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Iran or Bust (The defining test of Bush's war presidency)
The Weekly Standard ^ | February 6, 2006 | Jeffrey Bell

Posted on 01/29/2006 4:13:58 AM PST by RWR8189

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To: arthurus

"Nuclear destruction in the US is pretty big fallout for Conservatives, too. What do you suppose Republican election chances will be if we lose Chicago and Boston Harbor or Tel Aviv?"

Through in LA/San Fran and NYC in those nuke hits and it would be Conservative landslide. ;o)


21 posted on 01/29/2006 5:35:48 AM PST by MaDeuce (Do it to them, before they do it to you!)
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To: i_am_right_of_center
Good post iaroc. What would be your theoretical course of action? I'm beginning to think an overwhelming sucker punch to take out the administration and top nuke facilities is in order. Doesn't matter who does it but timing is critical.

mc
22 posted on 01/29/2006 5:36:32 AM PST by mcshot (Rusty but trusty or vice versa.)
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To: A. Pole

The war with Iran very likely will weaken USA. As a result it will weaken Israel and Israel will be forced to modify its basic policies in the direction of radical compromise with Muslim neighbors and to established closer relations with the European countries.

_________________________

You seem to be fearing current conditions. America was not made weaker by war with Japan and Germany. It was made the most powerful nation in the world.
In this current climate the people of America have not sacrificed their comfortable life styles. They have not struggled with shortages that radicallly change their daily lives. They have not suffered the loss of hundreds of thousand of young people. These were the burdens of the war with the Axis. Are we capable of less than our grandparents? Is less demanded of us?
If Bush has failed to rally us to sacrifice it is because the demand for sacrifice is not yet required. The day will come when we will know that we are at war....


23 posted on 01/29/2006 5:37:24 AM PST by Louis Foxwell (Here come I, gravitas in tow.)
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To: AmericanDave
I hope they know their window of opportunity is growing smaller by day.

mc
24 posted on 01/29/2006 5:40:51 AM PST by mcshot (Rusty but trusty or vice versa.)
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To: A. Pole; hershey

<< The war with Iran very likely will weaken USA. >>

Not so.

America was a hundred times stronger in 1950 than in 1940 - and it wasn't ONLY that Roosevelt was dead and the Roosevelt Depression finally over.

Iran will be as easy as was Iraq.

And Syria even easier.


25 posted on 01/29/2006 5:42:09 AM PST by Brian Allen (How arrogant are we to believe our career political-power-lusting lumpen somehow superior to theirs?)
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To: RWR8189
Sadly the Bush administration and Republican's tendency to "play nice" all the time will hurt us in dealing with Iran.

The perception is that the Iraq war is troublesome but our cause over there has not been defended vigorously enough.

I doubt we could present even a remote possibility of another conflict with another Muslim terrorist country in the middle east without the 'Rats, MSM and the public in general going nuts.

26 posted on 01/29/2006 5:49:56 AM PST by manwiththehands (Good news for America = bad news for democRats.)
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To: Amos the Prophet
America was not made weaker by war with Japan and Germany.

Some wars makes countries stronger, some make weaker.

27 posted on 01/29/2006 5:54:25 AM PST by A. Pole (Dr. Michael Savage is in and the diagnosis is clear: "Liberalism is a Mental Disorder")
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To: i_am_right_of_center
but not too sure we have many options though.

Three months ago we didn't have options. We had to wait for their next move. Now we are very close to having casus belli to go in and slay the beast. Then everything will be ok. We can't take out the weapons. But we can take out the regime.

28 posted on 01/29/2006 6:02:47 AM PST by Flavius Josephus (Enemy Idealogies: Pacifism, Liberalism, and Feminism, Islamic Supremacism)
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To: G.Mason

I have nothing to offer but blood, toil, tears, and sweat...


29 posted on 01/29/2006 6:04:09 AM PST by Flavius Josephus (Enemy Idealogies: Pacifism, Liberalism, and Feminism, Islamic Supremacism)
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To: i_am_right_of_center

Americans support military action by almost 60% already. If we are to have the oil cut off, perhaps it's better that it is done via war... then we will band together and unite for a while. I don't fear the election consequences. Not when it is a national security situation.


30 posted on 01/29/2006 6:06:15 AM PST by Flavius Josephus (Enemy Idealogies: Pacifism, Liberalism, and Feminism, Islamic Supremacism)
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To: Flavius Josephus
Now we are very close to having casus belli to go in and slay the beast.

Fascinating. Could you describe, how you imagine this campaign, please?

