Posted on 03/16/2004 10:13:54 AM PST by Alouette
Britain's top policeman, Scotland Yard Commissioner Sir John Stevens, warned on Tuesday that a terrorist attack in London is inevitable, despite the fact that anti-terror officers are working "three-times harder than ever" to prevent such an atrocity.
His remarks come amid heightened public tensions and security measures following the Madrid bombings last Thursday which left 200 dead and thousands injured.
Speaking at a press conference with London Mayor Ken Livingstone, Stevens revealed that, "we have actually stopped terrorist attacks happening in London, but," he said, "there is an inevitability that some sort of attack will get through."
The sentiments expressed by Stevens have been echoed by Prime Minister Tony Blair and Foreign Secretary Jack Straw, while Livingstone told the press conference it would be "miraculous" if London escaped an attack by al-Qaida. Earlier, Home Secretary David Blunkett warned on BBC radio: "It is quite likely they are planning one now."
The Madrid attack has had a tragic consequences for the victims and their families, but it has also had a profound political effect across Europe.
One immediate consequence was the unexpected victory of Spain's Socialist Party in last Sunday's election. Another was the immediate declaration by Prime Minister-elect Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero that he would extract the Spanish component from the US-led coalition in Iraq.
In describing the Iraqi campaign as a "disaster" based on a "lie," and calling on George Bush and Tony Blair "do some reflection and self-criticism," Zapatero has re-opened the combustible debate over Iraq in Europe, with increased rancor.
It is now widely accepted that Sunday's electoral upset in Spain was a consequence of the perception that, in the immediate aftermath of the attacks, Jose Maria Aznar's ruling Popular Party attempted to hoodwink the public by placing the blame firmly on the domestic ETA terrorist group.
And as it became more obvious that the attack was conducted by al-Qaida, or a wholly-owned subsidiary, the charge of deception became conflated with the notion that Aznar actually invited the attacks on Madrid by leading his country into the deeply unpopular Iraq war.
The Madrid attacks are now spoken of as "Europe's 9/11," while the Zapatero's unexpected victory in Spain is being described as "Bin-Ladin's first regime change."
But beyond the tragedy and the carnage, there is little similarity between the American and Spanish experiences. Unlike the solidarity that marked the aftermath of the attacks on America, the attacks on Spain appear to have widened the intra-European rifts that had emerged in the run-up to the war, at both national and supranational levels.
The sense of outrage in Spain is directed more at its departing political leader than at the terrorists; the sense of solidarity is with other European states that are reflexively anti-American and that most vociferously oppose the Iraq war.
For them, it is American action that provoked the Madrid attacks; it is Washington rather than Islamic fascism that is the author of their misfortune. While America responded to the attacks on its homeland with defiance, the Europeans are showing a propensity for their old game of appeasement, a game they have played with great vigor in the Israeli-Arab theater.
Spain, once considered to be solidly Atlanticist, is about to make a dramatic about-face. Zapatero was quick to indicate this week that the "Three Amigos" - Bush, Blair and Aznar - are history; instead, he will pursue what he described as a "magnificent" partnership with France and Germany.
The weakening of the coalition will not help George Bush to sustain the credibility of America's bloody engagement in Iraq; nor will it help his campaign for re-election in November.
At the same time, the zeitgeist - transforming victim into perpetrator - will not help Blair, who led Britain unwillingly to war and was unkindly described by Jose Bono, a senior aide to Zapatero, as "un gilipollas integral" - a total dickhead.
If, as is being widely predicted, Islamic terrorism visits the streets of London, the British prime minister, like his outgoing Spanish counterpart, will face tough questions. "Regime change," al-Qaida-style, might not have ended in Madrid.
"We are renowned as a phlegmatic people," noted Peter Kilfoyle, a Labor legislator and former defense minister in the Blair government, "but we are not forgiving to those who let the side down, whether at home or abroad.
"If such an attack were to take place here," he wrote in the London-based Guardian this week, "the question would inevitably be whether our support for America's war against Iraq had made it more likely."
This was, he added, a subject for Blair to reflect on: "If ever there was a case of an individual driving the nation into a war then it was him. People will inevitably link his personal crusade to any failure to forestall terrorist outrages. Thus the stakes for him have increased alarmingly."
by Laura Mansfield, Analyst - NE Intelligence Network
The terrorist attack that massacred 200 of your countrymen, and injured over a thousand, was a horrific act. The world grieves with you. We all know it could have happened to our people in our countries just as easily as it happened in Madrid last Thursday.
But no matter how tragic and horrible that act was, it was not a victory for the terrorists.
The victory for the terrorists in Spain came on Sunday.
The professed goal of the attack, according to numerous Al Qaeda communiques, was to punish Spain for its support of the United States in the war against Iraq.
Sunday, in your free elections, you voted to place the communist party in power. This morning your new leadership announced that it would withdraw the Spanish troops from Iraq, and in effect abandon the coalition.
Your actions proved beyond the shadow of a doubt to Al Qaeda that if they kill enough people in a mass casualty attack that they can swing the popular vote. You've proved that they can influence elections.
You have just guaranteed that the United States will sustain a mass casualty terrorist action on our soil before our November elections. After all, maybe we too can be frightened into a policy of isolationalism. You probably also doomed Tony Blair's government in England to the same fate. How many will die in terror attacks in the United States and England in order for the terrorists to try and intimidate us?
In 1937, your countryman Pablo Picasso created a masterpiece depicting the horrors of wars in Guernica.
That same year, British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain made this statement: "We should seek by all means in our power to avoid war, by analyzing possible causes, by trying to remove them, by discussion in a spirit of collaboration and good will." He entered into a policy of appeasement with Germany, instead of taking a stand and drawing a line in the sands of time. The end result was that Adolf Hitler had more time to strengthen his hold on power and perpetrate a holocaust not just on the Jews of Germany, but on much of Europe.
At the same time, your countrymen were giving their lives in a struggle for freedom in Spain.
You were not afraid in 1937. Where is the courage of 1937?
The message you sent to Al Qaeda yesterday was clear. "Please don't threaten us; please don't kill our people; we'll do what you want us to do."
Why are you allowing the terrorists to intimidate you now? Why do you let them win?
What happened?
I leave you now with the words "Hasta la Vista". Call us when you need us. You will be calling; your actions in response to the Madrid terrorism attack guaranteed it. And when you call us, we will come and help. Even if Al Qaeda threatens us and attacks us. We don't let fear cower us into appeasement or surrender. That's the kind of people we are.
Yeah, they do.
`Eisav sanei' 'et Ya`aqov.
Hey, this is a conservative forum! No using a leftwing, third world, indigenous, non-European language here! What are you, a Communist??? [laughter]
`Eisav sanei' 'et Ya`aqov means "Esau hates Jacob," a reference to the fact that Europe and European civilization (descended either literally or spiritually from the 'Edomite Romans) hate Jacob, the Jews. Goes back to that sibling rivalry thing.
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