Two items:
1) Any time they start to get that large, they will become vulnerable to communications interceptions and tracking.
2) With Iraq boiling over and al-Qaida trying to find a new home, they are all concentrating on our troups, like a honey-pot to attract the flies. I can't think of anything better than having them drawn to our military, rather than to be free to roam our cities creating trouble.
Transformed? They cannot possibly believe this bilge they peddle. Bin Laden was sweet reason when he blew up lower Manhattan. But now it is a religious matter.
Or the statement that losing Afghanistan helped AQ. Um, if it was so helpful, why did they fight? Why didn't they disperse themselves before the B-52s showed up? Seems they considered 15 million people completely under their control to indoctrinate and recruit from, as rather more valuable than the idiot think tanker who wrote this analysis.
It is simply a job application. Some analyst is putting in his CV with Kerry. That is all.
Who did the census or did someone get a hold of the membership list ?