Posted on 10/14/2005 7:23:47 AM PDT by new yorker 77
I'd love to take John Fund's 3 to 1 odds that Miers will withdraw. I'd put $1,000 on that right now.I want $1,000 of that action. But I think John Fund is talking out his butt and wouldn't invest one thin dime to back up his own words.
Kennedy had a lot of history with both Reagan and Ed Meese. Everyone expected him to be a reliable conservative vote. Unfortunately he has drifted left through the years. At the moment he is still the third or fourth most conservative member of the court. As we like to say in Sacramento, at least he's not Souter.
Where do I begin? Her disdain for the Federalist Society when she wasn't a candidate for SCOTUS, her support for quotas, her sponsorship of feminazi law school speakers...all of this and much more in spite of a "lack of a paper trail" make me believe she is very far from the Scalia/Thomas mold.
Right. I don't understand why this is even being discussed. When has Bush ever backed down?
Nominating her was a mistake but you can't put the toothpaste back in the tube.
Nope, don't think so. Do you think he is being damaged right now by all the in-fighting? If he withdraws and names a known Scalia/Thomas mold, what do you think will happen? Everyone will rejoice and rally around him. Even Miers supporters.
Great article.
In other words he was another "in house appointee" like Miers. If Reagan could get it wrong, why are we supposed to just assume without question that Bush has it right?
So you assert that the base has embraced excluding merit and experience and substituting ecclesiastical and secular faith for reason. Nice broad brush in which to slander millions of Americans.
First Bork got borked. Then Doug Ginsberg was withdrawn for past pot smoking with his students. Then Anthony Kennedy was third.
Truth is a paper trail tells you nothing, and so does any investigation done with no paper trail. The Stevens Precendent destroys all confidence one might have in anyone.
And that does mean Anyone.
A strict constructionist could become an activist. An activist could become a strict constructionist.
Is it a crap shoot?
Yes. All you can do is try to adjust the odds and you can adjust those by not very much. Is a 20 year personal relationship an inferior way to adjust those than a paper trail? The precedents say no. Few if any nominations based on personal knowledge of an individual have been made so we don't know if they work. We have many nominations made from paper trail and we know that many of those do not work.
Given a technique that you know has failures vs a technique that you do not know has failures, clearly the 2nd technique is superior.
The base are the grass-roots GOP (note that phrase...GOP) and pretty much support the President's choice.
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Nope, don't think so. Check this poll from a moderate website, Instapundit.
http://www.misterpoll.com/results.mpl?id=1289569503
If you are completely convinced she is a liberal then you could confidently bet money on a withdrawal, IMHO.
The base are the grass-roots GOP (note that phrase...GOP) and pretty much support the President's choice.
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Nope, don't think so. Check this poll from a moderate website, Instapundit.
http://www.misterpoll.com/results.mpl?id=1289569503
So you assert that the base has embraced excluding merit and experience and substituting ecclesiastical and secular faith for reason. Nice broad brush in which to slander millions of Americans.
If Harriet Miers is forced to withdraw before the hearings to which she is entitled, I hope the President nominates Alberto Gonzalez next. It would serve you reactionaries right.
Bush is rock-headed enough to nominate Alberto Gonzales. Or perhaps Norman Mineta?
But she can withdraw herself.
In my more paranoid, Carl Rove is an evil genius, moment, I was musing that this was all a grand strategy to get Gonzales on the bench. Nominate Miers, let conservatives come up with some really stupid objections, have her withdraw and then nominate Gonzales who satisfies all those objections. The only problem with this theory is how did the WH know that conservatives would act like hysterical 2 year olds.
And General Franco is still dead.
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