Posted on 09/28/2005 9:07:12 AM PDT by F14 Pilot
Someone set up us the bomb!
Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb Iran
Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb Iran
Iran getting the bomb mean two things:
1. Everyone will be more reluctant to attack Iran
2. Iran losing control to of nuclear material becomes a factor in many possible scenarios.
3. We will need to make it clear that a Nuclear attack on Israel will bring a nuclear response from The united States.
Anything else is speculation.
4- Any chance of internal uprising will die
LOL! I thought with only five responses I had a chance to be the first to post that.
Look..no one is going to do anything so lets assume they will have one.
What we do is wait for them to announce it...OR we wait for one of their famous tacit threats...
Then we turn the whole place into glass....
"4- Any chance of internal uprising will die"
I'm not so sure about that one - there have been regime changes in countries with Nukes.
Stop thinking coventional...
Will never happen. Israel and US will never allow it come to that. The sites would be destroyed, by nuclear means if necessary.
And the Iranians know it. The program is far more valuable to them in the "almost complete" state. Then they get to play the North Korean game of "crazy-unpredictable-cripple" in order to extract concessions and to elevate their own importance in international affairs. Look at the North Koreans - a country that would otherwise have importance of Chad, has managed to get all the regional powers to talk to it on the same level.
The Iranians are playing the same game. They'll never make the bomb, because it would have immediate, seriously negative reprecussions. They'll play diplomatic brinkmanship so they get economic concessions. That's it.
Unless, in the fog, someone blinks. And then we might get yet another demonstration what a nuclear detonation looks like above ground.
"At the end of all this I expect a dialogue between Iran and the United States, and a dialogue between Iran and Israel. And if this is to be the case, even if Iran has the bomb by that time, the bomb will have a different meaning."
What has this person been reading to come to this conclusion? Im not sure how he couldve written it without reading it at the same time. I'd say the free world has reached a solid understanding of the "Iran" problem and are building a concensus on how to deal with it. For now, what it is lacking is support for tangible solutions. This is ultimately an argument for further appeasement and I couldn't agree less with its analytical results.
In any case... thank you for bringing it to my attention.
Soviet Union?!
Soviet leaders and Mullahs are different!
Mullahs will use nukes against their own people if necessary!
#13
Index bump.
The article seems to be a good and balanced analysis.
At one point, the author (Ephraim Kam) speculates that Iran's push for nucs may be merely for deterence and not for aggression. However, U.S. policy in response to Iran should not be based on speculations about Iranian intentions those can change overnight. Rather, U.S. policy should be aimed at never allowing the Iranians to develop nuclear weapons in the first place. Policy should always be formed primarily around enemy capabilities, not intentions.
Mullahs will use nukes against their own people if necessary!
The Soviets murdered 50 million of their own people. I wouldn't be so sure they wouldn't have used nuclear weapons against their own people.
Again, I think the soviets wouldn't try nukes on their own people since they were afraid of losing their own lives...
If India and Pakistan have the bomb, it's natural to conclude that Iran's got the bomb; they're just not telling anybody.
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