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Flashback: "Intelligence Analyst" Larry C. Johnson: "The Declining Terrorist Threat (July 10, 2001)
New York Times ^ | July 10, 2001 | Larry C. Johnson

Posted on 07/20/2005 7:12:47 PM PDT by Sam Hill

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To: bitt
Here is some more from this idiot.

Terrorism Today
http://www.berg-associates.com/newpage11.htm

I won't post the whole incredibly wrong article, just one chart:


21 posted on 07/20/2005 7:39:27 PM PDT by Sam Hill
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To: bitt

Love this graphic! Gotta remember this one.


22 posted on 07/20/2005 7:41:07 PM PDT by Husker8877
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To: Sam Hill

Sam, love your work but I suspect you were sent.


23 posted on 07/20/2005 7:45:32 PM PDT by cynicom
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To: Sam Hill
This is a gem.

Part of the blame can be assigned to 24-hour broadcast news operations too eager to find a dramatic story line in the events of the day and to pundits who repeat myths while ignoring clear empirical data.

These the same news operations and pundits now prefer to call terrorist insurgents and would rather harp on Rove's supposed "outing" of Plame than spend precious broadcast time on terrorism.

24 posted on 07/20/2005 7:49:25 PM PDT by eggman (Democrat party - The black hole of liberalism from which no rational thought can escape.)
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To: cynicom

LOL

By the debil, I guess.


25 posted on 07/20/2005 7:50:00 PM PDT by Sam Hill
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To: Sam Hill

I was reading Judith Miller news stories from right before 9/11, and they were rather interesting in hindsight. There was one titled something like "From Boston to Afghanistan" in addition to the stories that ticked off US Attorney Fitzgerald. Lots of biowarfare stories regarding the US military.


26 posted on 07/20/2005 7:51:24 PM PDT by petitfour
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To: Texas Songwriter

"Our experience over the past decade suggests instead that sound policies, aggressive law enforcement, and good intelligence yield important results in containing terrorism. Moreover, there is circumstantial evidence that groups and individuals that advocate terrorism are losing support rather than winning adherents. For the United States and other nations the task is maintain pressure on states and groups that engage in terrorism by disrupting their capabilities and limiting their targets of opportunity. By doing so we will improve our chances that terrorism will become an isolated, rare phenomena."

Larry C. Johnson is a managing partner with BERG Associates, LLC and can be reached at www.BERG-Associates.com

Terrorism Today
http://www.berg-associates.com/newpage11.htm


27 posted on 07/20/2005 7:53:39 PM PDT by Sam Hill
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To: Sam Hill

Sam, you are the third newbie in past few days that has arrived with excellent material. Coincidence? Maybe but I don thin so Lucy. Well, welcome anyway.


28 posted on 07/20/2005 7:53:45 PM PDT by cynicom
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To: Sam Hill
"I hope for a world where facts, not fiction, determine our policy. While terrorism is not vanquished, in a world where thousands of nuclear warheads are still aimed across the continents, terrorism is not the biggest security challenge confronting the United States, and it should not be portrayed that way.

Larry C. Johnson is a former State Department counterterrorism specialist."

More from the Clinton Legacy!

29 posted on 07/20/2005 7:56:45 PM PDT by airborne
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To: eggman
Revealed: the secret cabal which spun for Blair

Investigation: By Neil Mackay

"[$cott] Ritter and other intelligence sources say Operation Rockingham and MI6 were supplying skewed information to the Joint Intelligence Committee (JIC) which, Tony Blair has told the Commons, was behind the intelligence dossiers that the government published to convince the parliament and the people of the necessity of war against Iraq. Sources in both the British and US intelligence community are now equating the JIC with the Office of Special Plans (OSP) in the US Pentagon. The OSP was set up by Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld to gather intelligence which would prove the case for war. In a staggering attack on the OSP, former CIA officer Larry Johnson told the Sunday Herald the OSP was 'dangerous for US national security and a threat to world peace', adding that it 'lied and manipulated intelligence to further its agenda of removing Saddam'.

He added: 'It's a group of ideologues with pre-determined notions of truth and reality. They take bits of intelligence to support their agenda and ignore anything contrary. They should be eliminated.'

Johnson said that to describe Saddam as an 'imminent threat' to the West was 'laughable and idiotic'. He said many CIA officers were in 'great distress' over the way intelligence had been treated. 'We've entered the world of George Orwell,' Johnson added. 'I'm disgusted. The truth has to be told. We can't allow our leaders to use bogus information to justify war.'"

http://www.sundayherald.com/34491

"They should be eliminated"? What exactly does he mean?

30 posted on 07/20/2005 8:00:11 PM PDT by Sam Hill
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To: cynicom

Nobody sent me. If only.


31 posted on 07/20/2005 8:02:03 PM PDT by Sam Hill
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To: airborne

"www.BERG-Associates.com"

You have to wonder who would hire such a brilliant prognosticator.

Maybe the Saudis? Maybe he was even on the payroll of Saddam and the UN, via the Oil For Food program--like his fellow carper, Scott Ritter.


32 posted on 07/20/2005 8:04:08 PM PDT by Sam Hill
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To: Sam Hill
You have to wonder who would hire such a brilliant prognosticator.

