Free Republic
Browse · Search
GOP Club
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

What a new California poll means for Trump, Cruz campaigns
The Los Angeles Daily News ^ | April 7, 2016 | David Montero

Posted on 04/07/2016 5:11:02 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-51 next last

1 posted on 04/07/2016 5:11:02 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
California is the big prize with 172 delegates at stake, but they are divvied up by congressional districts - three delegates per district with 10 at-large delegates. The presidential candidate who wins any of the state’s 53 congressional districts will win all three delegates. The 10 at-large delegates are awarded to the candidate who has the highest vote total statewide.

With 2 months to go and mini-battles in 53 different congressional districts, this is going to be political Stalingrad. Exciting time to be a CA Republican... for once!
2 posted on 04/07/2016 5:15:25 PM PDT by irishjuggler
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: irishjuggler

“- three delegates per district with 10 at-large delegates.”

I want to know who the three delegates from Maxine Waters’ district will be. I doubt if there are ten Republicans in that district. There are many districts in California like that. Do the party bosses send carpetbaggers into those districts?


3 posted on 04/07/2016 5:20:14 PM PDT by forgotten man
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

It’s not enough lead for Trump. He needs to be +10, but there is a problem with that. He’ll be courting controversy if he starts stumping in CA. Double trouble if he goes stupid on us again.

He should start Stumping in San Diego and Orange county. I recommend that all his stumps in California occur at Airports. Security would be tighter and there would be backlash if protesters block entrances and roadways to airports.


4 posted on 04/07/2016 5:21:19 PM PDT by Fhios (Going Donald Trump is as close to going John Galt as we'll get.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: irishjuggler

Wow, I can’t believe California is now nearly twice the size of New York.


5 posted on 04/07/2016 5:22:48 PM PDT by freespirit2012
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Fhios

Trump will KO Cruz in CA.


6 posted on 04/07/2016 5:26:34 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

There are almost 15 congressional districts in LA county - only 5 or 6 in Orange County and Riverside County... In the LA county districts, you can win them with a few thousand votes, because there are so few GOP voters, but in Orange County and San Diego county, you will need 30-40k votes or more to win the district.


7 posted on 04/07/2016 5:27:50 PM PDT by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: forgotten man

Yes, it’s a bizarro result... but it’s also kind of cool. Think about it. If you’re a Republican in Maxine Waters’ or Nancy Pelosi’s district, you’re used to your vote counting for diddly-squat. Now, suddenly you and your small band of GOP compatriots in the district are controlling 3 crucial delegates in this campaign. After decades of not mattering, you finally matter. Your loyalty to the GOP is rewarded in a not insignificant way.


8 posted on 04/07/2016 5:30:25 PM PDT by irishjuggler
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

It’s going to be a wild one in CA so it’s good that our vote will count. Hard to predict but here’s some history.

2000 Bush 52.2%, McCain 42.9% Bush all 162 delegates

2008 McCain 42.2% Romney 34.6% McCain 155 of 170 delegates

2012 Romney 79.5% Paul 10.4% Romney all 171 delegates

My prediction: Trump gets 140+ delegates.

PS: Ben Carson held a rally last year in Anaheim and drew 9000 plus.


9 posted on 04/07/2016 5:49:03 PM PDT by chrisinoc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

The city wimps best be tupper ware ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wJejiSVZ3jk&nohtml5=False


10 posted on 04/07/2016 5:53:40 PM PDT by soycd
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dragnet2

From your lips to Gods ear.

I think he’s very vulnerable.

Vote Trump


11 posted on 04/07/2016 5:53:41 PM PDT by Fhios (Going Donald Trump is as close to going John Galt as we'll get.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Previous poll was an 8 point lead.


12 posted on 04/07/2016 5:59:48 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: chrisinoc
Trump KO's Cruz in CA. I'm betting it'll be a walk in the park for Trump.

There are probably 10 million who've just stopped voting in CA over the past 2 decades because the states corrupt lawyers/politicians spit in their faces, habitually lied to them, and are looting the crap out of the people.

Most that are left in CA who are still capable of critical thought understand these AHs don't give a rip about anyone, and this includes the R's or Ds. Most are a bunch of rotten corrupt deceitful crooks. Most in CA figured out it's one big con job.


13 posted on 04/07/2016 6:05:18 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

14 posted on 04/07/2016 6:05:30 PM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dynoman

How many of those signify delegates won?


15 posted on 04/07/2016 6:07:39 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

I take these poll results with several pounds of salt.

First, of course, because polls in general are off by quite a bit. This year in particular has been tough on pollsters.

However, a bigger factor that will in my opinion skew the results away from what this poll says, is that Trump will be coming off of several victories in the Northeast. He will have two things going for him: first, momentum. Second, he will be much closer to a majority of the delegates, and Cruz will have been mathematically eliminated from winning on the first ballot by then. Many undecided voters tend to vote with the person who has momentum or a chance to win, because they want to be part of the winning crowd.

Additionally, I believe that after the last couple of weeks and the loss in Wisconsin, Trump will start being more disciplined and more specific regarding policy. In short, he will start acting in a more presidential manner. This will also tend to sway many undecided voters, and probably some Kasich voters, to his side.


16 posted on 04/07/2016 6:10:32 PM PDT by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

“In the new poll, 54 percent of those likely Republican voters who backed Schwarzenegger now support Trump.”

Dog returns to its own vomit (Proverbs).

Trump is an slightly more unhinged Schwarzenegger.

Fool me once, ok. I don’t see why these 52% are letting themselves be fooled twice.

I did not support Schwarzenegger. I knew he was no good. People here at FR (not even from CA) were fooled by Arnold then, just like Trump today, with a similar cult of personality.

I voted for McClintock if I recall correctly. I may have voted for a friend from junior high who was the Libertarian candidate, but don’t remember.


17 posted on 04/07/2016 6:10:35 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ifinnegan

What are you talking about?

For decades, the people in CA have been economically gang banged and looted by the lawyers/politicians in CA and from their co-conspirators in the the District of Deceit.

Few in CA even trust the electoral process anymore because the lawyers/politicians have undermined and compromised that too.


18 posted on 04/07/2016 6:15:12 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: dragnet2

I am saying Schwarzenegger was a disaster.

He was an opportunist who had nothing to do with making the recall election happen.

I actually think McClintock also was an opportunist, but I knew compared to Schwarzenegger, he was far preferable.

And I am saying Trump is Schwarzenegger II.


19 posted on 04/07/2016 6:20:04 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: ifinnegan

Schwarzenegger was a joke, like the rest. Everyone one of these lawyers/politicians in Sacramento have been a freaking disaster. Loser leadership at it’s best. CA got robbed and subverted in every direction. Right down to the electoral process which they’ve also compromised.

I am confident most in CA are in no mood for yet another lying lawyer/politician like Cruz.


20 posted on 04/07/2016 6:27:22 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-51 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
GOP Club
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson