[Momaw Nadon]

I went to TradeSports.com which is a futures market in which people bet on the outcomes of various things.

According to the current trading prices of the futures contracts, an estimate can be found of what traders are betting will be the outcome of 2004 Presidential Election.

If the traders are correct, President Bush would receive 355 Electoral Votes and the Democratic candidate would receive 183 Electoral Votes.

Opinions and commentary are welcome.

[Lancey Howard]

Great post!

If you take all of those states where Bush has between a 50% and a 70% chance of winning, that totals 101 electoral votes. If Bush nabs just half of those votes, he still ends up with 304 to the rats' 234. Looking good.

Very unscientific, but there you go.

[jveritas]

The logic and the facts on the ground tell us that President Bush is favored to win in 2004. However, we cannot take this for granted at all because many things can happen from now until November 2nd 2004 that may reduce the chances of President Bush victory. We need to work extremely hard for this victory. Let's roll.