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U.S. housing bubble may pop
San Diego Tribune ^ | 6/21/05 | Dean Calbreath

Posted on 06/21/2005 9:42:59 AM PDT by ambrose

click here to read article


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To: TheDon


heh


21 posted on 06/21/2005 10:00:50 AM PDT by Fido969
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To: the Real fifi

I live in the WashDC/Baltimore area ( I appreciate your condolences)...the real estate market here is exploding but it really isn't irrational at all, it is very market driven.

I live in a townhouse in the suburbs...and people moving into the area can't afford the 400k single family homes, so they buy nice townhomes for 395k...the people buying the standard single family homes, are willing to pay that price due to supply and demand in the real estate market in this area....me I'm cashing in and moving to a low cost small town. It's a great opportunity for myself and my family to get a great standard of living and get out of the ratrace...several others where I work are doing the same thing, moving the Research Triangle in NC, York, Pa, Pittsburg, Pa, Charlotte, NC.


22 posted on 06/21/2005 10:00:58 AM PDT by rbmillerjr
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To: Pessimist
Good point.  This could be a disaster for the economy.  Everyone talks about the greed of "investors", like they control the price.  They don't, it's the person who PAID the money that caused this.  Consumers decide market value, not the other way around.
23 posted on 06/21/2005 10:01:28 AM PDT by softwarecreator (Facts are to liberals as holy water is to vampires)
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To: Sam the Sham
So forget about cheap oil until some bright boy figures out a cheap way to get oil from coal or shale.

We already know how to get oil from coal and from what I've read it's economical somewhere in the $50/barrel range. No energy company is currently making the investment to build these plants, which should tell you something about where they think prices will head.

Go here or search on coal gassification or liquification to get info on it.

24 posted on 06/21/2005 10:03:32 AM PDT by green iguana
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To: misterrob
"If it goes POP then they never will be able to afford a home when the economy shrinks into nothing and everyone is ruined.

That's chicken little talk. The generation after the Depression had some of the best prosperity the world has ever seen.

I've been through a few booms and busts in my short time on earth. What I can tell you is that people: (1) Generally don't learn from their mistakes and (2) Rarely see more than a few months down the road.

25 posted on 06/21/2005 10:03:52 AM PDT by Fido969
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To: rbmillerjr

The best bubble indicator, per the Economist, is a wide divergence between the monthly cost to rent a place and the monthly cost to purchase it.


26 posted on 06/21/2005 10:05:15 AM PDT by ambrose (.)
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To: thoughtomator

It has to wait til I sell and move in 2 years!


27 posted on 06/21/2005 10:06:33 AM PDT by kx9088
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To: thoughtomator
This housing bubble NEEDS to pop or much of this next generation of adults will never get the opportunity to be homeowners, without signing themselves into debt slavery for the rest of their productive lives.

Run some of these illegals out of California and housing prices will fall

28 posted on 06/21/2005 10:09:06 AM PDT by Rooivalk
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To: green iguana

Yes, the technology has been around since the war.

But until we have a decade of oil at $50 a barrel, investment in alternate fuels will remain miniscule.


29 posted on 06/21/2005 10:10:21 AM PDT by Sam the Sham
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To: ambrose

Pics of Usonian Homes!

I figured out the resistance to the housing market bulls -- it's the word "pop." The phenom makes more sense to them when phrased as "sudden decline."


30 posted on 06/21/2005 10:11:22 AM PDT by durasell (Friends are so alarming, My lover's never charming...)
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To: thoughtomator
Yep. I wonder how many people would have bought new homes if prices were not doubled and tripled by speculation? And if gas prices drop at the same time, it could be a recipe for a fantastic renewal.

I'm renting a 1400 square foot apartment - 3 beds and 2 baths, in a relatively new apartment complex - for $850 a month here in west Georgia. Why on earth should *anybody* buy with prices the way they are?

31 posted on 06/21/2005 10:14:02 AM PDT by Terabitten (Illegal aliens create "Representation without Taxation.")
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To: TheDon

"It's the land, not the house, that is so expensive."

Ding, ding, ding, we have a winner!

We can thank the environazis for the price of land in these land restricted places. If the market were able to work freely, we would have affordable housing available to all economic levels. As long as the environazis control the use of the land in these areas, there won't be a "pop".


32 posted on 06/21/2005 10:14:19 AM PDT by CSM ( If the government has taken your money, it has fulfilled its Social Security promises. (dufekin))
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To: Terabitten

Are you near any major city?


33 posted on 06/21/2005 10:15:54 AM PDT by ambrose (.)
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To: Terabitten

...because in NYC the same apartment would rent for $8,000 to $10,000?


34 posted on 06/21/2005 10:15:55 AM PDT by durasell (Friends are so alarming, My lover's never charming...)
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To: durasell
Pics of Usonian Homes!

FLW just rolled over...

35 posted on 06/21/2005 10:16:19 AM PDT by green iguana
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To: ambrose

I'm in a city of 200k or so, about an hour south of Atlanta, GA.


36 posted on 06/21/2005 10:17:53 AM PDT by Terabitten (Illegal aliens create "Representation without Taxation.")
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To: ambrose
We're all gonna die!!!!

37 posted on 06/21/2005 10:18:23 AM PDT by Lazamataz (The Republican Party is the France of politics.)
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To: green iguana

"Early in life I had to choose between honest arrogance and hypocritical humility. I chose the former and have seen no reason to change" -- flw


38 posted on 06/21/2005 10:18:54 AM PDT by durasell (Friends are so alarming, My lover's never charming...)
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To: CSM

Riverside County is growing like crazy. The land is much cheaper, and the people I know moving there have very nice houses.


39 posted on 06/21/2005 10:19:32 AM PDT by TheDon (The Democratic Party is the party of TREASON!)
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To: Terabitten

Holy crap. $850 for 1400 sq foot apartment... hour from Atlanta.

Of course, the weather sucks in Georgia.


40 posted on 06/21/2005 10:20:16 AM PDT by ambrose (.)
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