, whatever. The fact that those species do BETTER when cattle are present has nothing to do with the policy. Of course, it has nothing at all to do with the fact that Soros and Rockefeller have major investments in South American cattle production either. Nope, not a bit.

They get calves out of India and Pakistan, ship them to Argentina and Brazil, fatten them up down there, ship them to Mexico, they come in under NAFTA, spend two weeks in a cattle pen eating Cargill grain, and VOILA! It's American beef. American beef producers can't get honest domestic labeling out of the USDA. I wonder why?

Soros is now the largest landowner in Argentina. He bought it after crashing the currency. Take the hint.

56 posted on 02/10/2006 10:31:47 AM PST by Carry_Okie (There are people in power who are truly evil.)
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To: Sam's Army
Spoken like a true DU'er

Yeah, yeah, yeah...
Why don't you go to the Religion forum and claim that the Pope is a Scientologist or something?
Show a little ingenuity instead of that boringly lame DU innuendo.

57 posted on 02/10/2006 10:52:06 AM PST by Willie Green (Go Pat Go!!!)
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To: Willie Green

Wow, the Pope's a Scientologist? What's your source?


58 posted on 02/10/2006 10:55:27 AM PST by Sam's Army
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To: Carry_Okie
We're mixing up two different subjects here.  Public debt is the US gov't selling bonds to finance federal spending.  The bonds are not secured and if our gov't defaults then the only thing the creditors can do is stop loaning any more money. 

The trade deficit is separate.  Nations that trade with each other can swap goods (crops, products, services) and they can swap capital (land, patent rights, stocks and bonds).  By the end of the day (or year), if a country sells more capital than goods, it has a 'trade deficit' and a capital surplus --or vise versa.. .   One will always equal the other regardless of who's getting rich.  We're getting rich right now even though we have a trade deficit.  In 1960 we had a trade surplus and we were going broke --we had to pay off our capital account deficit by shipping out our gold reserves.   More info here.

The balance of payments is always zero.  What's important is whether or not we're getting rich.  We are.

59 posted on 02/10/2006 10:55:33 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama
The bonds are not secured and if our gov't defaults then the only thing the creditors can do is stop loaning any more money.

That's the case for American citizens. Treasuries held by foriegn investors are collateralized. I've heard Greenspan himself demand more collateral from Congress, and he specifically mentioned water. The Desertification Treaty passed soon after, by voice vote.

The trade deficit is separate.

I was asked, by sauropod, to explain how bonds, bought with the cash of the trade deficit, were a problem for Americans. So I did.

What's important is whether or not we're getting rich. We are.

We disagree. Some people are getting rich, at the expense of others.

60 posted on 02/10/2006 11:13:00 AM PST by Carry_Okie (There are people in power who are truly evil.)
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