Posted on 05/27/2020 9:57:08 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
The Case Fatality Ratio on the CDC website on the “Planning Scenarios” page is contradicted by
the article which the CDC cites as the basis for the “scenarios”.
The CDC scenarios cite only one source for the mortality rate - see the very bottom of the page at the
CDC website.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html
Here is a link to the source which is referenced
Epidemiological Characteristics of COVID-19: A Systemic Review and Meta-Analysis. medRxiv.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.01.20050138v1.full.pdf
And this source says the mortality rate is 2%
Line 45 of the source-
“Pooled probability of COVID-19-related death was 0.02 (95% 45CI: 0.02, 0.03). “
Thus, the only source for the “scenarios”, which is based on a summary of dozens of articles,
one of which summarizes the data on more than 58,000 Covid cases, states that
the mortality rate is 2%. I would like to contact someone who can explain this discrepancy.
It is incomprehensible that the CDC thinsk the fatality rate is .4% when they only provide one source for that estimate, and that source says it is 5 times higher than .4%
But, I guess their nonsense statistic of .4% is “good enough for government work”
and, while the lockdowns could happen instantly, ending them requires months of meaningless, incremental steps! really?
Heck with masks...use real power by wearing a scarab amulet and magic juju beads. Tell Karen you are protected from the virus and her social shaming by the god Ra.
And all of those numbers ASSUME that every single report of Covid-19 as the cause of death is accurate.
We of course know that many deaths coded as Covid-19 were NOT really Covid-19 deaths.
I’ll be fair and say that we don’t know how many Covid-19 deaths were NOT counted.
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