Posted on 10/10/2008 5:14:45 PM PDT by derulz
Here's how this works. Obama knows he's going to lose. So he gets ACORN to drum up millions of fraudulent Dem voter registrations. It doesn't matter that most of these fake registrations will never be used to vote, the idea is to inflate the number of Democrat voter registrations. This has been going on for over a year now.
Next, the pollsters say, Wow, look at all these new Dem registrations. We better re-weight our polling samples to compensate. The re-weighted polls then naturally show Obama ahead.
Carville, Mathews, Oberman, and the rest of the MSM then start saying that if Obama loses the election while the polls show him winning, there's gonna be riots.
Meanwhile, Obama plants fake agitators at McCain rallys to shout violent, anti-Obama soundbites. The media then dutifully reports that McCain supporters are calling for violence against Obama.
Obama decries the violent nature of McCain supporters and gets his followers worked up, ready for a fight. Obama loses the election as he expects... Shazam! Obama supporters riot the day after the election.
Will there be as much murder and mayhem here as there was in Kenya after Odinga lost the election? Will Obama be able to wrest control of the U.S. government through this strategy like his cousin Odinga did in Kenya? Remains to be seen.
13 point spread!!???? ROTFLMAO!!!
All the other polls give the dems a 6-7 point spread.
This just goes to show that the media is trying to ice this race. But Hussein can’t close this. 3 weeks out and it will only get tighter and tigher.
Dem 40%, Ind 30%, Rep 27%, Others 3%.
OK, whatever.
That is one crappy poll.
party | number | percent |
democrat | 402 | 40% |
independent | 325 | 30% |
republican | 280 | 27% |
other | 28 | 3% |
factor in the party breakdowns:
this yields total potential votes (in millions):
party | McCain/Palin | Obama/Biden |
democrat | 3.6 | 65.52 |
independent | 19.8 | 18.92 |
republican | 48.95 | 3.85 |
total potential voters | 72.35 | 88.29 |
now factor in voter turnout using the 2004 results:
(sorry... this was the best i could do for voter turnout info: wiki-link )
party | turnout in 2004 | McCain/Palin | Obama/Biden |
democrat | 62.08% | 54.81m | |
republican | 72.58% | 52.5m |
a total of 2.31m votes separates the two sides using these numbers. which, btw, would be a statistical tie NOT a blow out or run-away campaign, as the drive-bys would have you believe (after all, they are trying to shape opinion.. not report it)
and how big is the ACORN effect? hmm... 1.9m million fraudulent voter registrations could easily steal this election
on a side note: operation chaos puts all these numbers in the crapper as it would under sample republicans and oversample dems, while assuming operation chaos operatives wouldn't lie to the pollsters
By George, I think you’re on to something there! Thanks for the analysis.
If there are riots, I believe they’ll be worse than anything we witnessed since the 60s - maybe even worse than that. They will still be contained - but a lot of innocent people will be hurt.
As requested, I posted this as a full vanity article. You can see it here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2103037/posts
At this time 8 years ago, algore had an 11-point lead...
according to the polls. Probably the same polling data in 2004 with Hanoi John leading.
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