Pennsylvania poll up almost 2% for Trump (Trafalgar Group)

Trafalgar Group ^ | 11/3/2016 | Trafalgar Group

[MMaschin]

I really don't see Trump receiving 28.06% of the black vote.

In some places, why not? Keep in mind that black turnout probably won't be what it was for Obama.

I'm wondering if those hillary events with JayZ/Beyoncé and LeBron might hurt her. Do blacks who are stuck in challenged neighborhoods really want to hear billionaire superstars taking time to tell them to stay on the plantation?

I honestly have no clue how this is going to turn out. There are just so many varying factors across the nation which will motivate people to vote the way they do.

I think it's possible. There will be a lot more blacks voting Republican this time around. Combine that with the fact that disaffected Blacks, who would support the Democrat, will not be voting. That will have an amplifying effect.

I think it will only get that high if there are a whole lot of disaffected Blacks - but it's possible. So while it might be mid-twenty's voting for Trump, the numbers might be high-teen's had the entire African American community been engaged. But that is still good!

[GilGil]

Fraud is a non starter, I wish people would stop worrying about fraud in PA...there is FRAUD every election in PA.. and guess what, Hillary with all the fraud the Dems can muster won’t be able to put up numbers anywhere near O 12 or Kerry 8 numbers... and that’s the minimal she needs to do to have any shot at PA... and she’s not going to be able to do it.

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It is as if those obsessed with fraud are looking for an excuse to fail.

I agree the fraud thing will not be a factor.

Trump is winning this in a blow out.