PENNSYLVANIA POLL: Kerry leads 4 of 5 issues over Bush

Wilkes Barre Times-Leader ^ | Sun, Aug. 15, 2004 | BRETT MARCY

[COEXERJ145]

See post 85. Troll boy is still here.

[uncbob]

Well like I said, I will wait until after the Pubbie convention.

Ya mean after Bush drags out a bunch of warmed over RINOS to speak

[ex-snook]

"Ya mean after Bush drags out a bunch of warmed over RINOS to speak "

Who else does the GOP have? I haven't seen many alternatives posted.

[Sam Spade]

Well, as I remember their breakdown of LV was somewhere around 46% Dem, 34% Rep, 18% Ind. Normal PA breakdown always seems to be about 40%D, 40%R, 20%I.

However, since it's a LV poll and that's what they determine to be LV, I'll go along with it. Predicting turnout is often the most important prediction in a race and the one pollsters miss most often.

My own personal opinion is that Kerry was up 5-8 points in PA at the time this poll was taken, about a week ago.(holding in line with what SV says, Rasmussen is wrong on this one, as he is about many things) Chances are things haven't changed much. I would expect this to narrow after the RNC, we'll have to see by how much.

[Kuksool]

A week ago Rasmussen had Kerry leading Bush by only 46-45.

[Sam Spade]

I know. I'm not the only one who's questioned a lot of Rasmussen's state and national polls, but if I'm wrong I'll admit it.

Here he feels like an outlier.

[KQQL]

WHAT EVER

Go back to your fanstasy LAND

[KQQL]

House GOP 229 Dem 205 IND 1
Senate GOP 51 Dem 48 IND 1
GOV 25-25 a tie..

There is a 50% chance LA goes to a runoff.

Zogby is just catching up to Harris /other state polls...


164 posted on 11/04/2002 7:23:34 PM PST by KQQL
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I said Spector would WIN by 5%
and he WON by 2%

Most here predicted Tommey would win.
(YEA RIGHT)

Also I said Johnny I will be the GOP nominee in GA,and
most her said he would be in a run off.



--

[KQQL]

Did you notice that KQQL thinks so much of himself. He is telling us that he has a good record of calling races.

---

House GOP 229 Dem 205 IND 1
Senate GOP 51 Dem 48 IND 1
GOV 25-25 a tie..

There is a 50% chance LA goes to a runoff.

Zogby is just catching up to Harris /other state polls...


---->164 posted on 11/04/2002 7:23:34 PM PST by KQQL
------

I said Spector would WIN by 5%
and he WON by approx 2%
---->Most here predicted Tommey would win ( YEA RIGHT)


Also I said Johnny.I will be the GOP nominee in GA , and
most here said he would be in a run off.with CAIN
and Cain will win (LOL)

---

[KQQL]

2004 OUTLOOK as of TODAY:

---

W or Kerry will win by at least 3-5%.

It's wouldn't be close like 2000.
Debates will matter , so will Iraq, War on Terror and state of the economy

[KQQL]

lol..

[KQQL]

RASMUSSEN POLLS ARE JUNK !

[KQQL]

Red states status:

Kerry is ahead in NH and FL
while
AK, OH, MO,WV, NV, are toss up.

so far only blue states which are toss up are:
WI, IA and MN


Bush is ahead in NO blue states

[jveritas]

Get real man and stop the delusion about yourself.

[txrangerette]

That W is behind or not, in PA,
is a seperate issue from this
particular poll, which shows an
11 pt lead by Kerry.

Ridiculous result.

So I seperate the question of
where the race stands from this
particular poll. I base that on
ridiculous results of K. vs. W.
DrDeb objected to a couple of
specific aspects - "methodology"
might not best describe her point.

Final point: You ASK for most of
the flack you get from FReepers
because of your approach to poll
material & your attitude.

What we should do is ignore your
posts. Let them stand, no comment.

[Safetgiver]

You forget the whole Lehigh Valley/ Schuykill Unionized corridor from Philly up to Scranton. They vote Dim because their great grandpappies were Dims and they ain't ABOUT to think of anything but unions.

[Meldrim]

Does this reflect the fact that for the first time in ages the Amish are registering to vote.