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Posted on 08/30/2022 7:26:24 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Very much worth watching. If the Ukrainians score a decisive victory and disrupt the pontoon bridges and the escape craft, it may very well end the war.
Where is the headlined “attack on Europe”?
“This is a planned slow operation to grind the enemy, saving the lives of our military and civilians,” Oleksiy Arestovych, a Ukrainian presidential adviser, wrote on Telegram early Tuesday. “Of course, many would like a large-scale offensive with news about our military’s capture of one settlement an hour. But we don’t fight like that. And our means are limited.”
“But reports from Russian military bloggers suggested that Ukraine made breakthroughs to the northeast of Kherson, the regional capital, after bombarding the towns of Beryslav and Nova Kakhovka.
The bloggers said Ukrainian forces had broken through Russian lines, taking control of the village of Sukhiy Stavok. They said Russia repulsed assaults elsewhere, but fierce fighting was continuing for villages along the Inhulets river as Ukraine sought to expand a bridgehead on its eastern bank.”
Really not familiar with Ukrainian military thinking or their real capabilities. However if an American General had a hard pressed enemy force with very limited supply capabilities, its back against a natural barrier with only a very limited means of withdrawal, that general would muster whatever force he could , seize the unique opportunity and attack.
If you really believe a Ukrainian counteroffensive that could take back Kherson, you are living in an alternate universe. And, it's pretty scary that anyone could be so deceived.
More likely, you know all this is a lie and you're willfully spreading propaganda from the Biden regime and neocons that is on level of absurdity as the Trump Russian collusion allegations, the J6 insurrection narrative and the justifications for Mar-a-Lago raid.
🤔🤔🤔
“According to the RuZZian Ministry of Defense”
You are one crazy RuZZian.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, August 29, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••denotes transcribed dialogue.
———————————————————————————————————————
Extra:
Ukraine Situation Report: Officials Say Russian Lines Breached By Southern Offensive
After weeks of pounding their escape routes across the Dnipro, Ukrainian forces appear to be aiming to trap Russians north of the river.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/Ukraine-situation-report-officials-say-Russian-lines-breached-by-southern-offensive
———————————————————————————————————————
Summary:
Major Ukrainian offensive on Kherson bridgehead.
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead: no changes
- North Donbass area: no changes
- Donetsk West: no changes.
- Kherson bridgehead:
Ukrainian troops attacked in three main areas:
1) along highway Mykolayiv-Kherson (distraction attack);
2) south of Davydiv Brid along the Inhulets river: village Andriyivka (main direction of attack);
3) north: villages Vysokopillya - Myrolyubivka - Lyubymivka (distraction attack).
Russian command is trying to destroy Ukrainian attack with the help of attack helicopters (Ka-52) and ground attack planes (Su-25).
1. Kharkiv: No changes.
••North: some increase in artillery fire by both sides.
2. Izyum bridgehead: No changes.
3. North Donbass: No changes.
4. West of Donetsk: No changes.
••Attacks continue; Wagner takes half of Kadema
5. Vugledar - Velyka Novosilka, Gulyapole: No changes.
6. Kherson bridgehead:
••Ukrainian troops attacked in three different locations actually, could be even called four, so they were distraction attack which is aimed straight at Kherson - or maybe it was just at them - we assume it’s a distraction. That could be a major attack as well, but this was not successful; it got stalled right away, didn’t go anywhere.
Then there was attack here north of Sniharika, in the juncture between the two rivers. This is where Ukrainian troops managed to actually break Russian defenses, and the reason for that is they attacked from unexpected direction; they did not really attack from the bridgehead, they crossed the river a little bit south of that bridgehead which, apparently, wasn’t heavily defended by Russian troops.
Then they attacked in the eastern directions, a little bit south. They they crossed the river, a little bit south of a village, and the troops split into two halves: one tried to encircle Russian troops in a village, and the larger group went and attacked Sukhista, which they captured. Then they moved towards Bruskinski. It doesn’t look like they captured it; they were repelled there. It is unclear if they were more repelled by artillery shelling and attack helicopters because we don’t think that Russian forces have much infantry to quickly react in this area.
This group of Ukrainian troops that were attempting to encircle Russian troops were repelled here.
They probably started building defensive positions somewhere here. We’ll find out in the coming days all of the details. This is situation is the most successful out of all of the attacks that were done by Ukrainian troops.
