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Record US Trade Deficits Spell Impending Economic Defeat
AmericanEconomicAlert.org ^ | Thursday, February 17, 2005 | William R. Hawkins

Posted on 02/18/2005 9:55:18 AM PST by Willie Green

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To: Golden Eagle
if you refute the data, provide a better source.

Your source is 2003.

221 posted on 02/18/2005 8:04:45 PM PST by groanup (http://www.fairtax.org)
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To: Toddsterpatriot
Didn't say anything was wrong with the data. Just love it when protectionists on this site post from lefty sources.

You cite the Census Bureau as a leftist source and I agree. Nobody ever cites a stock market bubble or trough as a source of national wealth. Go figure. Those two phenomena are our own ups and downs. Sh^t happens when you are a free society.

222 posted on 02/18/2005 8:09:16 PM PST by groanup (http://www.fairtax.org)
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To: groanup
You cite the Census Bureau as a leftist source and I agree.

Actually, his source was EPI, lefty "Think" tank.

223 posted on 02/18/2005 8:13:51 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Protectionism is economic ignorance!)
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To: Toddsterpatriot
Actually, his source was EPI, lefty "Think" tank.

Well good. I don't have a clue.

224 posted on 02/18/2005 8:17:23 PM PST by groanup (http://www.fairtax.org)
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To: groanup

Funny you should mention that, I'm an IT manager myself, and business has never been better. My salary hasn't gone down since 2000, only up, and I've only added new employees. On my team alone, since 2000 I've added 5 additional guys or a 16% increase. What I have seen is the guys who were posers be exposed and have to move on to other careers, lost about 5 of those who were replaced.

Now there's a new "bubble", real estate. And we're talking huge dollars there, property values in some areas around here have doubled in the last 24 months, as ridiculous as it sounds. I know one agent personally that just sold an $800,000 lot, he took home close to 50K on that one transaction, so there are still "bubbles" out there, although they may be may be moving around.

High tech (not just IT) and real estate are still the drivers in this economy, along with the speculators. Unfortunately, not a lot of people have the priveledge or expertise to work in those fields. That's why the median is going down, the blue collar workers are getting hammered. Our middle class is seeing lower income, reduced benefits, and higher food and fuel costs. I'm glad I'm not personally in the trenches, but I do feel for those that are. If you don't own property, or have an advanced education and skillset, you're competing against practical slave labor in China. It's not a battle you're going to win.


225 posted on 02/18/2005 8:17:48 PM PST by Golden Eagle (Team America)
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To: Toddsterpatriot
Didn't say anything was wrong with the data. Just love it when protectionists on this site post from lefty sources.

I had no idea, it was the first link that came up. Facts are facts though, and this one shows incomes dropping, and all you've offered in counter is a smear.

226 posted on 02/18/2005 8:19:11 PM PST by Golden Eagle (Team America)
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To: Golden Eagle
If you refute the data, provide a better source.

Haven't found a better source, yet, but I noticed your source talked about household income, not household after tax income.

Do you think that the tax cuts since 2001 might have increased median after tax income?

227 posted on 02/18/2005 8:20:02 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Protectionism is economic ignorance!)
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To: groanup
Your source is 2003.

Like I already said, if you have a better, no make that ANY source showing incomes are rising, let's see it. Thx.

228 posted on 02/18/2005 8:20:41 PM PST by Golden Eagle (Team America)
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To: Golden Eagle
I had no idea, it was the first link that came up.

Be more careful with the sites you link to. You wouldn't want to catch something nasty from a liberal site.

229 posted on 02/18/2005 8:21:37 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Protectionism is economic ignorance!)
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To: Golden Eagle
Your post No. 225 is totally correct. Sadly, the losers in the 'economy' vote Democrat, straight ticket. That fact that the trade barriers were dropped (for the most part) during during Slick's administration will be lost on them.
230 posted on 02/18/2005 8:25:24 PM PST by investigateworld (Another California Refugee in Oregon)
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To: Golden Eagle
Funny you should mention that, I'm an IT manager myself, and business has never been better. My salary hasn't gone down since 2000, only up, and I've only added new employees. On my team alone, since 2000 I've added 5 additional guys or a 16% increase. What I have seen is the guys who were posers be exposed and have to move on to other careers, lost about 5 of those who were replaced.

Congratulations to you. Why, in your ongoing prosperity, do you seem to condemn the Bush economic policy? (If I am wrong about that let me know.)

Now there's a new "bubble", real estate. And we're talking huge dollars there, property values in some areas around here have doubled in the last 24 months, as ridiculous as it sounds. I know one agent personally that just sold an $800,000 lot, he took home close to 50K on that one transaction, so there are still "bubbles" out there, although they may be may be moving around.

