Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

ORYX ^ | Since February 24, 2022 and daily | ORYX

[PIF]

See # 40 - possible rumor, maybe not.

[FtrPilot]

Seems plausible to me.

It would also reflect an immediate need for Aim-120Ds and Aim-9Ms. The F-16s being provided, most likely are not Aim-9X capable.

Training would have started earlier than originally stated. This could have caused a pilot shortage that Ukraine did not want ruzzia to know about.

Training could be tailored to specific mission capabilities.

For example, a pilot trained in intercepts using Aim-120s and Aim-9Ms could safely fly the anti-missile defense missions and never fly near the contested airspace. This training could easily be accomplished in 2 months or less, depending on the English skills of the pilot.

At the same time, over the past few days, about a dozen experienced pilots have died under mysterious circumstances in Ukraine.

To me, this does not seem plausible and has not been reported anywhere else.

[BeauBo]

“In some ways, war has the same effect on men. ”

Ouch.

That is one of the things I most resent about Putin - putting so many people through this.

[PIF]

He’s referring to the crash that killed “Juice” and 2 other pilots, plus the 6 who were killed when the 2 Mi-8s collided fleeing an SU-30. That’s 9, so not unreasonable to imagine 1-3 more died somewhere along the front or just some Russian misinformation the poster read.

[BeauBo]

“over the past few days, about a dozen experienced pilots have died under mysterious circumstances in Ukraine”

It is unclear to me, but the Russian source PIF was quoting, may have been referring to Russian pilots dying recently - as if Russia was covering up a recent surge of losses (perhaps away from the heavily observed front lines).

[BeauBo]

OK, I see how the reference was to recent Ukrainian training accidents.

Perhaps NATO is allowing Ukrainian pilots in training to fly into Ukraine for purely defensive missions, to shoot down cruise missiles. Interdiction rates seem high recently.

[FtrPilot]

PIF: "He’s referring to the crash that killed “Juice” and 2 other pilots, plus the 6 who were killed when the 2 Mi-8s collided fleeing an SU-30. That’s 9, so not unreasonable to imagine 1-3 more died somewhere along the front or just some Russian misinformation the poster read."

If that's what he is referring to, then OK. However, I would not consider them to be mysterious circumstances.

BeauBo: "Interdiction rates seem high recently."

F-16s with Aim-120Ds and Aim-9Ms are (or will be) a great addition to Ukraine's arsenal.

[PIF]

The Mi-8 collision was a combat mission, Juice was an F-16 training mission

[FtrPilot]

“In some ways, war has the same effect on men. ”

Agree 100%.

Troop morale and the "Will to Fight" are keys to success in combat.

For the UKR troops in the trenches, these attacks on ruzzian soil are certainly a huge morale boost. Especially when there are videos of ruzzian planes (and hardware) being destroyed.

[BeauBo]

This makes four ships that have made it out of Ukraine’s Black Sea ports, since Russia withdrew from the Grain Deal. The Grain Deal will be high on the agenda when Erdogan and Putin meet on Monday.

“On 1 September, Ukraine’s Minister of Infrastructure Oleksandr Kubrakov said that two ships previously blocked due to the military action in the area left Ukrainian ports in the direction of the Bosphorus, carrying pig-iron and iron ore concentrate.”

[BeauBo]

This may be an anti-corruption clean up:

Ukraine's Defence Minister to be removed from post soon Ukrainska Pravda Thu, August 31, 2023 (https://news.yahoo.com/ukraines-defence-minister-removed-post-050950403.html )

"The Verkhovna Rada (Ukrainian Legislature) is expected to consider the resignation of the current defence minister next week.

(Ukrainian MP Yaroslav) Zhelezniak said authorities are considering appointing Reznikov to the post of Ukraine's ambassador to the UK.

The most likely candidate to replace Reznikov is the current head of the State Property Fund, Rustem Umerov."

