Posted on 12/04/2005 2:53:18 PM PST by EternalVigilance
Weird. Now it's back the way it should be.
Okey-dokey...
Nevermind!
:-)
I'm telling you conservatives are playing with fire by splitting the vote in this district.
This district isn't provo utah. It is conservative but not to the point where you can split the vote between two candidates.
People are giving Young no chance because of the primary results. Just remember that Paul Hackett in his primary got very few votes and nearly won the district. Dems didn't show up for the primary in ca-48 knowing that young was the only dem and figuring that campbell wouldn't get 50 percent.
Also remember Gilchrest ran much stronger in voting that day. He got 25 percent and campbell got 36 percent. That gap can narrow to where both get around 30 percent leaving Young the victor.
Rino Brewer's voters will all go to Young. She got 17 percent add that to Young's 9 percent throw in some dem money, dems showing up for the real election instead of the primary, and throw in the extra votes he will get because it wasn't a jewish holiday and he could win.
Young can easily get 40 percent. Gilchrest's ceiling is under 40 percent. Only way the socialist dem doesn't win is if Gilchrest stays around 20 percent and I don't see that happening since he got around 25 percent in on day voting during the primary.
Campbell is relying on heavy absentee turnout. The dems are going to show up for this election. They didn't show up for the primary but will show up for this one. Cunnigham doesn't help either.
This is a recipe for disaster the democrats of the 48th district could very well be thanking Jim Gilchrist for giving them Congressman Steve Socialist Young.
This doesn't make any sense you would think Bush would have won this district with 75 percent to be confident the vote split won't affect the vote. Bush got 58 percent in this district when the gop in california was much stronger. The gop ballot inititive and arnold's recent actions are pointing to Gilchrest giving the election to Steven Young.
Watch Gilchrest say after he hands the election to Young to say it was better than Campbell winning. Gilchrest supported Peter Camajo in the governor's election remember. I wouldn't be surprised if he likes Young for his proposal to raise taxes on the rich.
Putting aside immigration, just why do you describe Campbell as a RINO? Heck, he is considerably more conservative than I am. :)
Your open borders bias is showing through, man.
You're on just about every immigration thread spouting nonsense these days.
Gilchrist outpolled all three Dems put together in the primary, and will far outpoll Young on Tuesday, as will Campbell.
You're just scaremongering.
Sorry, but that club just isn't effective anymore anyhow.
Conservatives are fed up with phony politicians feeding them a line of BS.
BTW, learn to spell.
Jim Gilchrist was and remains a McClintock supporter.
Looks like Campbell used them when it was convenient. Now spits 'em out. Shameless politician.
Come on, that doesn't take that much! ;-)
Dig very deep into Campbell's record and quotes of the past and it isn't hard to figure out that he is not nearly as conservative as his current rhetoric would imply.
McClintock endorses Campbell. McClintock cares most about fiscal issues, and on that Campbell is more reliable than the Buchananite populist. That is why Gilchrist will not do well next Tuesday. The 48th is the paradigmatic unpopulist CD.
Do my a flavor, and find just one issue other than immigration, where Campbell is not totally hard right. Cheers.
I was there that day: They were collecting signatures in Ontario.
The volunteers were ALL Gilchrist's, and Campbell showed up only to take pictures.
To him, it was nothing but a photo-op.
Abortion.
He has made it quite clear publically that he will do nothing to bring that particular holocaust to an end.
Wasn't that long ago he was running away consistently from the conservative label.
What a dope.
I am against open borders.
I would just rather have campbell than young.
Gilchrest is too much of a loose cannon too. He is not anti illegal immigration like Mike Pence and strong on all the other issues.
Can some one explain to me why Gilchrist wants to raise taxes and he supported Peter Camajo.
If this race were between Tom Tancredo and Campbell I would vote for Tancredo. Tancredo isn't a tax raiser peter camajo supporter. I don't trust Gilchrest at all.
Buchanan doesn't support the FairTax, notwithstanding the fact that he once upon a time wrote a few articles about it.
Jim Gilchrist does.
Good luck figuring out where Campbell stands. He and his hacks won't tell.
But, if he should win, he should fit in well with the big spenders and tax tinkerers we have now...
What was he supposed to do? California will have legalized abortion until the supernova. As jwalsh07 observed, abortion is a sacrament in California. A majority of registered GOP voters in the 48th are pro abortion. Inconvenient fetuses are inimical to their lifestyle. In the interests of full disclosure, I voted for Campbell knowing that he was a nebbish. And so it goes. Bad options lead to bad choices.
You're a lying troll, who continues to spell the founder of the Minuteman Project's name wrong, even after it's repeatedly pointed out to you.
Does Gilchrist still oppose the repeal of the estate tax? Newport Beach voters want to know. He is of course a protectionist, that is why he is AIP.
Considering that border security covers quite a bit, including terrorism, Campbell's flip-flop is enough.
Politics can be a bummer. I had to write Lieberman a letter praising his work on the WOT the same guy I wrote to on almost a daily basis many years ago castigating him for his atrocious flip flop on abortion. What's a guy to do?
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