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Don’t Shoot the Messenger . . ’cause this assessment’s grim
National Review ^ | 10/01/04 | Jay Nordlinger

Posted on 09/30/2004 10:35:23 PM PDT by Pokey78

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To: kingu
I think that the draw impression is what will come out in the long run,

DRUDGE: C-SPAN Secretly Tapes Lockhart Saying Debate Was A Draw

81 posted on 09/30/2004 11:19:28 PM PDT by cyncooper (Have I mentioned lately that I despise the media?)
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To: grey_whiskers
"My jaw dropped when I heard the disarmament line, and I said "Kerry's just lost the election."

One thing I have not seen refered to tonight: Dan Rather and CBS.

(Pause while people think "Ooookay...he's off subject...")

The bloggers who demolished Rather's lies are even now compiling, as I have already seen on the net tonight, annotated transcripts of Kerry's answers, building up a stack of Kerry lies. By the weekend's end, the net will be swamped with this stuff.

Kerry is forgetting the post-Rathergate media we've so recently started living in. The lies WILL spread. I jsut hope Cheney keeps some of them alive in the VP debate, so Bush can pick up on a couple in debate #2.

I think Bush won tonight, and have been bummed by the reviews to the contrary. But already I'm feeling better as I realize how Kerry's about to get buried in a mountain of his own bull. That will only enforce the dis-ease people have over him.

I could be wrong. But I don't think so.

82 posted on 09/30/2004 11:20:13 PM PDT by Darkwolf377
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To: beyond the sea
Bush, throughout the evening, as Kerry spoke, had that pursed and annoyed look. Yes he did. Bummer.

I think that look is normal for anyone in the same room with Kerry.

83 posted on 09/30/2004 11:20:24 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: ladyinred

I only got to listen to half of the debate on the radio. It sounded like Bush was groping for words alot.

I have watched alot of debates before and I don't remember any of them being like this. This was an attack mode from Kerry. I don't think Bush was expecting this nor do I think he was expecting the lies. Such as when Kerry said he never called Bush a liar or the closing of the subway station comment. Bush may have never heard Kerry call him a liar and was not sure of the subway closure. This was not a debate in my opinion. The only response Bush could have had to this was to call Kerry a liar on stage and that is not his style. I think all of this had Bush flustered.

Kerry blew it with the global test comment. Bush said "global test" and it sounded like Kerry was saying the US would have to take something like a 4th grade test. I laughed on that one.

Bush's closing sumation was excellent.


84 posted on 09/30/2004 11:20:41 PM PDT by texastoo (a "has-been" Republican)
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To: NYCVirago

I think people’s first reaction is that Kerry won because they expected someone who would flip – flop and say something dumb because that has been Kerry’s performance in the Campaign to this point. Also, Kerry is a skilled debater and was better on classic debate style, and this was more or less a classic debate structure.

However, as the days pass and internet bloggers examine what each Candidate said and identify false statements by the Candidates, I believe that the conclusion will be that Kerry actually lost.

Without question Kerry got a number of things wrong – General Franks has already contradicted Kerry on men, weapons and material being pulled out of Afghanistan and going to Iraq. There will be many others. Kerry made the mistake of trying to sound very informed and cited a lot of “facts”. He is not quite as smooth a liar as is Clinton. And Clinton didn’t have to face the Internet and its now legion of bloggers.

There are several statements by Kerry that will come back to haunt Kerry, some are:

Kerry proposed giving nuclear fuel to Iran for “peaceful” purposes and the only “peaceful” purpose nuclear fuel could be used for is energy. So the US should have given nuclear fuel to a country that has the second or third largest amount of energy in the world in the form of oil & gas. A very stupid proposition when you think about it. Also, that proved to be a failed policy when Clinton gave North Korea nuclear tech for “peaceful” purposes and NK used it to build nukes.

The other “biggie” was Kerry saying that we needed to meet a “global test” before proceeding with military action to protect ourselves. We were attacked, we are at war, there is a high probability that we will be attacked again. Kerry will ask permission before taking action to protect American lives. How many ways can you say DUMB.

Also, Kerry would abandon the “bunker-busting nukes” essential for the US to get at, or at least threaten, North Korea’s and Iran’s nuclear facilities, which are buried under a mountain in each country. The typical leftist “unilateral disarmament”. When we are in a shooting war, we should disarm – great strategy.

There were other gaffs by Kerry, but these alone, I believe, will kill Kerry when the RNC and/or bloggers get them out to the public.

