Posted on 04/08/2020 1:01:21 PM PDT by Zenyatta
Or maybe CA has fewer fatties with diabetes.
More testing. Share the data
Something the alleged CDC has not yet done. [buncha anti-Trumper/deplorables wankers].
HM=roughly equivalent to monkee-see/monkee-do...whole lotta do-do!
*****
GyG!
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This will give us some very interesting results.
Notice it could not reasonably be done earier, as we did not have the test yet.
The earlier test was much more difficult, expensive, and not widely available.
They should do a study on flu related deaths in CA since fall of last year. Also number of hospitalizations. Were these more than normal ? Then when antibody tests become widely available, do random tests.
not sure what the testing capacity for this test is, but a couple weeks sounds too long
Where as people who die from cancer/flu/other recently are marked as covid19?
Plausible.
Apparently the letters sent to the Dem Governors to let them in on the scam were a little late. Just think of the fun they would have had with all the dying homeless out in Cali.
Doubtful. European countries have been doing widespread random testing for CV antibodies. Spain has the most at 15%, then Italy at 10%, the rest are below 5%, most below 2%.
To get “herd immunity,” a population needs 80% or greater.
Agreed, but scientists and schoolteachers don’t live in the land of reality. Everything to them is theoretical.
California is ranked 46th for obesity and NY is ranked 42nd (https://stateofchildhoodobesity.org/adult-obesity/) The difference isn’t enough to account for the disparity in current infection rates.
I have family members in CA that had a strange illness back in November/December that in hindsight had the characteristics of Covid-19. Several physicians in Washington state have told my wife that they were seeing signs of this much earlier in January, but they just classified it as an unknown respiratory virus.
I have no doubt that this thing was floating around the SF Bay Area and Los Angeles much earlier.
I think it is the population density in New York that is driving their infection rate.
Thanks for the update.
Links to get to those numbers in the near future?
looked a little bit further into testing capacity. I haven’t found any information on the study labs, but a lab in Monterey mentioned in the article (”ARCpoint Labs is offering an antibody test from the company Premier Biotech”) is reported to have a capacity of less than 100 tests per day. Initial article said this lab had tested 500 people so far with some positive results, but didn’t mention how many.
If there are 3 labs in the study with this type of capacity, then 2+ weeks would be about right for 3500 tests (3x500/wk).
“I think it is the population density in New York that is driving their infection rate.”
concur, with mass transit being a significant vector
We took a CA to FL cruise in December.
All came down with some respiratory ailment. Wife’s sister was tested negative for flu so we all just ‘survived’ for about a month.
Dry cough and tiredness but no other COVID-19 symptoms.
“get “herd immunity,” a population needs 80% or greater.”
I wouldn’t get hung up on the term. It seems like a good thing to look at.
Maybe those countries had been using the old tests.
https://www.fiercebiotech.com/medtech/current-covid-19-antibody-tests-aren-t-accurate-enough-for-mass-screening-say-oxford
Also, you don’t need herd immunity/80% numbers to have an impact on the spread.
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