It's the State Department!

They live in their own little world!

33 posted on 07/20/2005 8:08:19 PM PDT by airborne
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To: airborne

This guy is an expert on EVERYTHING:

From the Counterterrorism Blog, a consortium of experts in intelligence and security, Larry Johnson, former CIA analyst and TV intel pundit:

BOLTON AND THE ART OF COOKING INTELLIGENCE

The nomination of John Bolton as Ambassador to the UN is another body blow to the intelligence community and sends a clear message to analysts that speaking up about political pressure will only damage your career. Despite the whitewash reports provided by the Senate Intelligence Committee and the Silbermann Robb Commission, which insisted there was no "politicization" of the intelligence on Iraq, we now have a documented record of blatant efforts by Bolton and Otto Reich, two senior political appointees, who tried to shape intelligence conclusions and punish intelligence professionals who worked on Cuba. (Let there be no doubt, there was pressure applied on Iraq). The pressure applied to the INR analyst and the NIO for Latin America is one way that intelligence gets politicized. What is truly amazing is the failure of Republican leaders to be outraged by this conduct. The defense of John Bolton by most Republican Senators is sending a chilling message to the analytical community.

Who would dare come forward now and admit the political appointees tried to cook the process? Analysts have seen how some Republican Senators attack the analysts who were pressured. They have seen how the integrity of the analysts have been called into question. They have seen the character assasination. And yet some of these Senators, like Norm Coleman and George Allen, have the audacity to insist that nothing untoward happened to harm analysts.

Unfortunately there are not more men of integrity like Senator Voinovich. He has put party aside and focused on principle. Men like Voinovich are why I became a Republican in the first place. Unfortunately the Senator from Ohio does not appear to be surrounded by many Republicans who are willing to condemn and punish the politicized bullying carried out by Bolton.

No one really appreciates what Bolton tried to do to the NIO for Latin America (NIO/LA). I have been privileged to know the NIO/LA for almost 19 years. He was my predecessor as the Honduran analyst and helped me learn the ropes and set the standard for doing good analysis. He is one of the best and brightest within the analytical community. Yet he has been vilified by some. I never cease to be amazed that a man like the NIO/LA, who started off in Washington working for a Republican Congressman can be vilified by Republicans as some sort of liberal, Democratic activist.

It is important to clarify some misinformation that has been bandied about in the media. For starters NIOs are not "mid-level munchkins." In fact they are the senior analysts in the community. They are (or were) the Director of Central Intelligence's personal representatives.

When NIOs brief on issues or clear on speeches they are not representing their own views, instead they represent analytical communities. Their job is to present community views and community dissents and areas of different emphasis, including (when appropriately caveated) their own.

The attack on the NIO/LA by Bolton and Reich was an attack on the whole analytical community. They assaulted the "coordinated" analysis of the intel community.

In my experience the NIO/LA was known for strict adherence to analytical "tradecraft" -- i.e., the transparent, depoliticized analytical method of doing analysis. This process involves identifying variables and the factors that drive events, describing possible trends, and offering an assessment of multiple scenarios. Unfortunately, political operatives like Bolton and Reich only wanted one driver, one trend, and one scenario.

Thanks to the work of the Foreign Relations Committee we now know that Bolton lied to the Committee during his initial testimony. He and his minions made multiple, prolonged efforts to have the NIO/LA removed from his position. Fortunately the senior managers at CIA, including Director Tenet, resisted this effort.

The issue before the Senate is not whether to send a tough guy to the UN. Instead, the issue is whether the Senators are willing to hold political appointees accountable for efforts to manipulate intelligence and punish intelligence professionals for simply doing their job. A vote for Bolton is simply another way of saying, "it doesn't matter if you try to cook the books; those who do get a reward".

Posted by Larry Johnson at 07:00 PM |Permalink

Booman Tribune ~ Intelligence Expert Bashes Bolton
http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2005/5/26/62312/4957


34 posted on 07/20/2005 8:12:14 PM PDT by Sam Hill
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To: Sam Hill

Jack of all trades, and a master of none!


35 posted on 07/20/2005 8:13:21 PM PDT by airborne
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To: Sam Hill
Unfortunately there are not more men of integrity like Senator Voinovich.

That's where I knew who I was dealing with. A Dem operative.

36 posted on 07/20/2005 8:17:15 PM PDT by airborne
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To: Sam Hill

If Larry was that dumb then why would anybody expect him to be any smarter now?


37 posted on 07/20/2005 8:28:04 PM PDT by philman_36 ("It’s a legal document, and legal documents do not change." Scalia)
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To: Sam Hill

Sam, did you see this?

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1447249/posts


38 posted on 07/20/2005 8:30:00 PM PDT by Howlin (Today is my 7 year FR anniversary!)
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To: Howlin

No, I hadn't. Thanks.

Re the article, put me down as highly sceptical for a number of reasons.


39 posted on 07/20/2005 8:35:47 PM PDT by Sam Hill
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To: Sam Hill
Around the date of this article I was in Cairo, Egypt. I was even in the area by the Giza plateau where Mohamed Atta grew up. Everybody was really nice. Who knew?
40 posted on 07/20/2005 8:42:49 PM PDT by mthom
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