Many were thinking Bush would land a knockout punch and they don’t think they saw one. I think in a few days or a week you will see Kerry fade once what he said soaks in.


85 posted on 09/30/2004 11:20:51 PM PDT by AndyMeyers
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To: beyond the sea
Texans do not bode well with being called a liar. I thought he did well not to jump Kerry's sh!t over that, especially considering the source. However, With the inaccuracies (lies) Kerry told, it would not take much to sound bite together a commercial of Kerry's lies.

IMHO, President Bush gave Kerry the rope, and let him run with it.

Also, the President mentioned that America's military would remain all volunteer (NO DRAFT!) which would have perked up the ears of any guy from 18 to 24.

86 posted on 09/30/2004 11:20:59 PM PDT by Smokin' Joe (I'd rather be judged by 12 than carried by 6)
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To: gsrinok

I don't think that "joe sixpack" has any less common sense than me. I am not very politically astute. Perhaps you are and know better, but it sounds maybe perhaps a little condesending, not that I'm saying it is. I agree with you that media is a powerful medium. I hope that the average joe six isn't as sheepish as you suggest.


87 posted on 09/30/2004 11:21:33 PM PDT by dahvid (put that in your pipe and smoke it)
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To: ladyinred

I only got to listen to half of the debate on the radio. It sounded like Bush was groping for words alot.

I have watched alot of debates before and I don't remember any of them being like this. This was an attack mode from Kerry. I don't think Bush was expecting this nor do I think he was expecting the lies. Such as when Kerry said he never called Bush a liar or the closing of the subway station comment. Bush may have never heard Kerry call him a liar and was not sure of the subway closure. This was not a debate in my opinion. The only response Bush could have had to this was to call Kerry a liar on stage and that is not his style. I think all of this had Bush flustered.

Kerry blew it with the global test comment. Bush said "global test" and it sounded like Kerry was saying the US would have to take something like a 4th grade test. I laughed on that one.

Bush's closing sumation was excellent.


88 posted on 09/30/2004 11:21:44 PM PDT by texastoo (a "has-been" Republican)
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To: Prime Choice
In other words, while you and I can see through Kerry's mumbo-jumbo, those who don't follow this race as closely will walk away with a more positive view of Kerry than Bush. And believe me, that is the last thing we need.

No, they will be remembering 'we did not need that tax cut' and 'global testing'

89 posted on 09/30/2004 11:22:15 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: Pokey78

I didn't think it was grim at all. Bush did fine. Many of the questions posed were obviously written to put Bush in a bad position. A lot of his answers had to be basic and from the heart, because specifics would endager foreign policy. He is the SITTING PRESIDENT. He can't just break into rambling theory on what he would like to do about Iran or N. Korea, because anything he says during the debate will be taken literally on the bargaining table overseas tomorrow morning.

What's he supposed to do? Let all of our policy and battle plans out of his sleeves just because of a debate? He can't. He's tied to the office and in the middle of a war. I thought he projected honesty and integrity. And it was obvious in a few places that he was very upset that he couldn't just gush the whole truth of a situation at the American people. That's the kind of man you want in office.

It doesn't matter one bit if you can't speak as eloquently as your opponent, as long as the vast majority of people can look you in the eyes and know they can trust you with their lives.

Kerry, on the other hand, had all the polish of a used car salesman. Not a statesman. The kind of person you get stuck dealing with when you buy a car. You don't want to, but you're forced to listen to him. And if you have ANY other good option you take it. Bush is definately a GOOD alternative to what Kerry projects.


90 posted on 09/30/2004 11:22:25 PM PDT by Advil
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To: hansel

We (in my family) thought Bush won but concede Kerry sounded and looked better than anticipated (better then when he gives one of his hectoring speeches). Toward the end he almost got that tone but reined it in. He said many things that are wrong and that are being exposed so that will undermine any good impression he might have made on a few.


91 posted on 09/30/2004 11:23:14 PM PDT by cyncooper (Have I mentioned lately that I despise the media?)
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To: Pokey78
Listening to the debate on the radio, it sounded like Bush was saying the right things, but the way he was saying them was an absolute turnoff. It made me sick. The tone of his voice as he spoke seemed to add a frustrated, "Why won't you believe me?" to every statement he uttered. The first thing Bush needed to have drilled into his head by his preppers was to say everything with a tone of voice that confidently added, "As we all know....".

