Posted on 09/27/2004 6:31:18 PM PDT by fight_truth_decay
2004 Electoral Vote Animation
May 24 - Present
All in all very good news. Especially in Kerry has to spend bucks in NJ, MD and other states that should be a lock for him.
My independent count coincides w Realclearpolitics.com at 291 for Bush.
It's obvious David Hogberg hasn't done his homework when it comes to the Centennial State. Colorado will go for Bush-Cheney. No doubt about it. Colorado is not a toss up state and never has been. Since the GOP convention, the President has pulled ahead of Kerry and these increases for Bush in Colorado have mirrored the national polls. At the same time, GOP Senate candidate Pete Coors has pulled ahead of Democrat Ken Salazar in the race to replace Senator Ben Nighthorse Campbell.
I get 295, my guess is our difference is New Hampshire, which I have in the Bush column.
David Hogberg needs to lay off the (Zog)sauce when analyzing polls.
Be Useful in Illonis and Michigan
Tennessee is BUSH country. We know gun grabbers when we see them. We know tax and spend liberals when we hear them.
I don't know what this guy is talking about. Kerry doesn't stand a chance in Arkansas. I think he just stopped advertising there.
Actually as of today no state allocates electors proportionately, but Colorado may for this election if an ammendment passes.
Maine and Nebraska allocate their electors by the winner of each congressional district and the state winner getting the two senatorial electors.
Maine and Nebraska give the overall winning candidate two votes, then the rest according to who wins each congressional district.
Agree with your note about Arkansas. Since when is Arkansas "Not a Deep South state"? That would be news to everyone else in the South. Florida qualifies as "not Deep South" -- but Arkansas?
Agree with your note about Arkansas. Since when is Arkansas "Not a Deep South state"? That would be news to everyone else in the South. Florida qualifies as "not Deep South" -- but Arkansas?
At the Tennessee -- La-Tech football game the stickers on clothes were easily 8-10 to 1 for Bush. Later found out that some UT trademark person forced the Bushies to stop handing out the stickers which had the orange and white checkerboard endzone across the middle.
Easy to feel good about Tennessee being Bush Country.
Don't forget it was Tennessee not Florida who cost Gore the 2000 election. We knew him, you see.
The last poll in Tennessee (reported a week ago) showed Bush up by 13 points. That confirmed a couple of other smaller polls that had leads of ten points or so.
I don't know where that goofy August poll came from, but there's never been a significant chance of TN going for Kerry. Heck, Gore couldn't win here even though he came from Tennessee! The idea that TN would go for a northeastern liberal when we didn't go for Gore is plain silly. Any realistic analysis should put Tennessee firmly in the group of Bush states.
Bush is clearly on the offensive, consistently visiting states Gore won while making a few appearances in "swing" states he won. Kerry on the other hand is spending all his money and all his time, defending states Gore won, and many that Gore won easily.
Well over 300 to W by my book. How about a betting pool?
I tend to agree with you. I just don't see this election being a nailbiter like 2000. Not saying it will be a landslide, but I think Bush will take a number of the Gore states to win handily.
Maine and Nebraska give the overall winning candidate two votes, then the rest according to who wins each congressional district.
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That is what I said and that is not proportional allocations which is what you said in your first post. Proportional allocation is what Colorado would be instituted this election IF the voters of CO pass an ammendment.
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