Posted on 10/12/2005 4:28:08 AM PDT by lump in the melting pot
"Might be al-qaeda just signed their own death warrant."
Sure looks like the gig may soon be up for them. I just don't think large numbers of Z-man sponsored goons are getting across the borders from the Syrian/Jordanian borders as was the case for a long time. And as we decimate their numbers in the riverian campaigns on an ongoing basis, they simply cannot regroup as before. Every town/city we pull raids on yield remaining weapon caches and bomb making facilities that are then destroyed. We are winning the war of atritition against them. And the Iraqi forces continue to grow stronger better equiped, more efficient as the opposition become weaker. No anti-Iraqi or foreign terrorist forces have won a single confrontation since the beginning of this year. And obviously they never had since day one of the war phase when going up against American and British forces. If there was a real strong terrorist force, shouldn't we be seeing literally hundreds of bad car bomb and personal bomber attacks a week through all the Iraqi provinces. All we see are occasional attacks in a less then a dozen cities in the whole country, where some goons manage to slip through ever tightning security grids. Plus, as the Sunni political parties fear they will be left out, if they don't move over to the yea side, as obviously the Iraqi Islamic Party just did today, then the majority of Sunni's are now going to not only vote but vote yes to ratifiy the constitution. Therefore this further dislocates the Saddamist insurgents. Who is going to follow them at this point. They may find themselves only having the common dimwit criminal types that they can pay to do dirty work for them. Many of the Saddamist with no blood on their hands may just leave the movement figuring now is the best time, since the political progress is not going to stop. The elections will go one regardless of what the goons try to do.
At any rate, it sure appears your statement could be quite accurate.
"as to your last comment"who rally is running the show ? we are about to get that peek."
It sure does look that way. The dentist is really in a bind. And of course most of us, surely not I, don't know what goes on behind closed doors between the DoS and Syria. For all we know the news leaks about Condi for instance asking for military intervention to be withheld for the time being could once again be a public announcment designed to rattle the young lion in his cronies into final submission to start addressing the terrorist issues in Syria in a rigorous manner, such as shutting down the terrorist camps in Aleppo and wherever else they exists. As the UN takes the active role in the investigations as who in Syria was in on the Harri death etc., the pressure is building in that area. Bashar has no friends left in the Arab world. All have deserted him. Many openly say they simply distrust him and his regime. Whatever loose alliance he has with Iran might be in the past tense at this point. Obviously they continue to walk deeper into the doo doo. Russian and the Chicoms can only give him so much moral support and blocking on resolutions in the security council, but that does not prevent the rest of the world to stop having any dealings with him. As he attempts to look strong and occasionally remove a given Secret Police member or some Military general, or minister, he must be carefull all of a sudden a coup does not arise against him. He has no friends. He litereally has alienated himself from most of the Arab world. So if some of my comments are perhaps close to the true state of things. It sure appears the show down may not be to far off. Sadly he may not be adversed to taking a strong hand against terrorist organizations at this point. Because surely Al Qaeda and radical Islamist groups want to take him out. Now since we advertised Ayman al-Zawahiri's intercepted letter meant for Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, in essence saying the plan is to eventually take over Iraq and set up a total pure Islamic state and restore the Caliphate etc., sure Bashar realizes that by default he is on the list for takeover by the radicaly Islamist. So perhaps this will have a rather chilling effect on him. It is now to his advantage to work with the US and Britain and French. He may be thinking very well at this point, what the hell have the Russians and Chinese really done for me of late, other then sell him some military hardware. Are the Chicoms or Russians going to protect him from all out assaults by Al-Qaeda. Obviously not, they could give a shi! less what happens to Syria at this point. The Ruskies have basically lost the battle in the ME power play. So when one takes all these things in the equation plus many I have not mentioned, and probably things I have no clue of that would also fit into this equation, it just appears Bashar Asad has few options left to him, if he desires to survive. Lastly, just how many of his top aids and associates in the government and Baathist party are really loyal to him. The place is as corrupt as they come in the Arab world by all indications.
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