Posted on 12/04/2005 6:44:30 AM PST by slowhand520
While this is Ras, it also is supported by the Fox News poll. Bush is back above 40 percent approval in their poll, with disapproval only slightly higher than the approval percentage.
It is amazing what just simply trying to talk to the American people a little bit will do.
Hopefully, the president will not crawl back into his shell and let the Dems beat him senseless for the next few months.
And remarkably, this is just of adults.
No doubt he would close to 50 percent among likely voters.
Funny how his approval ratings jumped when the White House fought back. Fox news also has helped ... they've been running some pretty anti-left stories lately. Things like approval ratings can change when the REAL truth is told.
I bet the WH was scared to have Bush speak because they thought it could have backfired in the media if he made major gaffes etc.
And, it certainly could have. But, the risk of not speaking out is much greater, and I think they finally have realized that.
Actually, this can be analyzed with statistical probabilities. If the poll value was 50%, and the standard deviation was 3%, then there is still a 25% probability that a perfectly random poll could have achieved a value of 52% or higher (there is a 68% probability that a poll will be within one standard deviation of the mean, and this value was a difference of 0.67 of a SDM). This all assumes that the poll was independent and random and that that the systematic error of under-counting likely voters could be directly added.
In reality there is no well defined way to account for the correction of a systematic error in a final calculation, but it seems reasonable to do it with typical statistical equations (i.e. quadrature). In this case it wouldn't have affected the result, there would still be a ~29% probability of polling 52% or higher. Unless that probability is less than 5% or so, it is not unreasonable to conclude that there is a possibility that it is the correct value. So in conclusion, there is a 25-29% probability from this poll that the presidents approval rating is 52% or higher. Now if you believe that the poll was biased, you have to do another reevaluation.
I bet if President Bush would come and speak to the American people every week, talking about our successes in Iraq and the economy, his approval numbers would go way up.
A good article makes this point:
Larry Kudlow: Sales-in-Chief
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1533176/posts
Could it be that George W. Bush, our first MBA president, is adopting a new strategy to aggressively market and merchandise his policies and successes? Finally? Following the Friday morning arrival of a strong jobs report -- one that came in well over the monthly average for the past year -- Bush actually appeared on the South Lawn of the White House to make a statement on the success of the economy and his tax-cut policies. This is what President Clinton used to do in the 1990s with each piece of good news, and it’s what President Reagan did through numerous televised speeches from the White House in the 1980s. This is exactly what Bush needs to do.
Message repetition. Without it the mainstream media will fill the void with their usual brand of pessimism. But the reality is that the economic story is an optimistic one.
The same holds true for the Iraq war. Things are going far better in the Middle East than the mainstream media would have us believe. Bush did himself a lot of good with his Iraq speech at Annapolis this past Wednesday. It was filled with facts and figures and made the case that Iraqi-ization is moving forward.
And just think how the Rats and the MSM are gonna feel in a decade or so when Dubya is thought of by Americans in the same light as the Gipper is today!
I Love it!
Wow...think you might be a little overly confident in GW's ability?sar/
I did not say that because I lack confidence in our president. He is fully capable of articulating his positions.
I say this for everybody...any president takes a risk by going out in public. They all can screw something up and take a hit for it. But, you have to take that risk and go to the public if you want your polls to stay up.
BTW, who are Granholm's likely opponents?
He doesn't have to refute each and every lie personally....Set up one of those Clinton war rooms and get ahead of things and fight! That's part of the job description these days.
Bush tried the "compassionate conservative" for 5 years and the MSM beat him up at every turn, not giving him any credit for anything. Sure glad he is finally patting himself and others on the back. 2006 is looking better and only with 2 weeks of finally talking.
I'm sure the Michigan Dems are already hard at work on blaming that high unemployment rate on the President instead of the state government.
Were you keeping tabs on politics, like, ten years ago?
Rich DeVos is a great guy. What is the founder of Amway's campaign?
FWIW My mother has been in Amway since I was a little kid the late 70's. She (and now my wife and I) buy a lot of our goods from Quixtar.
Well, if he's doing so well among likely voters, surely...
Wait a minute. Wasn't he already reelected?
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