WASHINGTON POST POLL: Bush 50%, Kerry 46%

Washington Post ^ | October 17, 2004

[RWR8189]

Saturday is the only day in the rolling average that was a weekend day.

[Freepdonia]

You need to apply MOE to both Bush and Kerry.

Oh, wiseguy, huh?

- M. Howard

[ProudVet77]

In the back of my mind, and it may sound crazy, I'm not so sure that the MSM is actually starting to give up on Kerry and are trying to cut their losses from lambasting the president. It's a stretch, but I think the CBS debacle has actually contained the MSM from going even further.

[dc-zoo]

More great news. Let's hope Newt's prediction is right. If it ain't close they can't cheat.

[traderrob6]

Drum roll pleeeease........Real Clear politics just updated there poll average and W is up "4.0"!

[RWR8189]

They all agree that it is "bunk" and some claim weekend polls favor Republicans, while midweek polls favor Dems...

lol

[jmstein7]

Fingers crossed...

[KavMan]

"Bush's 4% lead is outside the 3% margin of error." This is incorrect. You need to apply MOE to both Bush and Kerry. So if MOE is 3, then Bush could be 53-47, and Kerry 49-43. In other words, Kerry could be 49, and Bush 47.

So while this is good news, don't get too excited as of yet.


not when all the major pollsters have gwb up

so they are all wrong and we should move the moe to kerry's favor too?

[somemoreequalthanothers]

We all know Kerry won the three debates.


That's been my question. How long until the media eats some crow on this farcical statement they keep clinging to?

[rodguy911]

You hit it. Fraud and too many rat lawyers,

are the whole game at this point, the rats are

talking about 5 or 6 Floriduhs after the

election, we could be waiting for some judge to

declare a winner if it's close at all. They

have more registered voters than there are even

eligible in some areas of Ohio.

[rwfromkansas]

This is continuing the Bush trend.

HOWEVER, we really need to wait until Friday before we get too excited to see if the state polls show a trend to Bush as well; right now, some are pretty close.

If they do, then these polls likely are showing a correct trend, even if the numbers themselves may be off.

[Ramius]

Very good news... But this is no time to get cocky. This election will be *all* about turnout. What matters is getting the people to the polls. Complacency is the heart of defeat, for either side.

[ScaniaBoy]

True, still within MOE, but we have for several days seen Bush ahead in

Zogby
Rasmussen
TIPP
WaPo

and also ahead in Newsweek, CBS, Gallup and Times polls among others. Only Carville sees Kerry ahead.

Looks like a trend to me!

BUT KEEP WORKING - NO COMPLACENCY

[rodguy911]

You are just slicker than most, it's hard to

know which if any polls to trust.

[EDINVA]

I'm assuming you missed Nightline on Thursday when Koppel/ABC went to great lengths to try to delegitimize the Swift Boat Vets? Fortunately, O'Neill was on and took Ted down a bunch of pegs!

[True_wesT]

Imagine what Bush will do when he doesn't have to get re-elected anymore? I wonder in which drawer he keeps that can of whoopass?

P.S. Okay, I'm getting ahead of myself.

[Timeout]

Verrrrrry
in-ter-est-ing!

Past Week (Bush +/-):
Bush - Kerry

Mon 51 - 45 (+6)
Tue 50 - 47 (+3)
Wed 48 - 49 (+1)
Thu 48 - 48 tie
Fri 48 - 48 tie
Sat 50 - 47 (+3)
Sun 50 - 46 (+4)

Kerry has lost a point a day since Debate 3..with a pause on Thursday. Looks like a trend to me!

Why are there no internals today?

[lt.america]

They may shift fires and try to save Daschle.

I told my wife after the third debate that since Kerry screwed himself with "the comment" the liberal media and DNC would try to salvage this election cycle by saving Daschle.

[rwfromkansas]

Also, tomorrow Bush will probably drop a bit, as well as lingering on Tuesday maybe, since both Saturday and Sunday would be included in tomorrow's numbers.

[marblehead17]

ping