Posted on 10/30/2024 6:11:31 AM PDT by cgbg
Q. What are the raw numbers of early voting by party? A. Democrat 423,291 30.1 % Republican 391,764 27.9 % None/Minor 589,217 42.0 %
Q. What tools can be use to analyze these numbers? A. Pew Research on who will vote when: https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4273604/posts
Q. What else is unique about Colorado that we need to know to do this analysis. A. Colorado was one of a few states that sent mail in ballots to every registered voter in the state. That increases the possibility of fraud since there will be a lot of ballots out there that will not have been sent in by election day or could be "ballot stuffed" with phony votes on election day.
I will continue this analysis with a separate post.
Also Colorado was in the lead in efforts to remove Trump from the ballot. I believe 16 states tried that.
Look at the number of mail in ballots. This is going to be a democrat win, Why do you have so many mail ins?
“..This is going to be a democrat win, Why do you have so many mail ins?...”
You basically answered your own question. LOL
The Colorado GOP are anti-Trump.
Lets run some numbers.
According to the Pew analysis linked above mail in votes will be expected to favor Harris by a margin of 39 to 17 (=70%) (assumes a wash in national popular vote for simplicity purposes of calculation).
Currently in Colorado Harris leads the mail in vote with 52% of voters who identify by party (30.1/(30.1 + 27.9)).
That means she has a shortfall of 18% x 1.4M = 252K of where she needs to be from early voting to win the state.
Dare I call this state for President Trump?
You decide.
early voting numbers just gives the cheaters a number they need to exceed to steal a win.
Mail in. Yep. We all know what that means.
I am discussing the presidential race—in state gerrymandering obviously is an issue for congressional races.
You are from Colorado.
Did you receive your mail in ballot?
Did you vote by mail or are you are going to vote in person?
If in person early or on election day?
What about folks in your circle?
Do the Pew numbers on who will vote when make sense given people you know (they say half of Trump voters will vote on election day)?
Those of the kinds of details I am hoping to discuss on this thread so we can drill down and figure out what is happening on the ground in Colorado.
One other comment.
Q. Why are you so interested in Colorado?
A. The Colorado polls show Kamala with a huge lead while these early voting numbers say she is in trouble in Colorado. This is the widest variation between polls and early voting actual numbers of any state I have looked at so I am trying to figure out what is going on here.
Colorado is a vote by mail state.
We'll see what corruption the SOS does with the election. Already having major issues in Mesa County - the county Tina Peters was seeking to protect in 2020 before the SOS threw her in prison.
A whole lot of people detest Harris and Walz. We'll see if it's enough. The independenta will decide it.
Breaking News:
SUPREME COURT LETS VIRGINIA PURGE VOTERS BEFORE ELECTION
I have been using these early vote numbers to make predictions on states but to call Colorado for President Trump (which is what these numbers are saying) I need more data.
If Democratic turnout is this awful then logically Democratic leaning Independents will have low turnout as well.
It looks like everybody is ignoring this state because they think it is in the bag for Kamala.
That could be a major blunder.
Correction: Supreme Court lets VA purge SELF IDENTIFIED NON-CITIZENS from roles.
“Correction: Supreme Court lets VA purge SELF IDENTIFIED NON-CITIZENS from roles.”
Yeah, but it’s CBS so they have to get their narrative in the headline. Leftists don’t read much past those.
Btw—unless somebody can save me from myself with data I am going to have to make a crazy call for Colorado:
Trump +6
Every time I visit this site, all the screens show me “no data”
You have to let it load for a little while—then the numbers should show.
These are great #s for Republicans. While I doubt Colorado is within reach, that state is not in a vacuum. If Rs are overperforming in Colorado, they are likely overperforming in Arizona, etc.
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