No doubt. In 1980, when I was a junior bond salesman for a major Southeastern bank I was absolutely beholden to the traders we had. They were gods and we were only people. I was using a preferencial bank financing scheme to buy my first house. The trader who I had the most faith in and the closest relationship with came over to my desk and said: "I can't believe you're buying a house at the top of the market."

I bought that house for 63,000 dollars. Today, after a 70'000$ addition it is worth $500,000.

High tech (not just IT) and real estate are still the drivers in this economy, along with the speculators. Unfortunately, not a lot of people have the priveledge or expertise to work in those fields. That's why the median is going down, the blue collar workers are getting hammered. Our middle class is seeing lower income, reduced benefits, and higher food and fuel costs. I'm glad I'm not personally in the trenches, but I do feel for those that are. If you don't own property, or have an advanced education and skillset, you're competing against practical slave labor in China. It's not a battle you're going to win.

Sorry. Life is tough. As John Wayne would say: "Life is tougher if you're stupid". Do you want a country that takes care of you or do you want a country that lets you do what you want as long as you don't hurt anyone? What say you?

231 posted on 02/18/2005 8:42:52 PM PST by groanup (http://www.fairtax.org)
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To: Golden Eagle; Citizen of the Savage Nation

Looky here. Perhaps your lefty source didn't tell the entire story.

Business Week Online

232 posted on 02/18/2005 9:15:12 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Protectionism is economic ignorance!)
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To: Betaille
please pick up an economics textbook. The imbalance of trade is accounted for in the other parts of the GDP equation, it's not a dead-weight loss to GDP as you claim here.

You need a book to tell you the river is rising, or can you just look down and see that the water is up to your knees???

233 posted on 02/19/2005 2:01:07 AM PST by Iscool
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To: Sam the Sham

I agree with willie.


234 posted on 02/19/2005 4:02:48 AM PST by junta (I must admit, I do prefer an America populated by Americans.)
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To: snowsislander

Participation at this time is around 65%--quite low by historical standards.

And COLA-adjusted private wage is still trending downward since about 1976--more particularly since 2000.

There's good reason to be concerned about industrial investment levels in the US.

And even more good reason to examine very closely the CPI formulas invented by the Clintonistas and perpetuated by the Bushies.


235 posted on 02/19/2005 4:39:56 AM PST by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Interesting graph.

It has NOTHING to do with "Manufacturing" as a share of GDP, of course.

So has Commerce re-defined "goods production" to fit some new political imperative?


236 posted on 02/19/2005 4:44:44 AM PST by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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To: Protagoras

Another whacko contribution from a two-bit bystander.


237 posted on 02/19/2005 4:49:04 AM PST by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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To: groanup
[Golden Eagle:]
"If you don't own property, or have an advanced education and skillset, you're competing against practical slave labor in China. It's not a battle you're going to win."

Sorry. Life is tough. As John Wayne would say: "Life is tougher if you're stupid". Do you want a country that takes care of you or do you want a country that lets you do what you want as long as you don't hurt anyone? What say you?

Not everyone can (or should) have advanced education or wealth and it does not mean that one is stupid.

And yes, the country/nation should take promote the general welfare of its citizens. Otherwise it is not worth to sacrifice for. Why the average "stupid" Joe should risk his life in defending the country which is a mere market place benefit the "smart" and rich? Or why should he care about folling the law and respecting rights, freedoms and property of the "smart" (for other reasons than being punished if caught)?

If the freemarketeers ideal were to be fully implemented in America - the United States would die.

238 posted on 02/19/2005 5:16:58 AM PST by A. Pole (Mandarin Meng-tzu: "The duty of the ruler is to ensure the prosperous livelihood of his subjects.")
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To: Toddsterpatriot; Golden Eagle; groanup

Compared with 1967, the first year for which household income statistics are available, 2003 real (inflation adjusted) median household income is up 30 percent. Over this period, median income tended to rise and fall along with the business cycle. Real median income peaked in 1999, was unchanged in 2000, declined over the next 2 years (by a cumulative 3.3 percent), and was unchanged in 2003.

239 posted on 02/19/2005 5:58:12 AM PST by narses (Free Republic is pro-God, pro-life, pro-family + Vivo Christo Rey!)
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To: Phantom Lord
"doom and gloomers were saying in the 80's."

OR, the world should be frozen over by now according to some of the same kind of people's thinking from back in the 70s........

240 posted on 02/19/2005 6:03:21 AM PST by litehaus
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