Posted on 05/01/2023 8:04:01 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Offensive coming soon...
“Explosions reported in occupied Kakhovka. The amount of strikes the last 24-48 hours have substantially increased on Russian targets.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1653090015285477378
Tokmak. HIMARS.
Explosions near Melitopol.
Softening them up. Weather: mostly cloudy, some sun and dry until showers on the 13th, temps in 60s during the day, winds 8-10 mph
Putin just can’t stop losing:
@nexta_tv
Finland and the United States have begun discussing a bilateral defense agreement that would allow the Pentagon to use Finnish military bases and deploy weapons in the country.
The document will also allow the United States to build new infrastructure facilities in Finland. Nuclear weapons are not covered by the agreement.
Such an agreement would “strengthen Finland’s deterrence and defense capabilities” through the presence of the United States and the possible deployment of defense assets, Finnish Foreign Ministry spokesman Mikael Antell said.
Prigozhin said offensive before the 15th, weather looks good.
Ukraine tightening up info being released by friendly info spaces on Telegram and Twitter right now. Very noticeable for the past few days. Especially last night. Very tight leash now.
@visegrad24 2h
A vote has been held in the UN General Assembly on a resolution calling Russia an “aggressor” after its invasions of Ukraine and Georgia.
122 states voted in favour, including China & Armenia (and Brazil and India).
18 abstained, including Iran & South Africa.
5 voted against.
How’s BRICS doing?
South Africa abstained from the UN vote designating Russia as an aggressor (against the Ukraine and Georgia), but:
@visegrad24 9h
“The Sunday Times writes that the South African government has asked Putin to stay away from the upcoming BRICS summit in South Africa.
The country will otherwise have to arrest him in accordance with the arrest warrant issued by the International Criminal Court in The Hague.”
How BRICS doing?
“Based on intelligence info, Russia has suffered more than 100,000 casualties in Bakhmut in last few months—80,000 wounded and 20,000 killed since December, NSC spokesman John Kirby says. Prigozhin’s claim Wagner Group’s had only 94 killed in action “is just a ludicrous claim.””
https://twitter.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1653093775944699905
@KlausRmer5 Apr 28
Germany to deliver eight more PzH2000 to Ukraine.
These are taken from Bundeswehr stocks and are urgently needed in Ukraine due to the heavy use of the PzH2000 in Ukrainian service.
(Posted to yesterday’s thread by mistake)
@NOELreports 4h
An explosion was reported in occupied Sevastopol bay again. Reportedly naval drones...
It is reported that Russian government planes are now actively flying between occupied Crimea and Russia, on which they take out valuables as well as their families.
If accurate, then Russia could be pushing 300,000 total casualties.
Have you got a good supply of popcorn?
I’m nervous as hell, that’s for sure. In the South, I think Russia is prepared to respond to the opening stages of a massed counteroffensive with Su-25 air attacks on the Ukrainian advance lines of infantry and fighting vehicles as well as hitting them with drones. I think Russia knows that’s their biggest advantage and will take advantage of it. I hope Ukraine is prepared for it.
I agree a successful counterattack might cause powerful people to figure out a “way” to end the war, therefore Putin and military leadership are facing a potential crisis. I figure they will throw everything they can the up
Side if prepared could see scores of fixed and rotary winged aircraft along with pilots lost something even the Russians can’t afford to lose
Oryx now showing 1925 tanks
I think many people set the bar far, far too high. This guy is clearly pro-Ukraine, and sets up what he thinks “success” looks like in the upcoming offensive.
https://twitter.com/WarintheFuture/status/1652545700562112517
This reads like an extreme best case outcome. If you set expectations high enough, failure is virtually guaranteed. Obviously, if Ukraine’s offensive goes like Russia’s winter offensive, it would be a huge failure. But they don’t need to be “postured to retake Crimea at the end of the offensive” to call it a success.
Your link doesn’t work.
Russia is ready for the counteroffensives in the south. They’re probably not ready for any counteroffensives in the east.
So any talk of “Melitopol in 3 days” by Ukraine supporters is nuts.
Russia wants to show as much burning and exploding NATO equipment in the south in the first couple of days of the counterattack so the Putinistas can spin it as a failed counteroffensive as soon as possible.
Good news is that Tucker Carlson is off the air and won’t be able to be used as a platform for the Putinists. Big comms win in advance of the counteroffensive.
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