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Bush Leads, Uncertainty Reigns (CBS Poll, B49/K46)
CBS News ^ | 10/31/04 | CBS

Posted on 10/31/2004 3:18:54 PM PST by nopey23

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To: CatOwner

Nice try.


81 posted on 10/31/2004 3:51:54 PM PST by conservativepoet
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To: LS

You are distinguishing yourself marvelously in this forum friend.

I sincerely hope your valued contributions here become a springboard for your academic career and success as an author.

You are measured, thoughtful ... and most importantly of all ... YOU AGREE WITH ME!!! ;^)

I trust your judgement and "take" implicitly.


82 posted on 10/31/2004 3:52:42 PM PST by Barlowmaker
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To: EllaMinnow

I guess it makes sense that 6% of the people would not say
who they voted for. But why would they be included in the
poll then. Does not seem all that useful to include people
in a poll that wont ask who they voted for.

On a side note, using a little math, and assuming that 20%
of the people have already voted. Kerry needs to get
between 51-52% of the remaining 80% to win the popular vote.


83 posted on 10/31/2004 3:54:09 PM PST by Gern Blandstone ( Absentee voter crowd absent)
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To: jwalsh07

If his 46 percent come out and 45% of bushes comes out then he'll have 50% of the voting.


84 posted on 10/31/2004 3:55:49 PM PST by scannell
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To: LS
I am glad you responded to KJAM22. I was going to but I did not feel like dealing with someone who is living in the Dark Ages. This guy/gal is really a "half glass empty" type.

Thanks for a good insight and comeback against "Half Glass Empty KJAM22"!

85 posted on 10/31/2004 3:56:54 PM PST by rjmeagle (Do Not Cast Pearls Before Swine (Dems)!!!)
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To: Timeout

The same poll had Mondale up about 9 points in the Senate run when he replaced Wellstone.


86 posted on 10/31/2004 3:57:55 PM PST by scannell
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To: scannell

Kerry can't get to 50% in this election, period.


87 posted on 10/31/2004 3:57:58 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: AHerald
Dowd has consistently said that this was a 2-3 point race for months.

This may be an old quote, then. Very recently he/they have said that undecided voters are breaking for Bush 60/40.

88 posted on 10/31/2004 3:58:44 PM PST by unspun (RU working your precinct, churchmembers, etc. 4 good votes? | Not "Unspun w/ AnnaZ" but I appreciate)
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To: Barlowmaker

Agreeing with you is obviously the operative phrase in this list of praise :)


89 posted on 10/31/2004 3:58:59 PM PST by LS
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To: Timeout

"Bush also could be helped by the fact that the Minnesota Poll has, since 1996, consistently found that starting the Friday night before the election, the electorate becomes more conservative and ends up voting more Republican."

Is this a phenomenon that could be country-wide, rather than just in Minnesota? That's an interesting comment.


90 posted on 10/31/2004 3:59:55 PM PST by plushaye (President Bush - Four more years! Thanks Swifties.)
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To: unspun

Well, a national 3% lead would be 51-48-1. That's about right, and that equals about 320 EVs. Funny, that's right where I had Bush since . . . er, FEBRUARY.


91 posted on 10/31/2004 4:00:34 PM PST by LS
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To: rjmeagle

Thanks...it's my new tagline.


92 posted on 10/31/2004 4:02:31 PM PST by andy58-in-nh (Puck the Fundits...full speed ahead!)
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To: conservativepoet
"Nice try."

Here's the post:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1263030/posts

You were saying?

93 posted on 10/31/2004 4:03:02 PM PST by CatOwner
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To: LS

Of course. I'm all wise and powerful. How else would I be afforded access to the internet?


94 posted on 10/31/2004 4:03:11 PM PST by Barlowmaker
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To: andy58-in-nh

Anybody been over to DU to see what garbage there spewing about these events?


95 posted on 10/31/2004 4:03:48 PM PST by traderrob6
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To: rjmeagle

I have been told that I don't see the glass as half empty or half full, but instead I see the liquid as poisonous.

That being said, I see Bush winning big.


96 posted on 10/31/2004 4:03:48 PM PST by jabber-jabber-jabber
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To: traderrob6
Anybody been over to DU

No, thank you. My doctor told me that I need to avoid scum. Besides, what can we really learn from people with room-temperature IQ's and hatred as their core value?

97 posted on 10/31/2004 4:08:25 PM PST by andy58-in-nh (Puck the Fundits...full speed ahead!)
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To: plushaye
Is this a phenomenon that could be country-wide, rather than just in Minnesota? That's an interesting comment

It's a b.s. rationalization by an embarassed journalist.

98 posted on 10/31/2004 4:18:48 PM PST by Barlowmaker
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To: plushaye
Is this a phenomenon that could be country-wide, rather than just in Minnesota? That's an interesting comment.

The reason it's funny is that all poll junkies know polls skew to the Dems on weekends. Here on these threads we've been chatting about it for weeks. It's NOT because the voters "turn more conservative"---that's absurd on it's face.

It's because Repubs are more family-oriented and therefore likely to be out camping, fishing, doing things with their churches/schools, etc. Thus, weekend polls oversample Dems.

Any political reporter would know this, so for him to write that "the voters became more conservative after Friday night" is really funny.

And, yes, it's a nation-wide phenomenon.

99 posted on 10/31/2004 4:19:14 PM PST by Timeout (Just hours to go....before we sleep!)
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To: Gern Blandstone

Well, we've been hearing about this infamous candidate, "Uncertain." Maybe on election day he'll get 2% of the vote?


100 posted on 10/31/2004 4:19:32 PM PST by LS
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