My Mid-Term Election Predictions: House:+67-73R | Senate:+8-11R

Flopping Aces ^ | 10-28-10 | Aye Chihuahua

[LS]

If you go by polls out today, Kirk (IL) and Rossi(WA) both win. I think Fiorina wins, too.

[MissesBush]

I agree with your assessment. Everyone is telling me I’m nuts thinking Fiorina wins. But I’m sticking with it.

[chimera]

It’s a long shot. Of those listed, IL and maybe WA are the best chances for a pickup or two. I think CT and CA are just too far gone. Those are very liberal states, and the voters just go with the ‘Rats no matter how bad they or things are. Some places are just that way. I’d love the voters in those states to prove me wrong, but I don’t think they will.

[Mountain Mary]

I agree with you, MissesBush.
I think Fiorina is going to win too.
The pollsters are underestimating the enthusiasm and determination of the American public, minus some drones who will hopefully stay home.

[fortheDeclaration]

Yes, that is true of all the Senate elections, which the pollsters are clinging to in the hope that the GOP doesn't win them as well.

They are going to gain the Senate as well as the House and it won't be close.

[Longbow1969]

In the “Who saw that one coming” category: Barney Frank will lose to Sean Bielat in a stunning upset in MA.

This would go a long way to restoring my faith in humanity.

Barbara Boxer being defeated would go the rest of the way.

[MissesBush]

I don’t think the NRSCC would have sunk $5 million in Fiorina’s race if they didn’t think she had a solid shot.

[Tuxedo]

Final Predictions: House +73 seats

Senate:

CT: Blumenthal 51-47

DE: Coons 51-48

CA: Fiorina 52-47

IL: Kirk 53-45

WV: Raese 52-47

WA: Rossi 50-48

CO: Buck 54-45

NV: Angle 55-44

FL: Rubio 42-31

WI: Johnson 57-42

KY: Paul 55-44

PA: Toomey 52-47

AK: Miller 45-39

[Don'tMessWithTexas]

In every election, one or two candidates gets bumped off that one does not expect. Patty Murray and Boxer have both been ahead but neither has cracked 50 percent. One would expect Murray to fall, but one does not expect Boxer. I feel like going out on a limb and saying that Boxer will lose to Fiorina by 51 to 49%.

[MissesBush]

So much depends upon who turns out on Tuesday. I think no one has a good method of accurately predicting that in a state as large as California. Unfortunately I think the Dems are whipped up a bit here because they don’t like Meg Whitman and also to vote for legal pot. We’ll see.

[Private_Sector_Does_It_Better]

Your house prediction is gutsy (and may very well be right!). But an 8-11 seat pick up in the Senate is not a prediction. Nearly eveyone is predicting a number in that range, that range covers winning and losing the battle for control of the Senate, “man up” and pick a number!! :)

[excopconservative]

I think CT and CA are just too far gone.

---

CA is not gone. Carly is polling within 3 points as of today. We can overcome that with turnout. There are Congressional districts in CA that will surprise you on Tuesday. I know several dems who are voting against Boxer. Boxer’s campaign has been only negative ads about Carly, nothing about her achievements as a senator, because she has none. If we turn out the Republican and Independent vote, Carly will win. We can also pass prop 23 to stop the draconian CA ecology law. It’s all in the turnout.

[Mountain Mary]

Tell me you are right, fortheDeclaration!
I love you!

[Mountain Mary]

I love you too, Tuxedo!

[kara37]

I agree, I think she wins too. If the house does gain 67+ seats, I think we have to win the Senate.

[GlockThe Vote]

I like carly but fear the gov race is going to hurt her.

[Forty-Niner]

“I like carly but fear the gov race is going to hurt her.”

I’d like to think that Carly will help Romney clone Meg Whitman across the line....

[fortheDeclaration]

Yes, the pot vote is a problem, it will bring out the Boxer vote.

[fortheDeclaration]

Yes, based on what Tuxedo has, we will win at least 10 seats.

Human Events predicted that we would win the Senate as well.