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Tariffs, Tumult, and the Three Most Likely Paths Forward: Three distinct scenarios could play out from here
Investor Place ^ | 04/12/2025 | Luke Lango

Posted on 04/12/2025 6:39:27 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

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1 posted on 04/12/2025 6:39:27 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Always beware the motivations of someone whose main focus is the Markets.

He will not have best interests of Main Strret in mind as tries to convince you of “truth”.


2 posted on 04/12/2025 6:49:34 PM PDT by SoConPubbie (Trump has all the right enemies, DeSantis has all the wrong friends.)
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To: SeekAndFind
A lot of ignorace in the writers post. 86% of the US ecnomy is unrelated to imports. The impact of tariffs are minor here but major to other countries. S
3 posted on 04/12/2025 6:54:47 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: SeekAndFind

Ping


4 posted on 04/12/2025 7:03:18 PM PDT by alternatives?
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To: SoConPubbie

RE: Always beware the motivations of someone whose main focus is the Markets.

As of recent data, approximately 58% of U.S. families own stocks either directly or indirectly through pensions, IRAs, 401(k)s, or mutual funds. Direct ownership of stocks is less common, with only about 21% of families holding stocks directly. But still THAT’s MORE THAN HALF of Americans.

See here:

https://usafacts.org/articles/what-percentage-of-americans-own-stock/

Like it or not the markets DO affect main streeters.


5 posted on 04/12/2025 7:03:36 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump just exempted technology items like phones and computers from the tariffs - that changes everything - I think 7 companies on the stock exchange account for like 80% of the market … everything just changed


6 posted on 04/12/2025 7:51:03 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

I’m willing to bet that there will be ADDITIONAL exemptions coming when Trump’s team realizes that there are other critical things that the USA cannot at this point in time, produce without years of preparation ( e.g., critical rare earth minerals ). Watch and See.

This whole BIG BANG approach where the USA tries to take on over a hundred countries simultaneously, should be NOT been executed. The incremental approach ( like what was done in his first term ) should have been the way to go.


7 posted on 04/12/2025 7:56:02 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
Like it or not the markets DO affect main streeters.

Missed my point entirely, didn't you.

Let me spell it out to you in detail:L

Those, whose focus is the market, and who are heavily invested in said markets, are not to be trusted when they write articles either putting down President Trump's Tariff policies or put a negative spin on President Trump's approach without providing all the facts.

Their focus is on their investments, not Main Street.
8 posted on 04/12/2025 8:36:19 PM PDT by SoConPubbie (Trump has all the right enemies, DeSantis has all the wrong friends.)
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To: SoConPubbie

RE: Those, whose focus is the market, and who are heavily invested in said markets, are not to be trusted when they write articles either putting down President Trump’s Tariff policies

I don’t think I missed your point at all.

We CANNOT ignore the markets entirely because IT AFFECTS MOST AMERICANS. I gave you the stats. Nearly 70% of Americans have their pensions, IRA’s and retirement accounts tied to the markets ( both stocks and bonds ).

And this article is hardly critical of President Trump. I think it’s looking at the scenarios clinically.

And focusing on investments AFFECTS Main Streeters because Main Streeters DO Invest. In other words, the vast majority of them ARE INVESTORS.


9 posted on 04/12/2025 8:41:26 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Ditto - should have been more incremental


10 posted on 04/12/2025 11:06:57 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: central_va
86% of the US ecnomy is unrelated to imports. The impact of tariffs are minor here but major to other countries.

What a dumb statement. Ask WalMart or Apple about that. Maybe, just maybe, that's why Trump backed down again and gave Apple a special break. Ya' think?

And I'm sure you can explain why the dollar is crashing, and 10-year bonds are doing the same. Them "other countries" are telling us they don't want anything to do with our $36 trillion (and growing) debt-ridden country and the associated disaster we're barreling toward. Them tariffs we're were just pouring gasoline on a fire. Way to go Trump.

And you're trying to tell us it don't matter? Well, maybe some goofball may believe your crazy statement. I sure don't.

That road we've been kicking the can down is getting so much closer to a dead-end street.

11 posted on 04/13/2025 5:13:20 AM PDT by icclearly
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To: central_va

Also the nation on the down side of trading imbalance always benefits from the tariff. The nation on the high side loses.


12 posted on 04/13/2025 6:45:33 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: icclearly

Free Traitorâ„¢ talk. You sound like every Democrat and,RINO and CNN “ANALyst”. One day.....


13 posted on 04/13/2025 7:32:34 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: icclearly
I am not sure you can do basic math but I will show you some numbers on how ridiculous this fake brouhaha is over the tariff.

Total world GDP = $109 trillion/yr

Total US GDP = $27 trillion/yr

Expect revenue from increased US tariffs = $400 billion/yr.

So bird brain, tariff revenue compared to world GDP is .4/109 = .003%/yr ( a number so small it isn't even a rounding error )

Tariff revenue compared to the US GDP is .4/27 = .02% ( again not even a rounding error ) .

Numbers don't lie bird brain.

14 posted on 04/13/2025 7:41:07 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: SeekAndFind

Everybody who prophecied: A correction is coming!

Got it. Did not have to wait for a Big Disaster or something that some Greta-Karen said about “7.4308630763 years from now!”


15 posted on 04/13/2025 7:50:15 AM PDT by linMcHlp
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To: central_va
Numbers don't lie bird brain.

Hey there, oh, great one. Let me tell you bout some numbers. From Trump's so-called Independence Day to last Friday....

-Dow lost over 2000 points
-Dollar fell to its lowest point in over three years
-10 yr bonds increased over 50 basis points

Them there are real numbers that affect us all. And it's just the beginning.

By the way, ask Walmart about your meaningless GDP numbers. I'm pretty sure you'll get an earful. But, again, maybe not. Trump may cave like he did on all the country tariffs or the China Apple tariffs.

16 posted on 04/13/2025 11:55:32 AM PDT by icclearly
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To: icclearly

Them there are real numbers that affect us all. And it’s just the beginning.


Did you think it was going to be all sunshine and lollipops?

There is going to be payment for all the bad decisions prior to Trump.


17 posted on 04/13/2025 11:59:33 AM PDT by PeterPrinciple (Thinking Caps are no longer being issued, but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere)
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To: icclearly

Wow, Wall street over main street. Your aristocratic slip is showing. Spit. FOAD.


18 posted on 04/13/2025 7:24:12 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: central_va
Wow, Wall street over main street. Your aristocratic slip is showing. Spit. FOAD.

In your little bitty mind, that might be one view.

Wall Street is simply the messenger telling us that this is going to be a disaster and we're heading for economic trouble -- which is NOT aristocratic.

That's like saying you get a blood test that somehow shows you have cancer, and you call the blood test the problem.

How dumb can you be??

19 posted on 04/14/2025 4:23:00 AM PDT by icclearly
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To: icclearly

Pinhead, you can only think short term, quarter by quarter. You are stupid and inane beyond belief and our enemies know this.


20 posted on 04/14/2025 5:33:41 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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