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NATE SILVER: 'There’s been a potential breach' of Hillary Clinton's 'electoral firewall'
Business Insider ^ | November 4, 2016 | Oliver Darcy

Posted on 11/04/2016 2:57:21 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Reality, 1:1 random sampling.....Trump up +15


41 posted on 11/04/2016 3:16:01 PM PDT by Scooter100
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To: fortheDeclaration

Well said.

Along with that, we must expect the same type of ferocious defense and counterattacks by the Clintons as the Nazi machine gunners and artillery batteries on the cliffs put up.

You know the Clintons and their evil sycophant minions have laid mines, put up nearly impenetrable barriers, and will launch hundreds of mortar and artillery attacks, and will never surrender.

Trump must fight through all this and win it. The loss of life will thankfully not be similar, but what’s at stake now is nearly as important as it was on D-Day 1944.

If he isn’t successful, we’ll still have a country that’s better than any other imho, and we can all still fight the bad guys, but it will be much harder for all of us.


42 posted on 11/04/2016 3:17:02 PM PDT by Husker8877
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

That pounding Hillary is hearing is TRUMP! kicking down the bunker door.

Hey Pickles!
See you at the trials!
Nuremberg style baby!


43 posted on 11/04/2016 3:17:32 PM PDT by oldvirginian (If someone tells you biscuits and gravy ain't a meal, just walk away. You don't need the negativity.)
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To: pingman

Maine’s 2nd District is solidly in the “R” camp. It’s the twats down Portland way who are in Lalaland.

Hey, I am offended by that remark.

We are working to educate the twats of Portland. They are probably a lost cause but the regular people of Portland are going to surprise. LePage got 22% in Portland. I am going to suggest Trump gets an unheard of 35% in Portland.


44 posted on 11/04/2016 3:18:01 PM PDT by Steven Scharf
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Nate is trying to hold the wall at 36% for Trump today in the face of momentum flowing to Trump. I would say it is 55/45 Hillary. Today, right now. Tomorrow it could be Trump.

Hear Ed Rollins speak about this weekend. He compared it to Reagan in 1980. The Thursday before Carter was ahead by 5 paints. Friday down to 1. Saturday Reagan up 5 and Sunday Reagan up 10 where it stayed.
Right now I trust Ed more than Nate who has never seen just momentum drown a candidate. No one throwing her a lifesaver either.

45 posted on 11/04/2016 3:18:51 PM PDT by Kozy (new age haruspex)
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To: rigelkentaurus

538 has higher chance for Trump than just about everyone else so he’s been more fair than most. Probably because he was dead wrong about Trump in the primaries. Based on all of the aggregate polls, his % is about right. That is, if you trust the polls, which forecast turnout based on 2012.


46 posted on 11/04/2016 3:19:25 PM PDT by rb22982
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To: Behind the Blue Wall

In the following scenario, Nevada’s awfully important.

http://www.270towin.com/maps/woVe4

There’s a lot of ways to play this map. It gets a bit addicting.


47 posted on 11/04/2016 3:22:44 PM PDT by Deo volente (Our Independence Day is at hand, and it arrives on November 8th.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

We need a hashtag that celebrates Trump’s electoral surge.
How about:

#TheReddening
#TrumpSurgeIsWorking
#TrumpTheFirewall


48 posted on 11/04/2016 3:23:27 PM PDT by Carlucci
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To: rb22982

Nate’s methodology makes him a lagging indicator.


49 posted on 11/04/2016 3:24:00 PM PDT by Paladin2 (auto spelchk? BWAhaha2haaa.....I aint't likely fixin' nuttin'. Blame it on the Bossa Nova...)
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To: Deo volente

Next Headline from Natalia Silver:

‘THERE’S BEEN A POTENTIAL BREACH IN THE CLEVELAND INDIANS 3 GAME TO 1 LEAD OVER THE CHICAGO CUBS’

*LOL*


50 posted on 11/04/2016 3:24:23 PM PDT by Simon Foxx
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Owned by ESPN for some reason.


Uber liberal Disney owns ESPN. They are trying to inject liberal propaganda into the ESPN audience.


51 posted on 11/04/2016 3:25:26 PM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: Simon Foxx

Don’t be silly. Trump has about the same chance of winning the Presidency as those Cubs do of winning the World Series. Silver told me so.


52 posted on 11/04/2016 3:25:42 PM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Always remember that infamous propagandist Nate gave Trump a 2% chance of winning the Republican nomination.


53 posted on 11/04/2016 3:28:12 PM PDT by sergeantdave (Trump will give us 80% of what we want, while hillary will take 100% of what we have)
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To: Paladin2

Yes, although, like I said, to be fair he’s picking it up more than most of the other “forecasters”


54 posted on 11/04/2016 3:29:58 PM PDT by rb22982
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The real firewall that needs to be breached is Hillary's firewall called "voter fraud."

We need to find out who the corrupt Clinton machine has put in charge of

There is virtually no transparency with these things, and the Dems have gotten away with it for years because the Repubs were too spineless to challenge (or even question) election results, even when the numbers were "too good to be true" or had obviously been tampered with.

55 posted on 11/04/2016 3:30:41 PM PDT by Jess Kitting
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To: Henchster

Trump has crossed the Rubicon!


56 posted on 11/04/2016 3:33:15 PM PDT by Fhios
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To: Husker8877

Trump has ISIS politically surrounded.


57 posted on 11/04/2016 3:35:34 PM PDT by Fhios
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
This douche is attempting to save a little face as a pollster. possibly Frank Lutz also, but most of them have sold their polling soul to the devil Clinton camp to help the narrative.
58 posted on 11/04/2016 3:35:42 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (HTTP 500 - Internal Server Error)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I hope someone records the HIllary Jay-Z concert and holds her accountable for the language used in the music. Of course, he may clean it up for her.


59 posted on 11/04/2016 3:36:28 PM PDT by georgiarat (To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize - Voltaire)
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To: Fhios

Trump Crosses the Delaware!


60 posted on 11/04/2016 3:36:51 PM PDT by Henchster (Free Republic - the BEST site on the web!)
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