Kerry seemed to control the tenor of the debate, and that makes him the winner, regardless of his positions.

92 posted on 09/30/2004 11:23:43 PM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: Just mythoughts
"Lets face it, if Bush had clearly won we would be crowing that it was over."

True. And we'd be wrong.

It's a cumulative thing. Bush didn't jsut suddenly lose ground he's been building in the swing states, and when the ads come revealing all the lies Kerry said...I'd rather be where Bush is now. That's not hyperbole; I'd be shouting and yahooing if their positions were reversed earlier tonight; right now, I wouldn't want to be Kerry, though, now that the sheen is wearing off.

93 posted on 09/30/2004 11:24:09 PM PDT by Darkwolf377
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To: Migjagger
Yes, I agree that Bush look of annoyance makes him look simian--not good. My mom thought that Bush didn't make as many mistakes as she thought he would but that he did well. Nonetheless, I think that overall Kerry won the debate and I believe he will win the undecided. Frankly, I think that Bush will lose the election

You must be smoking something.

Tell me, what States is Bush going to lose because of this debate? NJ? Calif? NY?

94 posted on 09/30/2004 11:24:30 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: California Patriot
But that's exactly the point. Because undecided voters aren't smart or informed enough to see how liberal Kerry is, Bush has to paint a very clear picture for them. Although he had some strong lines and clearly won on substance, Bush failed to paint a compelling overall picture of Kerry as unacceptably far-left on foreign policy. To do that, he needed to use Kerry's record, which he barely did.

He didn't need to, Kerry needed to show why he should be President and not Bush.

Kerry failed in doing that and therefore will lose this election.

Americans are not going to have their foreign policy dictated by 'global testing', espically after seeing how the UN did not handle Saddam.

95 posted on 09/30/2004 11:27:08 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: cyncooper

The more time passes, the more I think Bush scored the most with his points and has better soundbytes. Kerry won the debate for a few hours, but I think over time that'll change when people start really analyzing what he said.


96 posted on 09/30/2004 11:29:32 PM PDT by hansel
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Comment #97 Removed by Moderator

To: kingu
"In the final balance, Kerry lost the debate - he missed his goal. He had to perform wonderfully, Bush had to stumble. Neither happened, which puts Kerry still behind in the electoral college, and no where near the oval office."

Good assessment and agreed.

98 posted on 09/30/2004 11:29:44 PM PDT by TOUGH STOUGH (Go Swifties!!!!!!!)
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isn't the next one a 'town hall' type debate? Bush should win that easily over old ironbutt


99 posted on 09/30/2004 11:30:11 PM PDT by KneelBeforeZod (Deus Lo Volt!)
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To: faithincowboys
. I thought like Lockhart that it was a draw-- which means Kerry lost, but Kerry does appear to be winning the post-deabte spin decisively.

We are in absolute agreement on this.

Bush did not have to win the debate, or any of the future ones.

What he must do and did do was hold his own by defending his policies and connect the war on terror to Iraq in the face of the opposition to that idea.

In my mind he succeeded.

He did not win out right, but won because he has the title belt and the challenger needed a knockout to take it from him. That knock out did not occur, and in fact never materialized.

Could Bush have done better?

Sure, he could have, but after a full day of viewing hurricane damages and comforting hundreds of people he was a bit flat.

I also believe that something was distracting him in the audience. The sound was muted in that direction but I sensed a distracting occurrence in the direction of the audience. I hope we get some reports about that.

The Dems have nothing of substance from this debate to use against Bush, but on the flip side there is much that Kerry said that was untrue or misrepresented. Kerry also danced around several points that Bush made and never completely answered anything. he simply diverted to other subjects. (pivoting)

Bush or anyone else for that matter, will have a very difficult time beating Kerry on a debate. Kerry is just too good at it. But he does not need to. Kerry can't connect with the average Joe and acts like a smart ass. His words are thick and meaningless to most.

Those on this forum and others who say Kerry won decisively are either in agreement with his Bull crap or are grading on style.

We know our Bush pretty well, and he cannot do what Kerry does in the style category.

It must be said, that style alone does not make a good president. Substance is the issue and Bush won the substance battle without question. It is unfortunate that debates are graded on style, but voters vote substance.

100 posted on 09/30/2004 11:30:50 PM PDT by Cold Heat (http://ice.he.net/~freepnet/kerry/staticpages/index.php?page=20040531140357545)
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