There was also an attack at Mala Alexandrevka where Ukrainian troops also managed to cross the river started fight there, but Russian troops here were stronger and essentially destroyed the tiny Ukrainian bridgehead Mala Alexandrevka. Ukrainian troops had to withdraw. Then it looks like the initial goal was to create two pincers, the the one from coming from Mala Alexandrevka going south, and the one from the south going north which was successful, apparently meeting somewhere Bruskinski or Ishinka, encircling the Russian troops that are here around the Davydiv Brid.
The situation overall is very fluid. The fight is not over by any means, and the Russian troops are pulling attack helicopters from Crimea. They’re throwing everything they can at this point. Apparently the situation is for Russian side is not comfortable. This attack may not lead to anywhere, but it was on the way.
If it’s not successful, it was on the edge of being successful. We’ll find out more details about what’s going, the situation is very fluid: Russian sources report that Ukrainian command is bringing more reinforcements with the idea of enlarging this whole bridgehead, essentially creating this starting essentially this is the probably immediate target immediate goal of this attack.
The idea was done in May or early June; the idea is to actually attack here towards Bereslav Novakova. A move here is to cut off two Russian brigades (126th & 205th). There is more there, but that’s what we know at least for sure.
The idea is to split this whole bridgehead into three pieces, a northern piece, the central section, and the southern section which a lot makes a lot of sense. You want to split your enemy into many smaller pieces and then like chew it one by one, slowly and not limiting lots of your resources - it remains to be seen where this attack goes.
There was a third area where Ukrainian troops attacked; it was straight from the north - a distraction attack because for the some of the attacks were straight like driving south.
The only part where it was successful or semi-successful - we still don’t know is this attacking in the direction of southwest where Ukrainian troops blocked some Russian troops in this village around around the Cicapeta.
The distraction attacks were not successful. Where it was successful is Ukrainian troops advanced, creating a tactical pocket, sort of situation where the area is controlled by the fire by Ukrainian troops. Russian troops are not technically in the pocket, but at the same time they cannot get reinforcements; they cannot get resupplied so they need to destroy the Ukrainian forces here or withdraw. But that’s a situation where it can go either way; it’s like 50-50, and remains to be seen seen seen where it all goes.
Some Russian resources are reporting tonight that Russian troops were withdrawing in some areas; we don’t know this is true or not - could be totally false information. But it remains to be seen what’s happening here. It’s possible that Russian troops decided to withdraw from the area to move their defense east from Balik. In any case this is not major area of attack; this is more to keep the Russian resources tied up so they cannot go and help in the area of the main attack.
To sum up, it was a three pronged attack: one is straight towards Kherson, then the middle near the south of Davydiv Brid and we believe this was a major attack, and then in the north, in our opinion, this is distraction attack just to keep Russian reserves here tied up, so Russian command cannot bring reserves to this area in in the center. Before the attack and during the attack Ukrainian command was actively attacking all of the bridges.
Russian resources report that bridge here is longer usable near the dam but we explained is a dam and then it is bypass channel and so the bridge is over that bypass channel is not possible to troops right now.
Antonisky Bridge is also out of action. The railroad bridge is apparently also out of action. This one near the ariva also the bridge across the river Konka which is another branch of the Dienpr River also seems like it’s been damaged, not totally. Then Ukrainian troops destroyed Russian ferry or pontoon bridge near a village there.
Actually it’s a little bit closer to this village Tahinka that we see here but on the villages I think it’s called something like that but in any case Ukrainian command is actively focused on preventing Russian troops from being resupplied in any fashion and they they really keeping this area kind of like tight and under control.
So it remains to be seen how it’s all going to play out. Technically everything kind of goes right in terms of blocking this resupply here on on the across the Dnipro River. This attack doesn’t seem to be going perfectly: the northern pincer was destroyed in Mala Alexandrevka; so where it goes remains to be seen.
In any case the situation for the Russian troops is the most dangerous we have seen it’s not totally dangerous but it’s this is the most dangerous situation Ukrainian army was able to create since the beginning of the war for the Russian troops in general so whether it will be able to close this sort of deal and execute it that’s another question.
We have some doubts, but the moves were sort of correct. At the same time Russian troops actually were attacking Pervomais’ke today so it’s kind of like meeting engagement in many ways.