[SpeedyInTexas]

“2x Damaged 🇷🇺152MM 2А65 Msta-B howitzer somewhere in Luhansk region.”

https://twitter.com/lost_warinua/status/1698061389103849866

[SpeedyInTexas]

“A Russian TOS-1A thermobaric multiple rocket launcher with a cope cage was targeted by a FPV loitering munition of the Ukrainian 92nd Assault Brigade near Raihorodka, #Luhansk Oblast - leading to the ignition and detonation of the 220mm rockets.”

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1698077451736216005

[SpeedyInTexas]

Lucky he just got fired and didn’t fall out of a 1st floor window.

“Russia fires Valery Garbuzov, the head of the state Institute of American Studies, for this rare example of political sanity in Putin’s Russia: he laments the country sinking into “pseudo-patriotic madness” as it’s stricken by a “post-imperial syndrome.” “

https://twitter.com/yarotrof/status/1697941140463604022

[SpeedyInTexas]

‘Russia is a former empire, the heir to the Soviet superpower, experiencing an extremely painful syndrome of suddenly lost imperial greatness.’

“#Russian historian and political scientist, Doctor of Historical Sciences Valery Garbuzov was fired from his post as director of the Institute on the USA and Canada of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

Previously, he wrote a long article in which he described in detail the absurdity of state propaganda, condemned anti-Western rhetoric and indicated Russia’s real place in the world:

“Thus, today there are only two informal empires on the planet - the USA and China. Russia is a former empire, the heir to the Soviet superpower, experiencing an extremely painful syndrome of suddenly lost imperial greatness.

The fact that Russia today exhibits a pronounced post-imperial syndrome is more a tragic pattern than a historical anomaly. Its peculiarity is that it did not appear immediately after the collapse of the USSR in 1991, but made itself felt much later, with Putin coming to power. More than 30 years later, the delayed syndrome, the possible occurrence of which was not previously given much importance, has acquired a threatening character...””

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1697884870402290164

[SpeedyInTexas]

“Near Kovalivka, an abandoned Russian tank was destroyed. Work from the 68th Jaeger Brigade.”

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1698050186809868687

[FtrPilot]

Dolomitne, Donetsk Oblast, Ukrainian forces flatten a Russian supply dump with done-spotted fire.

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1697747277748576621

Excellent video at the link.

Location (48.433008, 38.140079)

[BeauBo]

“In August, an absolute record was set for the number of Russian artillery destroyed. 691!”

Remember when Russia used to pound Ukrainian forces with 20 to 1 Artillery superiority?

My, how things have changed. Now, Ukrainian forces can achieve local Artillery superiority, even when the Russians are contesting it.

It looks like a real threshold was crossed back in May, and Russian Artillery has been getting hit hard ever since. On the one hand, it is likely that counter-battery has received higher priority. But otherwise, there seems to also have been some new capability provided.

Was it just a bigger supply of shells? New radars? More guns?

[ETCM]

Was it just a bigger supply of shells? New radars? More guns?

I noticed a significant increase in GMLRS use against artillery, I also see Ukraine operating surveillance drones with impunity far behind Russian lines. Lockmart increased GMLRS production from 6,000 to 10,000/year and is further increasing to 14,000/year. Ukraine's apparent drone superiority, along with western counter battery radars, gives them excellent targeting from the front lines to deep in the rear.

[FtrPilot]

... I also see Ukraine operating surveillance drones with impunity far behind Russian lines.

I believe the surveillance drones, like the one pictured below, are responsible for a lot of the artillery kills.

The camera has a thermal mode which would make finding the artillery pieces easy to find, even if they are parked under the trees.

Several months ago, PIF posted information on a computerized battle management computer system. Perhaps, this system is also helping to destroy ruzzian hardware.

For example, when a drone spots a target, it would upload the target coordinates into the battle management computer system which would then identify any UKR asset capable of hitting the target within a 30 minute window.

PIF...have you seen anymore information on the battle management computer system?