Joe is gaining in popularity!!!!
1. Biden would consistently lie about the economy
2. Most Trump backers would laugh it off
3. Trump wouldn't have an effective strategy for rebutting it or even any strategy.
And finally
4. It would work.
As I posted here Biden is massively outraising Trump. Biden can run millions of dollars in commercials touting his incredibly good economy. Predictably a number of people thought campaign spending doesn't mean anything. In fact it's already working imo.
Biden is also helped by phony statistics. Trump can't do much about that.
Also the old rule of thumb that polls exaggerate the Democrat's strength doesn't seem to be true any more. Take 2022 for example.
Quinnipiac poll is a joke.
Joe is gaining in popularity!!!!
Never underestimate the corruption and ignorance of the average American voter.
Two things. Fraud. And women voting for Biden because of abortion.
These are fake stories designed to change public perception of Biden. Expect more of these.
Rallies are not enough. Trump needs lots of ads. Democrats will saturate all of the media platforms with propaganda. They have all the money they need.
Trump is ahead in all swing states. Biden is at 46 in NJ!
Like it or not, Biden also had a successful SOTU, --only because he didn't fall over or crap his pants.
The bar was set pretty low and he cleared it.
I have noticed the MSM carefully avoiding any stories or events that might reflect poorly on the old guy. And very little about Hunter’s legal woes or potential family corruption investigations.
Fraud denial.
That’s because they don’t need to worry about getting their slacker voters off the couch on Election Day any more - they can just fill out mail-in ballots for them.
The national popular vote means nothing. It will come down to 6 swing states.
All that really matters anymore is who can harvest the most ballots during election season and find the most “uncounted boxes” in the back of delivery vans. Campaigning is a joke now.
the hill missed April Fool’s Day by 1 day
The Lying Media (MSM) can make numbskulls believe anything. The percentage ofnumbskulls in the USA is very high.
Every single poll Ive seen other than quinnipiac shows Trump kicking Biden’s ass, and even worse for Biden if RFK Jr is in the race
I see Biden ads at least once or twice a week online (on Youtube before videos play). Have seen no Trump ads.
In Texas years ago, IIRC, Beto raised $40 million I think, and Cruz beat him... I think Hillary had tons of $$$ in 2016, and lost.
Four years ago he campaigned like he already knew the outcome of the stealection. Now, his handlers are Presidenting like they know the 2024 results ahead of time. I wonder why.
Trump will get his core, smaller. Will he get other Republicans?
And then the independents, the wild card. Again, I bet enthusiasm will be key.
So media will play up losses and comebacks to fit the narrative but this is all in the margins.
I do bet the dead voters will vote for Biden without regard to the latest polls.
I would not buy into that poll that much.
Kennedy will impact Biden and should
But I think the pressure on The Fed to do at least one rate cut is coming and I suspect it will be in June to inflate the market, depending on the polling in August and this is stretch, maybe a small rate cut in September.
The outlook for 2025 though is a different matter entirely. I expect to see Inflation roaring back, because it never left and The Fed will have at least 4 to 5 rate increases to battle it. So get ready for a full blown recession and a market decline. Head for Bonds to survive and preserve Capital. Even Treasury Notes will look good and CD’s might even offer great rates of 8.5% or better.
Inflation is still there and the real rate is running at about 8 to 10%, so Biden trying to sell a great economy will be a hard sell all the way around. All he can do is force Powell to do a rate cut to create the Illusion of prosperity. Reality we are creating another $1 Trillion of Debt every 100 Days or so and Spending is killing us.
Whoever is President will have a real mess to do deal with and will have no solutions for it.