Posted on 10/31/2004 1:04:56 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
Simmons is in real danger. Shays will probably pull through, although polls suggest the truly awful Diane Ferrell (first selectwoman of ultraliberal Westport) is within striking distance.
I think you are right about Wu, (I live in his district). Even though we have the attempted rape scandal and a strong candidate in Goli, the 1st district unfortunately includes a hunk of Portland and the leftist there would vote for anyone with a "D" after their name.
No it won't. It's only about sex. A sex crime, but for an elected Democrat that's just sex (maybe that's the only way they can get it). He'll lose the votes of the few Democrats who value morals and decency, but that won't be enough.
Ken Salazar is running for Senate. It's his brother John who's running for District 3 Rep.
Oops! I just noticed your question was already answered. Sorry about that.
Hey, you have a chance to meet a freeper. I just don't see a strong enough Kerry tide to take Shays and Simmons down. Bush is doing better in the Commie Belt than last time. He's wasting a lot of his votes there. They need to be shipped to the midwest.
Who's that?
I just don't see a strong enough Kerry tide to take Shays and Simmons down. Bush is doing better in the Commie Belt than last time. He's wasting a lot of his votes there. They need to be shipped to the midwest.
Simmons will win. I wrote a few letters to the editor, which were published btw, assuring the NE Ct folks that I was a conservative, I know conservatives and Rep Simmons is no conservative. He is a moderate with experience as a soldier and intel guy whose experience dwarfs the oppposition who is perhaps a nice fellow but has no experience at all in the ways of the world. That made Simmons acceptable. LOL
Shays always wins.
Who's that?
I just don't see a strong enough Kerry tide to take Shays and Simmons down. Bush is doing better in the Commie Belt than last time. He's wasting a lot of his votes there. They need to be shipped to the midwest.
Simmons will win. I wrote a few letters to the editor, which were published btw, assuring the NE Ct folks that I was a conservative, I know conservatives and Rep Simmons is no conservative. He is a moderate with experience as a soldier and intel guy whose experience dwarfs the oppposition who is perhaps a nice fellow but has no experience at all in the ways of the world. That made Simmons acceptable. LOL
Shays always wins.
The Senate just looks better and better. Our loose cannon is now ready to roll around in DC, smashing the furniture. It should be fun.
It looks like PA-8 is a hold for the good guys (actually, an improvement), with Mike Fitzpatrick replacing RINO Greenwood on the ticket. Mike is pro-life, vs. the pro-death Greenwood. Mike's opponent, leftist Ginny Schrader walked out of a debate when Mike refused to apologize for a mailer which she found offensive (which he wasn't responsible for). Apparently, she aired Farenheit 911 at a campaign event, and the flyer accused her of hating America and mentioned the Hezbollah offer to distribute the movie.
More on the walkout:
http://blog.dccc.org/mt/archives/001477.html
See the flyer:
http://www.ginnyschrader.com/pressreleases/Schrader1.jpg
pretty perceptive picks...
But I think Crane will hold off the Bean, and that the GOP sweep in NC will work to taylor's advantage. But I'd trade them both to see a Clinton LeSeuer win.
And I don't think Korbach will pick up. Holden losing would be a surprise --- I think Hostetler would have been a stronger candidate, but the Paterno name may do it.
Looks like jeff davis will be a pick up in Ky.
Other dark horses I see include Tim Escobar in Cal., Jeanne Patterson in Mo., and maybe Virginia Johnson in NC.
The latest poll by The Ashville Citizen-Times shows Keever edging ahead by 43.5% to 41.2%.
I predict that Rob Simmons will win reelection by a microscopic margin, with a possible recount. Chris Shays will also win, though by his closest margin yet.
"If Crane is sooooo damn "vulernable" how come the DCCC won't even put up $$$ to run ads for Melissa Rodham Bean?"
The DCCC bought $550,000 worth of television time in Crane's district this week.
Willie Mount is a Methodist. Every runoff in this district in recent history (1965 special, 1972, 1986, 1996) has been between a Lafayette or Crowley-based Cajun Catholic and a Lake Charles-based Anglo-Saxon Protestant. Though Boustany is mostly Lebanese in heritage, I expect the pattern to repeat itself. You're correct in not ruling out a Mount victory, though.
It is John Salazar, my mistake.
Willie Mount is a Methodist.
I think that'd be great if LeSeuer won.
A black Republican holding a seat like that...well, it's be huge.
But the Dem numbers are just too big in that district for a GOP candidate to overcoem, right?
LeSeuer got 44% of the vote last time
against Thompson, and at that time,
LeSeuer had no campaign money and was
virtually unknown. I think he just
might eke out a victory this time.
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