BURN RATE: @ukraine_map reports that Russia continues to expend its supplies of long range precision strike missiles. Putin is estimated to have less than 194 Kalibr, Kh 101/Kh-555, Iskander and Kinzhal missiles remaining in stock.
Posted on 05/31/2023 7:03:20 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
God just won’t allow it
Praise God
Thanks. I drop in from time to time, but not regularly. But it makes me think a simple statistical representation of two factors involved in such threads might be interesting. 1) A "time between" posts, to indicate prepared nature of the posts, and 2) the number of posts, back and forth. Hmm.
You are so weird. Hmm.
@visegrad24 27m
Russia just launched another wave of missile attacks against Kyiv.
BURN RATE: @ukraine_map reports that Russia continues to expend its supplies of long range precision strike missiles. Putin is estimated to have less than 194 Kalibr, Kh 101/Kh-555, Iskander and Kinzhal missiles remaining in stock.
Russia’s Long Range Missile Stocks based on Ukraine’s 🇺🇦 reporting as of May 31, 2023
Russia is currently estimated to have 194 Kalibr, X-101/Kh-555, Iskander, and Kinzhal missiles in stock.
NOELreports 4h
Another drone hit the suburbs of Moscow (Balashikha - East of the ring road).
Ukraine Front Lines @EuromaidanPR 40min
The launch of missiles (preliminary of the Iskander-K/Iskander-M type) was carried out from the area of the settlement of Klintsy, Bryansk region of the russian federation, in the same way as during the previous day’s missile attack.
The time from the announcement of the air alert to the moment when the rockets entered Kyiv’s airspace was approximately five minutes.
@EuromaidanPR 11m
Explosions reported in Belgorod, russia right after the night attack on Kyiv
“105 mm tank shells are for Leopard 1 series tanks, I think.”
I think so too.
Hopefully, they have some juicier rounds to give, to allow that smaller gun to reliably kill the new russian tanks.
"According to @DI_Ukraine, Russia can produce 2 Kinzhal, 25 Kalibr, 35 X-101 and 5 Iskander-M rockets per month."
The KX and X series are countered with S-300s and if lucky man portable SAMS. The Kinzhals and Iskanders require the Patriot to shoot them down. So far Western inventory and production is keeping up with what Russia has.
More important than the numbers is employment. During both Gulf Wars and the War and Terror, the US tried to hit military targets. Russia expended over 90% of these weapons on civilian targets.
“The other side (besides taking from inventory) is Russian production ability.” (of missiles)
Yes, absolutely.
If history is a guide, the third year of a war is when production really increases.
So while they will likely be constrained this year, to firing as they produce, eventually, they are likely to develop that new production to several times current rates (as could the West). We may already be seeing increased production of Shaheed/Geran drones.
To a large degree, the amount of munitions kept in inventory is intended to tide you over, until that new production can ramp up.
Russia is likely capable of continuing to produce weapons (although perhaps lower tech over time) and continuing to draft more soldiers by the hundreds of thousands for years to come, but only at the cost of significant lowering of the general standard of living, and likely North Korea-like oppression of their domestic population.
In the end, they still lose - it only costs much more, the longer it goes on. I think it unlikely that the Russians can maintain their current high level of military aggression through fiscal year 2024 (if the west continues to provide what is needed), although they could possibly continue a more static lower intensity conflict for many years to come (if the West declines to provide decisive capabilities to end it).
It is still pretty significantly geostrategically when the old Soviet stockpiles are exhausted. A repressive Russian dictatorship however, could refuse to settle on peace terms, pretty much ever - like North Korea. Then they would likely also remain poor, oppressed and isolated, like North Korea.
?
The idea of some Kursk like tank battle seems extremely remote. I would be interested if there is any data on tank on tank hits. No disrespect intended but I see the role of the tank returning to the infantry support role in which case the 105 is just fine(as well as t-55s). Mines, ATGMs, and artillery are the main and almost exclusively(IMO) killer of tanks and I don’t see any as being immune to such attacks)
Personally I think a shed load more Bradleys would be more effective than abrams to clear trenches and execute and capitalize on a break through as well as saturating the front with hawks esp if they can be integrated with better radar systems located further back
Having seen what this auto cannons and tows can do, it is effective and terrifying.
My 2 cents
That decisions will be discussed quite a bit in the future. As far as I understand this kind of strategic bombing of civilian targets rarely works.
What kind of difference would there have been if Russians had not squandered these missiles like that
FYI: the missile targeting the building landed in the river.
most people
are too dumb - brainwashed
to see the obvious
here’s a guy
almost completely incapacitated
seeing - knowing
what’s really happening
the liberal
Darwin / Marx
unification cult god
no thank you
I am of no illusions that xiden knows what he is doing, and presidents rarely do the research they sign stuff, president Trump being an exception. my point is “whoever” is doing this I agree with mostly, I would have moved faster with more stuff. We have thousands of bradleys and Strykers that we are phasing out
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