Posted on 11/03/2024 8:10:36 AM PST by cgbg
Republicans are up 11 points in Florida early voting. Nearly eight million votes cast so far. Trump won Florida by 3 in 2020. If he wins Florida by double digits — and I think he will — he’s winning the White House. But get out and vote! Trump will need one of PA, WI or MI. pic.twitter.com/TUXKxvPOqB— Clay Travis (@ClayTravis) November 3, 2024
I am convinced that huge Trump coat-tails are going to create three U.S. Senate “upsets” at a minimum:
—Ohio
—Arizona
—Nevada
He'll easily get over 1,000,000 this time.
We’re on the same page. Keeping up the drumbeat, in a time when the DNC gaslighting going on for decades has been seen for what it is, the great middle is getting woke — just not in the stupid foolish leftwing sense.
Cgbg, thank you for all of the work you put into this and the thoughtful analysis. Experts like you are one of the reasons FR is such an awesome and informative site.
“They are just the party registration of folks who voted early by mail or in person.”CORRECT! MANY Democrats voted for TRUMP!
I’m pretty sure that, net, cross party voting will favor Trump. I’m unsure how many cross party votes will have happened EARLY, tho . . .IMHO the real deal is LOW TURNOUT of low-propensity voters, who can’t be bothered to vote for a lackluster candidate of their (normally) preferred party.
I’m hoping for improved voting of black men for Trump - but especially I’m hoping for low black turnout, each two votes not cast for Harris counting, in effect, as one vote for Trump.
Thanks—just following the data where it leads.
Glad to see some other Freepers are digging into the early voting numbers as well.
There is a lot of information to be found there—I have just scratched the surface.
North Carolina Early Voting Final Update - 11.03
The state wrapped up its 17-day early voting period, and the current tally of 4.44 million votes represents roughly 80% of the expected electorate.
🟡Others - 1,524,456
🔴Republicans - 1,478,746
🔵Democrats - 1,437,281
Others… pic.twitter.com/jGn8j7Gz9U— Michael Pruser (@MichaelPruser) November 3, 2024
No improvement for the RATs in the NC final numbers.
They need to pray their voters show up and Republicans stay home on Tuesday.
Could happen I suppose, but there is zero data suggesting that it will.
Oregon? They vote 100% by mail. How do they call any ballots early?
Thats answers it
If the Democrats were going to win NC, they'll have to overperform the early voting count.
Since that did not happen, they'll have to dominate on Election Day.
Based on historical data and trends, I would estimate that Harris has a 10% chance of winning NC on Tuesday.
In Oregon you are correct—all ballots are mail ballots.
I suppose they are “early” if they are received before election day.
In this case the data reflects ballots received as of the day the data is posted.
Frankly Flavious, I like Bannon's advice better. It's like owning a gun. It's better to have one and not need it than the other way around. The consequences of under voting would be catastrophic this election. /no harm in over-voting. It just helps secure the mandate to drain the swamp.
And just as soon as the democrats figure out who didn’t vote, their ballots will be cast for them anyways, whether they know it or not.
New Arizona Early Voting Numbers show Republicans lead Democrats by 187,955.
🔴GOP: 924,524
🔵DEM: 736,569
🟡OTHER: 597,384
Find out when and where you can Vote in your state:
https://t.co/Z0ZTl4mpuL pic.twitter.com/FEt7XDJSKF— America (@america) November 3, 2024
Thr pew research isnt necessarily good. It could mean that her vote is in but she’s doing much better with Republicans and Independents. This is why shes running around with slimey never Trump RINOS.
They don’t need early turnout, or even turnout at all. Just one semi-trailer load of “found” ballots will do it all.
Thank you for posting all of this info cgbg. It makes it very easy to digest and it’s also pretty comforting. I know it’s not over until it’s over but the numbers look good.
Since that did not happen, they'll have to dominate on Election Day.
Or election night around 3:00 AM
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