31 posted on 01/29/2006 6:09:12 AM PST by A. Pole (Dr. Michael Savage is in and the diagnosis is clear: "Liberalism is a Mental Disorder")
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To: Brian Allen

Not too sure I agree with you on this one Brian. War with Syria would cause "general" indifference in the US- as their standard of living would be uneffected (although the national debt- a tax on future generations- would rise yet more). So yeah might well be "easy".
But hitting Iran is in another ball park altogether. Spiralling oil prices after such an event would make the 1970's OPEC inspired oil price hikes and the recessionary impact it caused look like a walk in the park.
I don't think the vast majority of people are willing to take a massive hit to their current comfortable life styles.
I personally think that in 5 years time Iran will have nukes- as North Korea do today. Then we'll be in an even worse position- but hey the average american will still have cheap gas. I hope I'm wrong.


32 posted on 01/29/2006 6:10:07 AM PST by i_am_right_of_center
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To: RWR8189
When he (Johnson) left office in January 1969 the United States was in a far weaker geopolitical position, in Vietnam and globally, than it had been when Johnson took office.

Yeah, but his buddies that ran the various defense contracting companies were pretty happy......

33 posted on 01/29/2006 6:15:58 AM PST by Thermalseeker
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To: A. Pole

Classical American Air War doctrine.


34 posted on 01/29/2006 6:16:29 AM PST by Flavius Josephus (Enemy Idealogies: Pacifism, Liberalism, and Feminism, Islamic Supremacism)
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To: i_am_right_of_center
the fallout COULD be huge for us conservatives.

The fallout from an Iranian nuke detonated on our soil by terrorists would be far worse.....

35 posted on 01/29/2006 6:22:09 AM PST by Thermalseeker
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To: i_am_right_of_center
I share your concerns. However, I don't believe the Shia parties (except for Mookie) are Iranian like. Many Iraqis resent Iran from the long war in which many Iraqi Shia lost their lives fighting for Iraq.
I think the Iranian pilgrims coming over to the two shrines in Iraq (Ali and Hussein) are being exposed to what is taking place in Iraq. This may cause more change in Iran. Also, it appears that the US may be becoming more active in Iran. There is another post on Drudge that Iran is complaining of our meddling in southern Iran.

I think we need to get ready for high oil prices. I have already moved a large percentage of my holding out of the stock market.
For sure, dubya will push for sanctions and perhaps a military strike. An agreement with Iran is highly unlikely.
36 posted on 01/29/2006 6:26:11 AM PST by GeorgefromGeorgia
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To: IronManBike
...events are converging to ELEVATE the people of God UP...UP...and AWAYAY!

Yippee-Ki-Yee-Yi-YAAAAYYYYY!!!!

I'm with you, IronManBike, and I'm with My SAVIOR!

37 posted on 01/29/2006 6:32:23 AM PST by ExcursionGuy84 ("Jesus, Your Love takes my breath away.")
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To: MaDuce
Say what you will, the human condition is relatively unchanged over centuries. There are good times followed by bad.

Each generation, that must face those bad times, either deals with them, in a meaingful way, or perishes.

This isn't just about the rationing of gasoline, donating aluminum pots to the war effort, or sending dad to war and mom to the factory.

As was in WWII, this is about the survival of the nation and a way of life.

Sooner, or later, the American public will wake to that fact. We better hope it is sooner.





38 posted on 01/29/2006 6:36:59 AM PST by G.Mason ("I don't know the key to success, but the key to failure is to try to please everyone" -- Bill Cosby)
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To: Flavius Josephus
Classical American Air War doctrine.

Like 1999 bombing of Serbia? It lasted three months, accomplished very little (the compromise - ie temporary occupation of Kosovo, which was later reneged by NATO, was made possible only because of Yeltsin government), it was done from the large bases located very close and the target was 16 times smaller than Iran.

If you have the concrete idea how this air campaign is to look like, present it, please. Using the Serbian campaign as a reference you could suggest:

How much hardware will be available (compare with 1999)?

What distances will have to be covered, which airbases will be used(compare with 1999)?

How long will it last (compare with 1999)?

What will be the physical results whether military, nuclear or civilian (compare it with 1999)?

What will be the political resolution (compare it with 1999)?

What will be the political and economic cost, and what will be the gains (compare it with 1999)?

39 posted on 01/29/2006 6:51:53 AM PST by A. Pole (Dr. Michael Savage is in and the diagnosis is clear: "Liberalism is a Mental Disorder")
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To: G.Mason

Bush is a great poker player. He's got both Ahemjad and Chavez ranting and raving like crazymen while he just quietly tightens the screws. He will not show his hand, but it is a lot stronger than these silkstocking pundits know.


40 posted on 01/29/2006 6:58:36 AM PST by ClaireSolt (.)
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