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Another hurricane fizzles.
Vanity

Posted on 10/02/2018 10:30:24 AM PDT by pfflier

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To: Mouton

For me, the only one that ever mattered.

Hurricane Katrina.


21 posted on 10/02/2018 11:14:19 AM PDT by chris37
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To: pfflier

When I checked yesterday we had taken on 0.7mm of the wet stuff on the east side of Tucson. Heck, I don’t think the wid got over 20mph for more than a gust or two.


22 posted on 10/02/2018 11:17:41 AM PDT by Tucsonican
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To: Dutch Boy
If global warming causes more frequent and stronger hurricanes and there are fewer and weaker hurricanes, why doesn’t the left compare that they say against reality...

Ahh the conflict between reality and dogma. It looks like dogma always wins.

23 posted on 10/02/2018 11:27:56 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: TangledUpInBlue
Or maybe they just suck at it

I think they would benefit immensely by looking outside every once in awhile and throw away their vaunted computer models.

24 posted on 10/02/2018 11:33:30 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: pfflier

I am out in the Tonto forest north of Carefree, I got about 3 inches. It is still raining. So the forecast of 3 to 6 inches is essentially accurate. I agree there isn’t global warming or man made climate change, the current solar minimum is most impactful on warming and cooling. If I had to guess we will have a short but intense cooling period like the Dalton minimum.


25 posted on 10/02/2018 11:40:19 AM PDT by reluctantwarrior (Strength and Honor, just call me Buzz.kill for short......)
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To: pfflier
Well, to be fair, many areas of Arizona did verify with heavy rain and flooding. Many of the models a few days ago did target heavy rainfall further west but the approaching trough along the west coast pushed the hurricane remnants further east. All of these small details were not be picked up in the models until a day or even a few hours prior to the event. All in all, the NWS did a great job! NWS Phoenix ‏Verified account @NWSPhoenix We are only 2 days into October and Sky Harbor is already sitting at the 8th wettest October on record with 2.08" of rain so far. #azwx 1) 1972: 4.40" 2) 2000: 3.17" 3) 1957: 2.66" 4) 1988: 2.38" 5) 1914: 2.30" 6) 1911: 2.16" 7) 1974: 2.12"
26 posted on 10/02/2018 11:43:45 AM PDT by halo66
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To: halo66
My intent was never to denigrate the NWS. It is the surrounding media looking for something horrible to happen that is frustrating to watch.

One factoid you cited highlights this:

We are only 2 days into October and Sky Harbor is already sitting at the 8th wettest October on record with 2.08" of rain so far. #azwx 1) 1972: 4.40" 2) 2000: 3.17" 3) 1957: 2.66" 4) 1988: 2.38" 5) 1914: 2.30" 6) 1911: 2.16" 7) 1974: 2.12"

A one time event is already being used to define/distort historical perspective.

27 posted on 10/02/2018 11:55:37 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: pfflier

I agree with you regarding the media...they definitely are despicable!


28 posted on 10/02/2018 12:01:05 PM PDT by halo66
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To: halo66
In the early 70's, while I was a student in the engineering dept at the University of Oklahoma, I had opportunities to work with the NWS on tornado research.

They have gotten so good at it in the midwest, that they can tell you at 7 AM when the thunderstorms will roll through your area in the afternoon and whether they will be severe.

The weather channel has taken their(our) efforts and converted them to pure commercialism. I can't stand watching the BS shows on tornado chasers now. Its all about selling commercials not science as they pretend it is. My wife is still recovering from my outburst at the chaser couple that had to be married in front of a tornado. That brought out words that I learned while living in the barracks.

29 posted on 10/02/2018 1:39:24 PM PDT by pfflier
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To: pfflier

Great post! It’s funny that you bring up storm chasing, I’ve chased tornadoes since 1987 and completely agree with you regarding the commercialism of TWC and the storm chaser shows. I am very familiar with the chaser couple that were married in front of a tornado!

Did your engineering classes study the damage produced by tornadoes to determine the F-scale of tornadoes?


30 posted on 10/02/2018 3:01:29 PM PDT by halo66
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To: halo66
Did your engineering classes study the damage produced by tornadoes to determine the F-scale of tornadoes?

I don't remember doing quantification or lab work in that area although my Statics and Dynamics professor liked using storm forces as load examples.

In 1971 the department of meteorology was part of the school of engineering at OU. The NWS office was at Will Rogers airport. We worked with them as volunteer spotters to track storms and to take pictures of the various stages of storm development. A good set would earn about $10 enough for gas and food for the day.

We did most of our tracking between Norman and SW Oklahoma. There was no shortage of storms during my two years doing that and it coincided nicely with spring break.

My interest in all this started from my dad's stories about flying in P-61s through thunderstorms during the Thunderstorm Project near Dayton Ohio. He was a flying weather observer.

31 posted on 10/02/2018 4:07:26 PM PDT by pfflier
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