Posted on 11/15/2024 5:21:06 PM PST by daniel1212
Another excerpt:
U.S. Military Response to a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan
If China were to launch an invasion of Taiwan and the United States decided to respond militarily, the following actions might occur:
Initial Deployments
U.S. Marines Positioning:
Armed with anti-ship and anti-air weapons
Deployed across Japan’s Southern Ryukyu Islands and the Philippines’ northern islands within the Bashi Channel
Extending to Yonaguni Island, less than 90 miles from Taiwan
Objective: Hold these islands and destroy Chinese warships and warplanes attempting to flank Taiwan
Air Operations:
U.S. planes from bases in South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines would aim to achieve air superiority around Taiwan
Naval Movements:
U.S. naval assets in Singapore would likely move to sever China’s critical oil import routes
Nuclear attack submarines would deploy from bases in Kitsap, Hawaii, Guam, Perth, and potentially Subic Bay
Submarine Operations
Objectives:
Plug up narrow maritime choke points across the Indonesian archipelago
Patrol around maritime choke points near the Philippines, within the Bashi Channel, and around Japan’s Ryukyu Islands
Monitor the Korea Strait
Orders to attack and sink any PLA warships attempting to break into the Sea of Japan, Philippine Sea, or wider Indo-Pacific
Nuclear Deterrence
America’s strategic nuclear triad in the Indo-Pacific would remain on standby
Assets located in Kitsap, Tindal, and potentially South Korea
The threat of nuclear war between the U.S. and China would loom over the conflict
Nuclear Capabilities
China’s estimated nuclear arsenal: ~400 warheads (2023)
Projected to increase to ~1,000 warheads by late 2020s
U.S. maintains a larger nuclear arsenal
Both nations capable of mutually assured destruction
Conflict Limitations
Theorists suggest neither side would strike the other’s mainland, even with conventional weapons
The war might be limited to maritime, aerial, and amphibious assaults around Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific
U.S. Strategy and Chinese Perspective
U.S. argues its military preparations are meant to deter a Chinese invasion of Taiwan
From China’s viewpoint, U.S. actions may appear aggressive and containment-oriented
China could potentially face a total maritime blockade by U.S. and allied forces
Potential Chinese Considerations
Some analysts speculate that U.S. military posturing might encourage China to consider launching an invasion sooner rather than later, before:
The AUKUS security pact fully materializes
New U.S. military bases in the Philippines are established
Japan fully militarizes its Southern Ryukyu Islands
American nuclear weapons potentially return to South Korea
Taiwan acquires more advanced arms from the U.S.
This scenario highlights the complex dynamics and potential risks involved in the ongoing tensions surrounding Taiwan and the broader U.S.-China relationship in the Indo-Pacific region.
“U.S. naval assets in Singapore would likely move to sever China’s critical oil import routes”
That’s the key. If the US and Japan block oil shipments through the Straits of Malacca, in 6 months China will have to turn off their lights. They know it, and that’s why they are unlikely to invade Taiwan.
There’s also the matter that taking out the Three Gorges Dam would result in 10s of millions dead and large swaths of their economy ruined.
No thanks.
Good post.
If we take out 3 Gorges, it might piss off the Chinese so badly that they just say “F it” and launch nukes at us
I’m pretty sure if we were to do that some dams around here would blow up.....along with a lot of other stuff.
Which is why that would not happen — there is a much different mindset today than the 1940’s. Mass casualties are something to be avoided.
Utterly retarded. Just what we need at his moment. A “total war” with China.
You are misunderstanding what the vid is about, which is that of examining the reality of adversaries, and the the extensive issues behind this, as well how preparing to fight a total war has served to deter China's territorial lust for control, yet may foster it, and how it could pan out if war does happen. Ignoring reality is what is mentally deficient. Allowing China to control the South China sea, and expand its power is detrimental to the US, though naive pols fostered it.
Hit their refineries and their rather large strategic reserves become worthless as would ours if they hit ours.
In the words of Red October, "This could get out of hand."
So long as China knows we will defend Taiwan they and we will not go down this road of mutual destruction. The real winner of Nuclear War between Russian, America and China is the one that does not participate in the conflict.
Well duh. It’s why DJT was allowed to win.
“Big beautiful ships” we will build and the MIC will live on
We have to appear willing, and make China believe we are willing to go to total war, while absolutely avoiding it all costs.
Later.
meanwhile, we have people in our govt and industry that have been feeding miltech to the chinese since the mid 90s
IlIegally, but sometimes at a higher level: U.S. agrees to sell supercomputer to China, officials say Administration aims to embrace, not isolate, Beijing. By New York Times News Service UPDATED: October 24, 2018 at 6:41 PM EST
WASHINGTON — In a good-will gesture toward China, the Clinton administration has agreed to sell it a sophisticated $8 million supercomputer, senior administration officials said yesterday.
The decision is part of the administration’s strategy to embrace, rather than isolate, China despite disagreements over human rights, weapons proliferation and trade. The Clinton administration is determined to grab an ever-larger share of China’s market, the fastest growing in the world, and reduce a trade deficit that could exceed that with Japan by the end of the decade.
Even more significant for American business, the administration has also decided to lift the ban on important components for China’s nuclear power plants, such as generators, senior Commerce Department officials said. That could mean billions of dollars in sales for General Electric Co. - https://www.baltimoresun.com/1993/11/19/us-agrees-to-sell-supercomputer-to-china-officials-say-administration-aims-to-embrace-not-isolate-beijing/
The CLINTON administration was the one that dropped them almost everything.
tech for: lasers, satellite, guidance, communications, nuclear (W88), multi-payload missile design, etc
everything to give china a modern military. that was in 1998
(look up the Cox Report... where is says ‘stolen’ substitute ‘gave doggie bag of drives’)
at the same time we handed them our manufacturing base. and that was 25+ years ago.
just this week i watched video out of china with their F-22 work-alikes, C-130s, predators, F-15s, etc
it’s TREASON committed by those in washdc and nothing has been done about it.
end result, it’ll get us all killed
bump
“Conflict Limitations; Theorists suggest neither side would strike the other’s mainland, even with conventional weapons
The war might be limited to maritime, aerial, and amphibious assaults around Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific”
Show us a single time in human history that someone has refused to strike anyone at home, and one of the parties accepted complete defeat in a “Total War”, when they had a weapon ready and on tap that could stop that defeat.
Childish analysis.
It’s DC spoiling for war, contractors are pushing for a flood of new weapons etc. There is money to be made!
The lie of this whole “China is pushing for war” drumbeat is exposed by the way DC, big money and our CEOs are acting.
They love China and resist any effort to have them cut off their China money tit.
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