Russian troops attacked from Blackhadna area they attacked Pervomiskaya Kiselivka and Bilazirika they were apparently stopped here; at the same time we don’t know full details of what’s going on here. If the attack is successful at Pervomais’ke, it becomes moot point.
You’re putting yourself into worse condition by actually trying to move more towards west. Even if this attack is not successful here near Davydiv Brid, as long as the resupply is cut off, which seems that Ukrainian command managed to pretty much do that, and if they keep it shut, then the time will just take care of the Russian troops.
From what we understand there is heavy Russian support in terms of air support and attack helicopter support is being brought here to stem Ukrainian advances. The reliance right now is on air as opposed to bringing more infantry, as we understand Russian troops cannot do that. There’s the situation on the Kherson Bridgehead. It’s can go either way, and we will see what happens in the next coming days
Its posted between “TSA is Allowing Illegal Immigrants ...” and “The Show No One Wanted ...”
I hear they also took out the Lockmart factory that makes HIMARS!
You don’t know where Europe is?
"attack helicopter support"?
If the Ukies planned well at all, they ought to be able to thoroughly chop up that chopper support. That leaves fighter planes screaming in fast at low level, unless they want to join the choppers burning on the ground. But, typically, high speed attacks at virtually treetop level (if the vid I saw yesterday is any indication) are not that effective against mobile targets.
If the Russians really are having to call in heavy air support and can't defend with their considerable ground resources alone, they may have a problem.
Ukraine reports hitting the bridges over the Dniper River again yesterday, “to confirm their inoperable status.”
Pontoon bridge reported struck.
Head of the Russian occupation Admin in Kherson shot dead in the street yesterday
It would appear that the Russian troops, poorly supplied with no reliable escape routes on the Kherson bridgehead are a sizable prize for the Ukrainian military if they are capable. Also Russian aviation will be very vulnerable trying to support those hard pressed troops. IMHO this s a unique opportunity for the Ukrainians to deliver such a hard blow to the Russians that will have huge political implications and just might end this war. Imagine photos of hundreds or even thousands of Russian POWs and the effect on the Russian military and politicians. In your opinion are the Ukrainians capable of seizing this unique opportunity and winning a crucial battle?
If the Ukies can keep making precision hits on those bridges, in the same spots, that:
A) Confirms they still have some precision weapons from the US left in the area;
B) Eventually fatigue from the hits and any traffic the Russians try to run over patched sections should result in steel failure and a section dropping. Dang hard & expensive way to take down a bridge though — the Ukies badly need some heavier armaments.
One analyst speculates (https://twitter.com/LanguageIearner/status/1564440944782573570?cxt=HHwWhIC8nYSwgbYrAAAA), that it is not a coincidence that this offensive and the bridge cuts coincide with Russian unit rotations - when new and old units are both on the wrong side of the River, conducting their handover.
Not only more to catch, but more to burn through their supplies quicker.
“It is very “hot” in New Kakhovka. Warehouse BC Rusni is on fire.”
https://mobile.twitter.com/antiputler_news/status/1564697789572849664
@TrentTelenko
https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1564716691598331906
“HIMARS, RuAF Logistics & UAF fire support🧵
The two biggest logistical items for a mech force by tonnage are artillery ammo & fuel. The mix depends on the operation. Moving needs fuel. Static operations require more shells.
Ukraine has reduced Russian Army Kherson supplies
1/”
“...to ~20% for 2 weeks by bridge attacks.
Russian tanks & AFV’s don’t have an auxiliary power unit - a small fuel efficient engine-generator - to run for recharging their batteries.
This means Russians have to run their engines a few times a day to recharge the batteries.
2/”
“Any tank or armored fighting vehicle is filled with multiple radios & electronics for the night vision sensors, gun/missile aiming systems and fire control computer.
All of these taken together pull a lot of power and will drain the vehicle’s batteries quickly.
3/”
“The reality of that APU deficiency is Russian tanks & AFV are time limited as far as needing fuel to retain tactical mobility.
Two weeks without most of the normal fuel resupply means the heavily mechanized Russian forces on the west Dnieper river bank in Kherson Oblast are
4/”
“... low tactical mobility compared to the attacking Ukrainian forces.
Those Russian heavy mechanized forces also lack any sort of retreat route for their vehicles across the Dnieper if there is deep Ukrainian breakthrough.
5/”
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