Posted on 10/31/2004 3:18:54 PM PST by nopey23
Nice try.
You are distinguishing yourself marvelously in this forum friend.
I sincerely hope your valued contributions here become a springboard for your academic career and success as an author.
You are measured, thoughtful ... and most importantly of all ... YOU AGREE WITH ME!!! ;^)
I trust your judgement and "take" implicitly.
I guess it makes sense that 6% of the people would not say
who they voted for. But why would they be included in the
poll then. Does not seem all that useful to include people
in a poll that wont ask who they voted for.
On a side note, using a little math, and assuming that 20%
of the people have already voted. Kerry needs to get
between 51-52% of the remaining 80% to win the popular vote.
If his 46 percent come out and 45% of bushes comes out then he'll have 50% of the voting.
Thanks for a good insight and comeback against "Half Glass Empty KJAM22"!
The same poll had Mondale up about 9 points in the Senate run when he replaced Wellstone.
Kerry can't get to 50% in this election, period.
This may be an old quote, then. Very recently he/they have said that undecided voters are breaking for Bush 60/40.
Agreeing with you is obviously the operative phrase in this list of praise :)
"Bush also could be helped by the fact that the Minnesota Poll has, since 1996, consistently found that starting the Friday night before the election, the electorate becomes more conservative and ends up voting more Republican."
Is this a phenomenon that could be country-wide, rather than just in Minnesota? That's an interesting comment.
Well, a national 3% lead would be 51-48-1. That's about right, and that equals about 320 EVs. Funny, that's right where I had Bush since . . . er, FEBRUARY.
Thanks...it's my new tagline.
Here's the post:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1263030/posts
You were saying?
Of course. I'm all wise and powerful. How else would I be afforded access to the internet?
Anybody been over to DU to see what garbage there spewing about these events?
I have been told that I don't see the glass as half empty or half full, but instead I see the liquid as poisonous.
That being said, I see Bush winning big.
No, thank you. My doctor told me that I need to avoid scum. Besides, what can we really learn from people with room-temperature IQ's and hatred as their core value?
It's a b.s. rationalization by an embarassed journalist.
The reason it's funny is that all poll junkies know polls skew to the Dems on weekends. Here on these threads we've been chatting about it for weeks. It's NOT because the voters "turn more conservative"---that's absurd on it's face.
It's because Repubs are more family-oriented and therefore likely to be out camping, fishing, doing things with their churches/schools, etc. Thus, weekend polls oversample Dems.
Any political reporter would know this, so for him to write that "the voters became more conservative after Friday night" is really funny.
And, yes, it's a nation-wide phenomenon.
Well, we've been hearing about this infamous candidate, "Uncertain." Maybe on election day he'll get 2% of the vote?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.