Posted on 10/15/2023 7:37:34 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Amen
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1713599281716720111
46.635005 32.722753
Location on Google Maps:
Just warms the heart.
“Krasnohorivka north of Avdiivka is becoming a graveyard. The fields are littered with Russian corpses. Footage from the 110th Mechanized Brigade.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1713597887332958717
“🔥BREAKING🔥
According to the report of Colonel-General Syrskyi, the Commander of the Ground Forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, soldiers of the 25th Separate Airborne Brigade shot down a Russian Mi-8 in Luhansk region”
https://twitter.com/GloOouD/status/1713638764055048564
“On October 13, 2023, Russia’s patrol ship Pavel Derzhavin was hit for the second time and moved several kilometers away”
“Besides it, the multipurpose tugboat Professor Nikolai Muru was damaged.
Source: Captain 3rd Rank Dmytro Pletenchuk, spokesman for the Ukrainian Navy, in an interview with Ukrainska Pravda”
Russia is stuck in the 19th Century.
Film Featuring Hitler, Stalin, Mussolini, And Churchill Meeting In Hell Barred In Russia
Didn’t see that coming.
Oh wait, I did.
“‘Informal’ House Speaker Talks Underway With GOP, Jeffries Says
Bipartisan legislation should come up for votes, Democrat says
Conservative Jim Jordan to pursue speakership quest this week”
“House Democrats are having informal talks with their Republican colleagues about a potential bipartisan solution to finding a speaker, Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries said Sunday.
In an interview on NBC’s Meet the Press, Jeffries said that Democrats are “ready, willing and able” to find a solution.
“There are informal conversations that have been underway,” he said. “When we get back to Washington tomorrow, it’s important to begin to formalize those conversations.””
Count me skeptical.
“Jim Jordan’s Backers for House Speaker Say This Time Is Different
Allies say support from grassroots conservatives will help him win, but dozens of GOP holdouts present a tough hurdle”
“Some Republicans say strong support from grassroots conservatives will help new House speaker nominee Jim Jordan (R., Ohio) win over dozens of GOP critics and take the gavel this week. But opponents are standing firm, Democrats are angling for a role and the math remains unforgiving, setting the stage for another unpredictable floor vote.
Pressure is mounting on Republican lawmakers to resolve their internal fighting nearly two weeks after Kevin McCarthy (R., Calif.) was ousted in a historic vote. The White House is poised to ask Congress for an emergency national security aid package that could fund Ukraine, Taiwan, Israel and U.S. border security through next year’s presidential election. The Senate returns Monday from a weeklong recess, but without a functioning House, no legislation can pass in Congress and make it to President Biden’s desk. “
Looks like a win for Ukraine.
“Poland’s ruling Law and Justice Party fell short of the seats needed to form a government on Sunday, an exit poll showed, putting the opposition on track for a majority coalition after a divisive election watched closely by the U.S. and Ukraine.
The results potentially close a chapter of rule by PiS, as the party is known in Polish. It steered the country through the turmoil caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but the opposition has said its leadership was marked by a steady rolling back of democratic freedoms and the rule of law. Without any one party with an absolute majority, the results portend a period of horse trading as parties decide among themselves the makeup of what would be a ruling coalition.”
...
“Tusk, who ran primarily on strengthening Poland’s long-troubled ties with the European Union, has called Ukraine an important partner for Warsaw. He has promised to stabilize ties and maintain aid to Ukraine. Analysts said new blood in the government could even inject new life into Polish-Ukrainian relations after weeks of tensions over the economic cost of supporting Ukraine’s war effort.”
“Turner: If GOP can’t elect Speaker then ‘deal will have to be done’ with Democrats”
The House will pass Ukrainian aid with an R as Speaker or House will pass Ukrainian aid otherwise.
The will of the majority in the House shall be done. With or without Jordan, Gaetz.
Most Russian Warships (not the very largest) as well as their Kilo Class submarines, can move between the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea, by travelling the Don and Volga Rivers, which are joined by a canal (when the canal is not frozen).
“Russia has added two additional missile-launching vessels to its Black Sea Fleet, military authorities in southern Ukraine reported on Telegram.
Two new Russian naval frigates are already present and on active combat duty in the Black Sea, along with a submarine.
These vessels could launch a volley of up to 20 Kalibr cruise missiles, the report estimates.”
I think Duda’s and Morawiecki’s row with Ukraine over grain and “not saying thanks enough”, and announcing there would be no additional aid, was a huge mistake. They tried to walk it back and made a deal on the grain issue, but damage was done. Poles hate Russia, and Russia has been directly threatening Poland. It’s really too bad, as they were both hugely supportive of Ukraine up to that point.
IMO, it was a political calculation. Having seen the “farmers uprising” in Netherlands bring a big political win, they thought this would help them. I don’t know if it alone cost them the election, but it was a mistake. I think they realized it, and were playing damage control after the faux pas.
Ruble death watch update:
After August’s big rise in Russian interest rates (now 13%, up from 7.5%) the value of the Russian ruble stabilized for a while (about a month), but then started falling again, along roughly the same slope it had been on for a year.
The ruble again fell to less than a penny in value (100 to the dollar). That seems to be a psychological barrier that Putin does not want to cross, with his re-election approaching in March.
On October 11th, Putin signed a decree, instituting capital controls, that require big exporting companies to convert about 75% of their foreign currency earnings into rubles. This has brought the ruble exchange rate back below 100 to the dollar this week (running around 97).
The head of the Russian Central Bank had been against using such capital controls until very recently, arguing that the effect on the currency is temporary (until businesses reroute earnings through new pathways around the controls), but that they place restrictions on real economic activity - another short term effect at longer term cost.
The decline of the ruble over the last 12 months (about 60%) likely reflects the weakening of the real civilian economy. The measures taken to mask this decline by propping up the ruble (raising interest rates and instituting capital controls) both worsen the actual economic fundamentals, while only temporarily strengthening the currency.
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