Maximum sustained winds...145 mph. Minimum central pressure... 932 mb
Please, please--Use links rather than graphics.
Posted on 07/10/2005 2:02:48 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Please Note:We really need to avoid large graphics, particularly for those who may lose their broadband access due to the storm and must rely on dial-up access.
Some more resources:
Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world
Water Vapor Satellite Another "must see" broadband loop
Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure |
Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (weak) |
75 - 95 mph 65 - 82 kts 33 - 42 m/s |
> 28.94 in. Hg > 980.0 mb > 97.7 kPa |
4.0 - 5.0 ft. 1.2 - 1.5 m |
minimal damage to vegetation |
| 2 (moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts 43 - 49 m/s |
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg 965.1 - 979.7 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
6.0 - 8.0 ft. 1.8 - 2.4 m |
moderate damage to houses |
| 3 (strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 113 kts 50 - 58 m/s |
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg 945.1 - 964.8 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
9.0 - 12.0 ft. 2.7 - 3.7 m |
extensive damage to small buildings |
| 4 (very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 114 - 135 kts 59 - 69 m/s |
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg 920.1 - 944.8 mb 91.7 - 94.2 kPa |
13.0 - 18.0 ft. 3.9 - 5.5 m |
extreme structural damage |
| 5 (devastating) |
> 155 mph > 135 kts > 70 m/s |
< 27.17 in Hg < 920.1 mb < 91.7 kPa |
> 18.0 ft > 5.5 m |
catastrophic building failures possible |
Maximum sustained winds...145 mph. Minimum central pressure... 932 mb
Please, please--Use links rather than graphics.
A very tight, ugly storm over very warm water. There still is too much time for it to get nastier before hitting land.
Checking in from Navarre. It's starting to get breezy but it's not raining yet. Can anybody to the east of here give me an update on conditions? Prayers for all in the path.
Good morning. I had to skip about 2,000 posts, but I got in on the last 100 or so. . . I think the basic message is . . .DAMN!
No need for the ALL CAPS please. The advisory is already located in the thread header.
***
Ugh!
INITIAL INTENSITY ..... 125KT .... G150KT
12HR ... 125KT .... G150KT
24HR ... INLAND
LANDFALL POINT VERY NEAR MOBILE BAY....
Looks like the landfall point is right around the 89 W Longitude on their forecast track.
Latest recon that was retrieved during the conference reported that the central pressure is now 932mb, however the NHC stated they will hold off on any further increase to winds until wind data comes in. That would probably be reflected on the next intermediate advisory.
---
Supplemental Winds @ 140kt... expect a cat 5 later this AM, be back after a nap.
This storm is unfreakingbelievable.
I checked blam's posts and saw he was going to try to get some sleep. I hope we hear from him before the storm hits.
Yes, blam was up during the wee hours. He didn't even want a chocolate chip cookie--very ominous sign of distress.
Well I'm up. Made it through the whole night with only the sound of wind. It's windy for sure, but no major rain since 2 yesterday.
So I left this thread around 10 last night, the hurricane was heading almost due north at that time. Looks like it took a major wobble to the west.
So what about NO, its predicted landfall is getting ominously close, are they evacuating anybody?
..........Yes, and over very warm water for another 12 hours.
Hurricane Dennis Discussion Number 24
Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on July 10, 2005
Data from the Air Force hurricane hunters indicate that the maximum
winds in Dennis have increased to near 125 kt. This is based on
maximum 700 mb flight level winds of 139 and 140 kt from a couple
of passes through the northeast eyewall. Dennis may undergo an
eyewall replacement cycle prior to landfall...which usually results
in some fluctuations in intensity. Water vapor imagery does not
suggest any environmental mid- to upper-level features that could
weaken the hurricane before landfall... however the waters over the
northeast Gulf coastal areas are of somewhat lower oceanic heat
content...which should limit significant additional strengthening.
Dennis is forecast to make landfall as a category four hurricane.
Track forecast reasoning is basically the same as before. The
hurricane is now moving north-northwetward in the steering flow
between a mid-level high to its east and a mid-level trough near
the northwest Gulf Coast. This general motion should continue
through landfall. The official forecast track is similar to the
previous one and is quite close to the dynamical model consensus
and to the Florida State University superensemble track.
Predicted storm surge heights have been adjusted upward due to the
increased intensity of the hurricane.
Forecaster Pasch
forecast positions and Max winds
initial 10/0900z 27.8n 86.1w 125 kt
12hr VT 10/1800z 29.6n 87.4w 125 kt
24hr VT 11/0600z 32.0n 89.0w 65 kt...inland
36hr VT 11/1800z 34.5n 90.0w 35 kt...inland
48hr VT 12/0600z 36.5n 90.0w 30 kt...inland
72hr VT 13/0600z 38.0n 88.5w 25 kt...inland
96hr VT 14/0600z 38.5n 86.5w 20 kt...remnant low
120hr VT 15/0600z 38.5n 84.5w 20 kt...remnant low
Mobile AL pop 194,000
Dephne on the east sdie of the Bay 17,000 Fairhope AL on the east side of the Bay 12,000
Prichird AL north suburb of Mobile 24,000
Saraland just north of Prichard 12,500
Tilmans Corners south suburb of Mobile 15,500
Mass point MS about 6 miles west of the AL/MS border 15,000
ditto for Pascagoula Population:, 26200
Tropical Storm warning for the greater NOLA area, and Hurricane warning for the entire MS coast.
Well done!
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